Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Oct 2025
Liga MX Betting Preview: Necaxa vs Pachuca
Necaxa host Pachuca in this Liga MX clash at Estadio Victoria, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 3 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
The way forward could be to back Necaxa with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -137 against Pachuca. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.
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Club Necaxa have been beaten in back-to-back Liga MX games. On their travels, they recently suffered a 3-2 defeat against Atlas at Estadio Jalisco. Fernando Gago's men had most of the ball enjoying 60% possession and nine shots on target, with Tomas Jacob and Diber Cambindo scoring one goal each.
Pachuca claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 victory occurred against Atlético San Luis at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Pachuca enjoyed 49% possession and had two shots on goal, with Enner Valencia and Juan Sanabria (own goal) finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Pachuca have enjoyed three successive victories against Necaxa. Their last clash saw Pachuca enjoy a 5-3 away win at Estadio Victoria. The previous 10 H2H games have featured six Pachuca wins, three draws and one Necaxa victory.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pachuca |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21:21 | 22 |
| 13 | Necaxa |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 24:32 | 17 |
Club Necaxa have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. The Aguascalientes team have averaged 50.2% possession and 4.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 4.4 corners.
Top scorer Diber Cambindo has found the net 2 times, with Tomas Jacob, Cristian Calderon, Tomas Badaloni and Diego De Buen getting 1 goals each. The top assist makers are Franco Rossano, Diego De Buen and Ricardo Monreal, all of whom have 1 on the board.
Tuzos have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.0 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 1.2 goals. Jaime Lozano's side average 55.2% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 6.1 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Oussama Idrissi, Alan Bautista and Gaston Togni score 2 goals each. Elias Montiel has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Necaxa confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Tomas Jacob, Emilio Lara, Cristian Calderon, Kevin Rosero, Jose Rodriguez, Agustin Palavecino, Franco Rossano, Johan Rojas, Tomas Badaloni, Diber Cambindo.
Pachuca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Moreno (GK), Brian Garcia, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Alonso Aceves, Alan Bautista, Pedro Pedraza, Kenedy, Luis Quinones, Oussama Idrissi, Enner Valencia.
Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Necaxa vs Pachuca, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
If you agree with our verdict that Necaxa can avoid defeat in this Liga MX clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -137. There are several reasons to back this selection.
It’s always a case of checking out the latest Liga MX team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
Key Necaxa vs Pachuca league stats:
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 57.8% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.
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Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Necaxa at odds of +800. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa) can be backed at -159 to have at least one shot on goal. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.
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Oussama Idrissi (Pachuca) has netted two goals in his past four Liga MX matches away from home. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +360 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
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Corners Prediction
We’ve not seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered in six consecutive Pachuca away games. We think that the teams will come up short and this Total Corners wager can be backed at -135.
Necaxa
Pachuca
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Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi selections include Necaxa with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, Over 2.5 together with Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa) to end up with one or more shots on target.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Necaxa vs Pachuca Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The draw is currently trading at +275 if you think this Liga MX encounter will end all square, while Pachuca have betting odds of +145 and Club Necaxa are +150 to land a victory of their own.
There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Pachuca at -119 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Necaxa at -112.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. BTTS Yes is available at -189 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Liga MX coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.
There’s the chance to back Diber Armando Cambindo at +400 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Necaxa have clocked up four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Pachuca are winless in the last three away games. Pachuca have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.80.
Pachuca overcame Necaxa 5-3 when the sides last met at Estadio Victoria. There have been three Pachuca victories, three draws and one Necaxa win in the previous 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Victoria.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Necaxa Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
Pachuca Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 12/04 2025 Necaxa 3 Pachuca 5
- Liga MX: 03/11 2024 Pachuca 6 Necaxa 2
- Liga MX: 06/05 2024 Pachuca 2 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 24/02 2024 Necaxa 1 Pachuca 1
- Liga MX: 01/10 2023 Pachuca 1 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 30/01 2023 Pachuca 2 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 28/07 2022 Necaxa 2 Pachuca 0
- Liga MX: 06/02 2022 Necaxa 1 Pachuca 3
- Liga MX: 24/09 2021 Pachuca 1 Necaxa 0
- Liga MX: 05/03 2021 Necaxa 2 Pachuca 2
Necaxa League Stats
Pachuca League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Necaxa this season are Diber Cambindo (2), Pavel Perez (2), Agustin Palavecino (1)
- Top Assistors for Necaxa this season are Agustin Palavecino (1), Diego De Buen (1), Franco Rossano (1)
Necaxa vs Pachuca Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Rayos vs Tuzos team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest on injuries.
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Pachuca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Pachuca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Necaxa Substitutes
- 2Emilio Martinez
- 3Agustin Oliveros
- 11Raul Sanchez
- 13Alejandro Andrade
- 14Diego De Buen
- 15Pavel Perez
- 17Rogelio Cortez
- 19Diego Gomez
- 30Ricardo Monreal
- 191Roman Estrada
Pachuca Substitutes
- 8Victor Guzman
- 9Illian Hernandez
- 13Jorge Berlanga
- 14Carlos Sanchez
- 15Israel Luna
- 31Jose Eulogio
- 32Gaston Togni
- 41William Carvalho
- 99Jhonder Cadiz
- 197Princewill Achinulo
Previous Necaxa Lineups
Previous Pachuca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:18 | 37 |
| 2 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32:20 | 35 |
| 4 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 34 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33:29 | 31 |
| 6 | Guadalajara | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29:23 | 24 |
| 8 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:28 | 23 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 22 |
| 10 | Pumas | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24:25 | 21 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 22:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:29 | 20 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:32 | 17 |
| 14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:35 | 17 |
| 15 | San Luis | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 25:29 | 16 |
| 16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | 14 |
| 17 | León | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14:31 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:42 | 12 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Tigres | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Tijuana | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:6 | 19 |
| 6 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Juárez | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Querétaro | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlán | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Pumas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 15 | León | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:19 | 7 |
| 18 | San Luis | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | 4 |
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