New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jul 2025

Get With TFC to Battle Hard

We’re siding with Toronto on the Asian Handicap +1 at -128, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against New York City. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.

City Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

New York City FC suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Saputo Stadium against CF Montréal. Pascal Jansen's team dominated possession with 68% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.

Toronto FC have made it back-to-back MLS away victories. In their previous league match, it was a 3-0 home win over Portland Timbers at BMO Field. The Ontario club had 43% possession and managed six shots on goal, while Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer and Ian Smith (own goal) were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have enjoyed four straight wins against Toronto. In the last clash, away side City landed a 1-0 victory at BMO Field. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six City wins, two draws and two Toronto successes.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	NYCFC	26	13	5	8	37	30	7	37:30	44
25	Toronto FC	27	5	9	13	27	34	-7	27:34	24

View Full Table

City have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. The Pigeons have averaged 54.9% possession and 6.3 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 5.4 corners from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.

Hannes Wolf leads the way with 5 goals, Alonso Martinez has 3, with Maxi Moralez and Monsef Bakrar scoring 2. Justin Haak is the top assists maker on 3.

TFC have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.8% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Theodor Corbeanu has scored 3, followed by Tyrese Spicer, Ola Brynhildsen and Federico Bernardeschi with 2 goals apiece. Ola Brynhildsen and Deybi Flores have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Tomas Romero (GK), Mitja Ilenic, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Birk Risa, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O'Neill, Andres Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Alonso Martinez, Hannes Wolf.

Toronto FC confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Sean Johnson (GK), Kevin Long, Sigurd Rosted, Raoul Petretta, Kosi Thompson, Matthew Longstaff, Maxime Dominguez, Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer, Theodor Corbeanu, Ola Brynhildsen.

New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Toronto +1 looks to be a sensible play on the Asian Handicap. You can get a price of -128 that the visitors prosper from having a one-goal advantage and we anticipate a competitive MLS clash.

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key New York City vs Toronto FC league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by TFC in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by TFC in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 9 of their last 10 games against TFC.

TFC +1 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Those searching for a different wager to betting TFC on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.

Our Match Prediction

Toronto Asian Hcp +1 @ -128 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

New York City 1 - 1 Toronto

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +600 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Ola Brynhildsen Over 0.5 Shots On Target -125

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC) can be wagered at -125 to record one or more shots on goal. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.

Latest Ola Brynhildsen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-133

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

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Theo Corbeanu to Score +425

Theo Corbeanu (TFC) has racked up three goals in his past four MLS matches on the road. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +425.

Latest Theo Corbeanu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-227

Shots

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -147

All of the past ten New York City home matches has seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with four consecutive Toronto games having the same outcome. The stats imply that it’s worth selecting Over for Total Corners, with -147 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

New York City

Total

11.70 6.30 5.40

Home

12.70 6.70 6.00

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Toronto

Total

9.60 4.20 5.40

Home

9.60 4.00 5.60

Away

7.90 3.00 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-139

New York City Corners

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

-102

Toronto Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+600

2

+190

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New York City vs Toronto FC Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have City as Favourites

The bookies have New York City FC at -179 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 64% likely to win this MLS encounter according to the latest betting odds. Toronto FC are the outsiders at +440 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then City are +108 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Toronto are +400 and the draw is priced at +148.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -147.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every MLS game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

-179

X

+325

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+108

X

+148

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-455

X2

+133

Draw No Bet

1

-435

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-102

2 Hcp +1

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+104

Alonso Martínez Favourite to Score the First Goal

Those interested in favourite Alonso Martínez to find the net first can get +310, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +102.

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+102

Anytime

+310

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+160

Anytime

+430

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+250

Anytime

+540

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Lorenzo Insigne (TFC)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Strahinja Tanasijevic (NYCFC)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Matty Longstaff (TFC)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Jonathan Shore (NYCFC)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-133

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-135

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-135

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-141

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-167

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-227

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-263

Lorenzo Insigne (TFC)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-370

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-417

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-476

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-588

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-625

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Insigne (TFC)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Previous Ten City Home Games Have Led to Five Wins

City have clocked up five wins, four defeats and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Toronto have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. The Ontario club have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

City beat Toronto 2-1 when they last met at Yankee Stadium. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Yankee Stadium have seen two draws along with a win for City and a victory for Toronto.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
New York City Home Stats		5-1-4	3.50	1.80	1.70	8	2	7	3
Toronto FC Away Stats		3-3-4	3.00	1.50	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

New York City vs Toronto FC Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for City vs Toronto team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the MLS squads so that you know every player on the roster.

New York City Team Page Toronto FC Team Page