Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Sep 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Necaxa vs Puebla

Necaxa host Puebla in this Liga MX meeting at Estadio Victoria, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 19 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Best Bet Could Be Rayos for the Win

We’re going for a straight pick on Necaxa when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory against Puebla, with odds of -149 currently available.

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Rayos Too Good for Puebla in Last H2H

Club Necaxa played Juárez at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Victoria. The Aguascalientes club had the majority of the ball enjoying 62% possession and four shots on target, while Tomas Badaloni bagged the goal.

Club Puebla have now lost back-to-back league games. On the road in their previous Liga MX appearance, Deportivo Toluca won 3-1 at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Pablo Guede's side recorded just 36% possession and had one shot on goal, while Fernando Monarrez found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Necaxa have landed three straight victories over Puebla. In the last clash, Necaxa banked a 1-0 win when visiting Estadio Cuahutehmoc. The past 10 H2H games have involved four wins apiece along with two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Necaxa	8	1	3	4	7	14	-7	7:14	6
18	Puebla	8	1	1	6	7	21	-14	7:21	4

View Full Table

1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 11.0 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. Club Necaxa have had 46.9% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 9.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while earning 4.0 corners.

The three top scorers are Tomas Badaloni, Agustin Palavecino and Pavel Perez, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Diego De Buen, Ricardo Monreal and Agustin Palavecino have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Club Puebla have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 9.0 attempts, 2.8 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. Martin Bravo's side average 49.2% possession, 4.5 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 2.3 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.

Ricardo Marin has scored 2 goals, followed by Fernando Monarrez, Carlos Baltazar, Emiliano Gomez and Esteban Lozano on 1. Emiliano Gomez has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Necaxa predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Luis Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Agustín Oliveros, Tomás Jacob, Alexis Peña, Franco Rossano, Diego De Buen, Kevin Rosero, Agustín Palavecino, José Ivan Rodríguez, Pavel Uriel Pérez, Tomás Badaloni.

Puebla predicted lineup (5-4-1): Julio González (GK), Jesús Rivas, Efraín Orona, Eduardo Navarro, Juan Fedorco, Fernando Monárrez, Alejandro Organista, Nicolás Díaz, Ariel Gamarra, Emiliano Gómez, Esteban Lozano.

Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Necaxa vs Puebla betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We’ll take Necaxa at attractive betting odds of -149 considering that they could be dominant in this Liga MX game. This match winner wager provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Liga MX experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Necaxa vs Puebla league stats:

• Puebla have lost 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Puebla have lost 16 of their last 20 games.
• Puebla have lost their last 2 games.
• Necaxa have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Rayos to Win Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 59.9% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

For those that think Rayos will be able to oblige with a victory along with achieving a shut out, then we recommend backing them to win along with the BTTS No option at bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Necaxa To Win @ -149 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Necaxa 2 - 0 Puebla

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Necaxa to win 2-0. The odds of +700 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Agustin Palavecino Under 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Agustin Palavecino (Necaxa) can be backed at -154 to fail to register a shot on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.

Latest Agustin Palavecino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

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Tomás Badaloni To Score +200

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa) is available at +200 to score. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Tomás Badaloni Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+105

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Corners Prediction

Necaxa Under 5.5 Corners +102

In their past three matches, Necaxa have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the last eight Puebla away games have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. We’re expecting Necaxa to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Necaxa

Total

9.30 5.30 4.00

Home

10.70 6.50 4.20

Away

9.10 3.50 5.60

Puebla

Total

8.40 4.50 3.90

Home

9.60 4.00 5.60

Away

8.90 4.50 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-141

Necaxa Corners

Over 5.5

-161

Under 5.5

+102

Puebla Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+106

Most Corners

1

-233

X

+700

2

+230

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Necaxa vs Puebla Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Rayos Victory

The Club Necaxa betting odds are -149 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Liga MX encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 60% chance of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Club Puebla have been priced up at +335.

Backing Necaxa -0.75 at -112 on the Asian Handicap line means they need to win by two goals or more against Puebla for a full payout. A one-goal success would see you get paid out on the -0.5 part and money back on the -1.0 part.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -167.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Liga MX matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+310

2

+335

Half-Time Result

1

+117

X

+140

2

+325

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-526

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-112

2 Hcp +0.75

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+117

Diber Armando Cambindo is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Favourite Diber Armando Cambindo is priced at +320 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of -103.

Diber Armando Cambindo (Necaxa)

First

-103

Anytime

+320

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Ivan Rodriguez (Necaxa)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Lucas Cavallini (Puebla)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Ricardo Marin (Puebla)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Agustin Palavecino (Necaxa)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Esteban Lozano (Puebla)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Pavel Perez (Necaxa)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Diego de Buen (Necaxa)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Diego Gomez (Necaxa)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Johan Rojas (Necaxa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Kevin Rosero (Necaxa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Fernando Monárrez (Puebla)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Iker Moreno (Puebla)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Edgar Andres Guerra (Puebla)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Rogelio Cortéz (Necaxa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Alejandro Andrade (Necaxa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Owen Gonzalez (Puebla)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Raúl Castillo (Puebla)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Alexis Peña (Necaxa)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jesús Alcántar (Necaxa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Franco Rossano (Necaxa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+105

Ricardo Marin (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Lucas Cavallini (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-130

Ivan Rodriguez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-143

Esteban Lozano (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-147

Diber Armando Cambindo (Necaxa)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-149

Agustin Palavecino (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Johan Rojas (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-204

Kevin Rosero (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Pavel Perez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-204

Rogelio Cortéz (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-233

Diego de Buen (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Fernando Monárrez (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Diego Gomez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Iker Moreno (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-294

Edgar Andres Guerra (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Owen Gonzalez (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Alejandro Andrade (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Raúl Castillo (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Alexis Peña (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Jesús Alcántar (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Franco Rossano (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Necaxa Looking to Turn a Corner on Home Soil

Necaxa have not won at Estadio Victoria in the past three matches. Fernando Gago's team have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Puebla have not triumphed in ten straight away matches. La Franja have nine defeats and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 2.30.

Necaxa beat Puebla 4-1 when they last met at Estadio Victoria. The 6 past H2H games at Estadio Victoria have involved three Puebla victories, one draw and two Necaxa wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Necaxa Home Stats		4-3-3	2.90	1.60	1.30	5	5	7	3
Puebla Away Stats		0-1-9	2.80	0.50	2.30	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Necaxa vs Puebla Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Rayos vs Puebla before making your bets. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest injury reports.

Club Necaxa Team Page Puebla Team Page