Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Dec 2025

Coppa Italia Betting Preview: Napoli vs Cagliari

Serie A clubs Napoli and Cagliari clash in the Coppa Italia round of 16, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Wednesday 3 December.

There’s an opportunity to back Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market at odds of -132. This looks like an attractive bet, with Napoli and Cagliari set to play out a low-scoring contest.

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Napoli won their last game 1-0. This was a Serie A away victory at Stadio Olimpico against Roma. The Naples team recorded 44% possession and had five shots on target, with David Neres netting the winner in the 36th minute.

Cagliari were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Allianz Stadium. Juventus claimed a 2-1 Serie A victory. Fabio Pisacane's men recorded three shots on goal and had 43% possession, while Sebastiano Esposito was on the scoresheet.

In their previous Coppa Italia match, Cagliari triumphed 4-1 at home to Frosinone.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three successive wins for Napoli when playing Cagliari. In the last clash, home side Napoli claimed a 1-0 Serie A victory at Diego Armando Maradona. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Napoli wins along with three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Napoli	20	12	4	4	30	17	13	30:17	40
16	Cagliari	20	4	7	9	21	30	-9	21:30	19

View Full Table

Napoli have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Gli Azzurri have averaged 56.3% possession, 509.5 passes and 5.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.0 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 3.3 corners.

David Neres and Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa lead the way with 3 goals, while Kevin De Bruyne has scored 2. Rasmus Hoejlund, Scott McTominay and David Neres are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic has kept 3 clean sheets.

Cagliari have 1 victory, 5 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 7.7 attempts, 3.2 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Sardinia side average 45.0% possession, 3.5 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 5.2 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Gennaro Borrelli has scored 4 goals, followed by Sebastiano Esposito on 3 and Mattia Felici with 2. Marco Palestra and Mattia Felici have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Elia Caprile has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Napoli confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Vanja Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Sam Beukema, Juan Jesus, Mathias Olivera, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Antonio Vergara, Eljif Elmas, Leonardo Spinazzola, Matteo Politano, Lorenzo Lucca, Giuseppe Ambrosino.

Cagliari confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Elia Caprile (GK), Alessandro Di Pardo, Sebastiano Luperto, Juan Rodriguez, Adam Obert, Alessandro Deiola, Zito Luvumbo, Michel Ndary Adopo, Gianluca Gaetano, Semih Kilicsoy, Leonardo Pavoletti.

Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Napoli vs Cagliari fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re not expecting too many goals to be scored when it comes to this Coppa Italia encounter. On this basis, we’re wagering Under 2.5 Goals and this selection is on offer at -132.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Coppa Italia team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Napoli vs Cagliari Coppa Italia & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Napoli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Napoli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Cagliari games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Cagliari games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 56.8% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as an option when it comes to placing a Bet Builder. You can add different picks to your bet slip and get a return if all selections win.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -132 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 2 - 0 Cagliari

We’re going for Napoli at +380 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lorenzo Lucca Under 0.5 Shots On Target +140

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in five consecutive matches. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of +140 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Lorenzo Lucca Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+350

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-263

Shots

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

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Romelu Lukaku to Score +133

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli) has scored at least one goal in his past two games on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +133.

Latest Romelu Lukaku Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+133

First

+300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-208

Shots

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Napoli Under 6.5 Corners -141

Napoli have had under 6.5 corners in six straight matches, while the last 10 Cagliari games have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. There’s everything to like about the Napoli Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at -141.

Coppa Italia & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

8.40 5.10 3.30

Home

8.80 5.80 3.00

Away

8.60 4.70 3.90

Cagliari

Total

8.70 3.50 5.20

Home

9.22 4.56 4.67

Away

8.90 2.90 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-133

Napoli Corners

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-133

Cagliari Corners

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-111

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+850

2

+440

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Napoli vs Cagliari Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Napoli have been chalked up as the convincing -250 favourites for this Coppa Italia encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 71% probability of winning. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +700 for Cagliari.

If you take Napoli -1.25 on the Asian Handicap at -111, you need them to have a 2+ margin of victory for a full return against Cagliari. A triumph by one goal would mean half your stake is returned.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -200 about Both Teams to Score No.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Coppa Italia games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

-250

X

+350

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-105

X

+133

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-588

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+440

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-111

2 Hcp +1.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+133

No

-200

Favourite Romelu Lukaku is priced at +300 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +133.

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+133

Anytime

+300

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

First

+160

Anytime

+350

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+200

Anytime

+410

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

First

+205

Anytime

+450

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+215

Anytime

+475

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

First

+230

Anytime

+480

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

David Neres (Napoli)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Noa Lang (Napoli)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Andrea Belotti (Cagliari)

First

+510

Anytime

+1000

Semih Kiliçsoy (Cagliari)

First

+550

Anytime

+1000

Zito Luvumbo (Cagliari)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Mattia Felici (Cagliari)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Michael Folorunsho (Cagliari)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gianluca Gaetano (Cagliari)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Luca Marianucci (Napoli)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Michel Adopo (Cagliari)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Juan Jesus (Napoli)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-106

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-118

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-159

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-164

Andrea Belotti (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-208

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-263

Semih Kiliçsoy (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-263

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Mattia Felici (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Zito Luvumbo (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Michael Folorunsho (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Andrea Belotti (Cagliari)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Semih Kiliçsoy (Cagliari)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Zito Luvumbo (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Latest Coppa Italia and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Napoli Stats

Cagliari Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 45.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 42.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches

Napoli vs Cagliari Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Napoli vs Cagliari team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the confirmed lineups for the Coppa Italia plus the newest injury information.

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