Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Estoril

Nacional welcome Estoril to Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 15 March.

Estoril +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Nacional the aim at betting odds of -147.

Nacional drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Moreirense at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The Madeira team had the majority of the ball boasting 54% possession and seven shots on target, with Miguel Baeza registering the goal.

Estoril Praia hosted Casa Pia in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Ian Cathro's side dominated possession with 64% of the ball and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estoril boast an unbeaten record in the past three games against Nacional, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The past 3 H2H matches have involved two draws and one Estoril win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Estoril	25	9	7	9	46	42	4	46:42	34
15	Nacional	25	5	7	13	29	37	-8	29:37	22

View Full Table

Nacional have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Tiago Margarido's men have averaged 46.4% possession, 341.8 passes and 4.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 5.6 corners.

Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 4 times, with Miguel Baeza, Paulinho Boia, Alan Nunez and Witi scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Alan Nunez with 2, while goalkeeper Kaique Pereira has 2 clean sheets.

Estoril have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.3% possession, 490.5 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

The top scorers have been Yanis Begraoui with 11, Alejandro Marques on 4 and Joao Carvalho 3. Joao Carvalho is top assists provider with 5, while Joel Robles has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Léo Santos, Zé Vítor, Lenny Vallier, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Gabriel Veron, Miguel Baeza, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez.

Estoril predicted lineup (4-3-3): Joel Robles (GK), Pedro Carvalho, Ferro, Felix Bacher, Ricard Sánchez, Jandro Orellana, Antef Tsoungui, Jordan Holsgrove, Yanis Begraoui, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marqués.

Nacional vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Nacional vs Estoril betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

Estoril have a good chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -147 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Primeira Liga recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Nacional vs Estoril league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estoril in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estoril in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 6 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 3 consecutive games against Estoril.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Estoril Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 17:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril

There could be merit in backing Estoril to win 1-0. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yanis Begraoui to Score +170

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril) has managed eleven goals in his past ten Primeira Liga games. It’s worth a play on the +170 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Yanis Begraoui Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+430

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Nacional To Have Most Corners -108

There has been an average 5.60 corners for Nacional in their past 5 games, with Estoril averaging 3.90 corners in the previous 10 matches. We’re keen to back the -108 that Nacional come out on top in this Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

9.90 4.30 5.60

Home

10.80 4.00 6.80

Away

8.70 3.40 5.30

Estoril

Total

8.80 3.90 4.90

Home

9.40 4.60 4.80

Away

9.40 4.80 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-111

Estoril Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-108

X

+650

2

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Estoril Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +140 for Nacional to triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, with Estoril Praia trading at a price of +165 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +245.

If you fancy Nacional but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -133. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Estoril at -106 on the Draw No Bet market.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -182 on the Both Teams to Score market.

If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+140

X

+245

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+130

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-385

X2

-208

Draw No Bet

1

-133

2

-106

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+104

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+125

The First Goalscorer favourite is Jesus Ramírez Díaz at +330. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+132

Anytime

+330

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)

First

+170

Anytime

+430

Alejandro Marqués (Estoril)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Luís Miguel Pizzi Fernandes (Estoril)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Rafik Guitane (Estoril)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Ricard Sánchez (Estoril)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Nodari Lominadze (Estoril)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jandro Orellana (Estoril)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Pedro Carvalho (Estoril)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Nacional haven’t tasted victory at Estadio da Madeira in the previous three matches. The Madeira team have recorded five defeats, three victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Estoril have managed six losses, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

The last Estadio da Madeira meeting saw Nacional and Estoril draw 2-2.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		3-2-5	3.00	1.60	1.40	7	3	6	4
Estoril Away Stats		3-1-6	3.60	1.60	2.00	8	2	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Estoril Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Nacional vs Estoril before making your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Nacional Team Page Estoril Team Page

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