New York City vs Inter Miami Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2025
MLS Betting Preview: New York City vs Inter Miami
New York City host Inter Miami in this MLS meeting at Citi Field, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 24 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We believe that New York City 0.0 could be the way forward against Miami. The Asian Handicap odds of -152 makes plenty of appeal, with our stake refunded if the home team only manage to draw.
New York City FC clinched their third consecutive league victory in their latest MLS match, defeating Charlotte FC 2-0 at home at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons recorded 47% possession and managed five shots on target, while Alonso Martinez scored both of the goals.
Inter Miami have won their previous two MLS games. The latest was a 3-2 home triumph at Chase Stadium against D.C. United. Javier Mascherano's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 61% possession and seven shots on goal, with Lionel Messi finding the net twice and Tadeo Allende scoring one.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It’s been successive draws in the previous four meetings between City and Miami, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Chase Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have included five City victories, four draws and one Miami win.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  NYCFC |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Inter Miami |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6:6 | 7 |
City have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. Pascal Jansen's men have averaged 55.7% possession and 4.2 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 3.9 corners from 4.0 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.
Alonso Martinez leads the way with 9 goals, with Hannes Wolf and Andres Perea scoring 2 each. Maxi Moralez is the leading assists maker with 4.
Miami have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 9.9 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Herons average 55.5% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 3.2 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.
The leading goalscorers have been Lionel Messi on 8, Jordi Alba with 3 and Telasco Segovia 2. Lionel Messi has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.
Confirmed Lineups
New York City confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, Justin Haak, Kevin O'Toole, Andres Perea, Aiden O'Neill, Agustin Ojeda, Maxi Moralez, Hannes Wolf, Nicolas Fernandez.
Inter Miami confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Oscar Ustari (GK), Ian Fray, Maximiliano Falcon, Noah Allen, Jordi Alba, Mateo Silvetti, Rodrigo De Paul, Sergio Busquets, Baltasar Rodriguez, Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez.
New York City vs Inter Miami Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our top New York City vs Inter Miami betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
We think New York City are a good bet at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this MLS game. This selection makes appeal at odds of -152, with a win expected for the home team.
Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest MLS team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.
Key New York City vs Inter Miami league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you are looking for larger odds, there’s plenty of choice when it comes to selling goals. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential return.
Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Miami
Our correct score prediction is a 2-1 win for NYCFC which is available at odds of +750. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.
Player Prop Picks
Alonso Martínez (NYCFC) can be backed at -119 to cover the shots on goal line. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.
Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC) has netted two goals in his past ten MLS matches on home soil. We’re happy to take the +550 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past five games, Miami have covered the 4.5 corners line. The Miami Team Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -133 that it’s covered.
New York City
Miami
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: New York City with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, three or more goals accompanied by Miami to finish with over 4.5 corners.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
New York City vs Inter Miami Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an approximate 44% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +125 betting odds for New York City FC triumphing in this MLS encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Inter Miami are available at +170.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with City available at +170 and Miami at +205. The third option is the draw which is priced at +155.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -250.
The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the MLS games.
Lionel Messi is the First Goalscorer favourite at +240. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -172.
Miami haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches on the road. Javier Mascherano's team have four defeats, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 2.40.
It was a 1-1 draw when City last played Miami at Citi Field.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City Home Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
| Inter Miami Away Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- MLS: 30/11 2025 Miami 5 New York City 1
- MLS: 25/09 2025 New York City 0 Miami 4
- MLS: 23/02 2025 Miami 2 New York City 2
- MLS: 21/09 2024 New York City 1 Miami 1
- MLS: 31/03 2024 Miami 1 New York City 1
- MLS: 01/10 2023 Miami 1 New York City 1
- MLS: 12/03 2023 New York City 1 Miami 0
- MLS: 18/10 2022 New York City 3 Miami 0
- MLS: 14/08 2022 Miami 3 New York City 2
- MLS: 24/07 2022 New York City 2 Miami 0
New York City League Stats
Inter Miami League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for New York City this season are Nicolas Fernandez (4), Keaton Parks (2), Agustin Ojeda (1)
- Top Assistors for New York City this season are Maxi Moralez (3), Agustin Ojeda (1), Tayvon Gray (1)
New York City vs Inter Miami Lineups & Team News
The City vs Inter team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the MLS as well as the latest injury reports.
New York City Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Inter Miami Confirmed Lineup 4-4-1-1
New York City Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Inter Miami Confirmed Lineup 4-4-1-1
New York City Substitutes
- 11Julian Fernandez
- 16Alonso Martinez
- 19S. Tanasijevic
- 29Maximo Carrizo
- 30Tomas Romero
- 32Jonathan Shore
- 34Raul
- 35Mitja Ilenic
- 99Seymour Reid
Inter Miami Substitutes
- 2Gonzalo Lujan
- 6Tomas Aviles
- 14Fabrice Picault
- 15Ryan Sailor
- 21Tadeo Allende
- 34Rocco Rios Novo
- 42Yannick Bright
- 57Marcelo Weigandt
- 81Santiago Morales
Previous New York City Lineups
Previous Inter Miami Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
New York City Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pascal Jansen
Inter Miami Player Stats & Squad
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 12 |
| 3 | NYCFC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 4 | San Diego | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 10 |
| 6 | SJ Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 10 | NY Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 13 | D.C. United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Charlotte FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 16 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 17 | LA Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 18 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 19 | Sporting KC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 20 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 21 | Minnesota Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 22 | NE Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 23 | Atlanta United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 24 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 25 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 26 | CF Montréal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 27 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 3 |
| 28 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 29 | St. Louis | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 3 | NYCFC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 6 |
| 4 | San Diego | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 7 | SJ Earthquakes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Dallas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 11 | LA Galaxy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Charlotte FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 14 | NE Revolution | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Atlanta United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 18 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 19 | Minnesota Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 20 | D.C. United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 21 | Orlando City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 23 | NY Red Bulls | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 24 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 25 | Sporting KC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 26 | St. Louis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 28 | Inter Miami | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
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