New York City vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

The Net Could Bulge at Both Ends

There’s an attractive -150 available when it comes to New York City and Cincinnati both scoring at least one goal. We’re expecting a nice return from this BTTS Yes wager based on the available stats.

City Won Last H2H in Penalty Shoot-out

New York City FC got the win in their last game. A 1-0 victory occurred on the road at BMO Field when meeting Toronto FC. The Pigeons enjoyed 51% possession and four shots on target, with Alonso Martinez netting in the 64th minute.

FC Cincinnati claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 triumph against Sporting Kansas City at TQL Stadium made it five straight wins. Pat Noonan's side had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 54% possession and seven shots on goal, while Kevin Denkey scored twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was City who were victorious when they last faced Cincinnati. At TQL Stadium, a penalty shootout victory (0-0 AET) was recorded. Cincinnati have won five of the previous 10 H2H meetings, with City getting two victories along with three draws.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	FC Cincinnati	26	15	4	7	39	32	7	39:32	49
12	NYCFC	24	11	5	8	34	29	5	34:29	38

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. City have had 51.0% possession and 4.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Alonso Martinez has found the net 6 times, Hannes Wolf 3, with Keaton Parks and two other players on 1. The leading assistor is Julian Fernandez with 2.

Cincinnati have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 10.5 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. The Ohio outfit average 49.9% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 9.2 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Kevin Denkey and Evander Ferreira have 6 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Gerardo Valenzuela on 1. Luca Orellano, Sergio Santos and Pavel Bucha have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Hannes Wolf, Keaton Parks, Jonathan Shore, Maxi Moralez, Julian Fernandez, Alonso Martinez, Andres Perea.

FC Cincinnati confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Roman Celentano (GK), Matt Miazga, Miles Robinson, Nick Hagglund, DeAndre Yedlin, Lukas Engel, Yuya Kubo, Brian Anunga, Evander Ferreira, Luca Orellano, Kevin Denkey.

New York City vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & Betting Tips

The teams both have the players to score and it’s for that reason that we’re backing the BTTS Yes option in this MLS clash. Odds of -150 look really appealing when it comes to this outcome.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best predictions.

Key New York City vs FC Cincinnati league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 NYCFC games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 NYCFC games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Cincinnati games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Cincinnati games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Cincinnati games.

BTTS Yes Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 60% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Should you want to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes wager, then you can combine this with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. Predict one of the teams to win or even the draw and boost your price in the process.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

New York City 2 - 1 Cincinnati

There’s the option to wager on NYCFC to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Odds of +700 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hannes Wolf to Score +310

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) has managed two goals in his past five MLS games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +310.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+700

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -125

We’ve seen the past five New York City home matches feature an average 14.80 corners, while the previous five Cincinnati games have averaged 11.20. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -125 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

New York City

Total

11.50 4.80 6.70

Home

12.20 7.50 4.70

Away

10.00 4.00 6.00

Cincinnati

Total

9.50 4.00 5.50

Home

9.10 4.50 4.60

Away

8.90 3.50 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-103

New York City Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Cincinnati Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-132

X

+575

2

+123

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New York City vs FC Cincinnati Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

City Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

The New York City FC betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are +128 favourites to land victory in this MLS encounter which means a 44% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, FC Cincinnati are trading at +185.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Under and Over 2.5 Goals trading at a similar price.

To combine various MLS selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+265

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+123

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-357

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-147

2

+105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+117

Alonso Martínez Top of First Goalscorer List

Favourite Alonso Martínez is priced at +340 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +140.

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+140

Anytime

+340

Sergio Santos (Cincinnati)

First

+190

Anytime

+390

Yuya Kubo (Cincinnati)

First

+265

Anytime

+650

Corey Baird (Cincinnati)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Keaton Parks (NYCFC)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Luca Orellano (Cincinnati)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Stiven Jimenez (Cincinnati)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Strahinja Tanasijevic (NYCFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Birk Risa (NYCFC)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Mitja Ilenic (NYCFC)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Kevin O'toole (NYCFC)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Obinna Nwobodo (Cincinnati)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

DeAndre Yedlin (Cincinnati)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

New York City vs FC Cincinnati Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for City vs Cincinnati team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest MLS squads.

New York City Team Page FC Cincinnati Team Page