NC State vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: NC State vs Virginia
The NC State Wolfpack square off against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 11:00 on Thursday, March 12.
We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when NC State go up against Virginia. Our prediction is that there will be Over 148.5 points and that is available at -110.
NC State Wolfpack won their previous game, beating Pittsburgh Panthers at home. It was a 98-88 win.
Virginia Cavaliers won their last game which was at home. It was a 76-72 triumph against Virginia Tech.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Virginia beat NC State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 90-61 scoreline. Virginia have beaten NC State in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
NC State vs Virginia Prediction & Picks
We cover the key NC State vs Virginia betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
We’re confident that Over 148.5 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting these college teams to rack up the points, so a total wager could be the way forward.
The college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.
Key NC State vs Virginia stats:
Over 148.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you wager on the Totals. The leading sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.
Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.
Player Prop Picks
Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State) can be backed to have Under 7.5 rebounds at -141. We think there’s a generous line on offer that he fails to cover the Player Rebounds total.
Latest Ven-Allen Lubin Player Prop Odds
Quadir Copeland (NC State) is available at +115 to have Under 5.5 assists. He might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and we’re confident when it comes to this prop bet.
Latest Quadir Copeland Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Over 150.5 along with Virginia to cover the -6.5 spread. Add in Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State) to get Under 7.5 rebounds.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a fantastic way of wagering on a single event. Many basketball bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
73
-
83
Virginia
There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Cavs to achieve a 83-73 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.
NC State vs Virginia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Virginia have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 74% probability due to their -278 Moneyline betting odds. NC State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +220.
The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 150.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you're keen on Over 150.5, this selection is available at -105.
If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.
The favorite to land the most baskets is Thijs De Ridder. Odds of -103 can be found for him scoring Over 17.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.
There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 25/02 2026 NC State 61 Virginia 90
- NCAAB: 03/01 2026 Virginia 76 NC State 61
- NCAAB: 31/12 2024 NC State 67 Virginia 70
- NCAAB: 16/03 2024 NC State 73 Virginia 65
- NCAAB: 25/01 2024 NC State 53 Virginia 59
- NCAAB: 06/01 2024 Virginia 60 NC State 76
- NCAAB: 08/02 2023 NC State 50 Virginia 63
- NCAAB: 22/01 2022 Virginia 63 NC State 77
- NCAAB: 25/02 2021 NC State 68 Virginia 61
- NCAAB: 04/02 2021 Virginia 64 NC State 57
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
NC State Stats
Virginia Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 165.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 148.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
- Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.40 pts and allowed 83.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 140.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 143.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 148.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 66.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 64.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
|
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
|
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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