Croatia vs Spain Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Oct 2026
Croatia vs Spain Predictions
The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -149 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why Croatia and Spain won’t find the net.
Explore our full Croatia vs Spain betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Croatia vs Spain Preview
Croatia welcome Spain to Stadion Poljud, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 6 October.
Croatia were defeated last time out. Stadion Rujevica saw them beaten at home to England by a 7-0 scoreline in the Nations League. Slaven Bilic's side had 42% of possession and one shot on target.
Spain claimed a 3-1 Nations League home win over Czech Republic at Estadio Carlos Tartiere in their previous game. La Roja racked up ten shots on goal and enjoyed 66% possession, while Lamine Yamal, Rodri and Mikel Merino found the net.
H2H: 4-1 Triumph for Spain in Last Head-to-Head
Spain have triumphed in the last two encounters against Croatia. There was a 4-1 win at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán after triumphing 3-0 at Olympiastadion. We’ve seen Spain claim three wins in the past 4 H2H games, with one draw also taking place.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Croatia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3:12 | 3 |
6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Croatia have had 54.9% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.6 corners.
Nikola Vlasic leads the way with 3 goals, with Ivan Perisic and Petar Musa getting 2 apiece. Leading assistor is Ivan Perisic with 4, while goalies Dominik Livakovic and Dominik Kotarski have 2 clean sheets between them.
Spain have won all of their past 10 matches, averaging 6.9 shots on goal, 16.6 attempts and 2.4 goals. Luis de la Fuente's team average 61.9% possession, 645.5 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 2.5 corners against, while 0.5 goals have been conceded from 6.4 attempts and 1.9 shots on goal.
Mikel Oyarzabal is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6 goals, Lamine Yamal has 5 and Mikel Merino is on 3. Dani Olmo is top assists provider with 4, while Unai Simon has kept 6 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
It stands to reason that both teams can find the net and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. The fact that you can secure -149 for this Nations League encounter means a nice return if the bet lands.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Nations League stats.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 59.9% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you’re keen to back BTTS Yes but want more juice, you can head to the Result & Both Teams to Score market. Predict the outcome of the game with your original pick for a bigger price.
Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Spain
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Spain winning 2-1. Odds of +600 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Roberto Fernández (Spain) can be backed to cover the shots on goal line at -100. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.
Lamine Yamal (Spain) has found the net in three consecutive matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -125 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It has now been three straight Croatia matches where under 8.5 corners have been awarded. We recommend backing the -110 that the teams aren’t able to cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.
Croatia
Spain
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has both teams to score, Croatia to cover the +1.5 Asian Handicap combined with Roberto Fernández (Spain) to manage over 1.5 shots on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Croatia vs Spain Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Spain have been priced up as the overwhelming -370 favourites for this Nations League clash. This means the bookies give them a 79% chance of claiming victory. Croatia are the underdogs at +850 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -147 on the BTTS market.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Nations League games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Lamine Yamal is available at -182 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +235 to find the net first.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Croatia Stats
Spain Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 matches.
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 2.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Croatia vs Spain Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Croatia vs Spain team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Previous Croatia Lineups
Previous Spain Lineups
Croatia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Slaven Bilic
Spain Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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