New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

MLS Betting Preview: New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union

New York Red Bulls host Philadelphia Union in this MLS match at Sports Illustrated Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 16 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Over 2.5 Looks Value

We’re heading to the Total Goals market and backing the Over 2.5 selection at a price of -137. There’s a strong prospect that NY Red Bulls and Philadelphia will land a payout and we’re going into this bet with confidence.

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7 Union Wins in Last 10 H2H Clashes

Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls last met on Wednesday night, with Philadelphia Union winning 3-2 at home. Tai Baribo, Milan Iloski and Olwethu Makhanya were on the scoresheet for Philadelphia, with Wikelman Carmona and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting finding the net for Red Bulls.

Philadelphia have three consecutive wins against Red Bulls. They have won 7 of the 10 previous H2H meetings.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Philadelphia	26	15	6	5	44	25	19	44:25	51
16	NY Red Bulls	26	10	6	10	41	37	4	41:37	36

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Red Bulls have had 52.0% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.8 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting has found the net 6 times, Emil Forsberg 4, with Alexander Hack and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Emil Forsberg with 3.

Philadelphia have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. The Union have averaged 48.4% possession, 6.6 corners awarded and 3.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

The top scorers have been Indiana Vassilev, Tai Baribo, Mikael Uhre and Bruno Damiani, with 2 goals apiece. Kai Wagner has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

New York Red Bulls predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): AJ Marcucci (GK), Dylan Nealis, Sean Nealis, Alexander Hack, Raheem Edwards, Ronald Donkor, Daniel Edelman, Wikelman Carmona, Emil Forsberg, Mohammed Sofo, Eric Choupo-Moting.

Philadelphia Union predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andre Blake (GK), Nathan Harriel, Olwethu Makhanya, Neil Pierre, Kai Wagner, Quinn Sullivan, Danley Jean Jacques, Jesús Bueno, Indiana Vassilev, Bruno Damiani, Tai Baribo.

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see at least three goals scored for this MLS game. As a result, we’ll go for Over 2.5 Goals and the available odds of -137 look really attractive.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest MLS stats.

Key New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Red Bulls games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Red Bulls games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Red Bulls games at home.

Over 2.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you like the idea of Over 2.5 Goals but are in search of a bigger price, there’s the chance to give the Result & Total Goals market a go. This involves combining the above selection with a team to win.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -137 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NY Red Bulls 2 - 1 Philadelphia

Our prediction for the correct score is NY Red Bulls to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +750. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Mohammed Sofo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Mohammed Sofo (Red Bulls) can be backed at -114 to record a minimum of one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Mohammed Sofo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-125

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Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting to Score +185

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (Red Bulls) has been among the goals in eight of his past ten MLS home matches. We’re content to land the +185 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+185

First

+460

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+160

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Corners Prediction

NY Red Bulls Under 4.5 Corners -111

New York Red Bulls have been awarded an average of 3.20 corners in the past 5 games, while the corner count against Philadelphia has been less than 4.5 in the last seven away matches. There’s a price of -111 for this Team Corners bet and we think the Red Bulls line is too big.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

NY Red Bulls

Total

9.10 4.30 4.80

Home

7.90 4.10 3.80

Away

9.60 4.70 4.90

Philadelphia

Total

9.90 6.60 3.30

Home

11.50 7.10 4.40

Away

8.60 5.30 3.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-116

NY Red Bulls Corners

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-111

Philadelphia Corners

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-115

Most Corners

1

+105

X

+650

2

+112

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New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Struggling to Separate Teams

New York Red Bulls are +150 with the bookies to get the better of Philadelphia Union, with the latter having the same betting odds. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this MLS clash, this can be wagered at +270.

If you want to side with Red Bulls winning against Philadelphia, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land +110 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -167 on the Both Teams to Score market.

If you’re betting on MLS games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+270

2

+150

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+128

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-192

12

-357

X2

-192

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-119

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+110

2 Hcp +0.25

-161

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+120

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Heads First Goalscorer Market

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +460. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +185.

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (Red Bulls)

First

+185

Anytime

+460

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

First

+195

Anytime

+475

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Mohammed Sofo (Red Bulls)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Emil Forsberg (Red Bulls)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Serge Ngoma (Red Bulls)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Julian Hall (Red Bulls)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Dennis Gjengaar (Red Bulls)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Wikelman Carmona (Red Bulls)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ronald Donkor (Red Bulls)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Omar Valencia (Red Bulls)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+160

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+140

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+112

Mohammed Sofo (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-125

Emil Forsberg (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-128

Serge Ngoma (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-149

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-152

Julian Hall (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-175

Dennis Gjengaar (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-227

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-313

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-435

Wikelman Carmona (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-333

Ronald Donkor (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-417

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-667

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-833

Omar Valencia (Red Bulls)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-833

Philadelphia Have Won Past Three H2H Sports Illustrated Stadium Meetings Against Red Bulls

Red Bulls have finished with seven wins, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Philadelphia have failed to win in their last three matches on their travels. Bradley Carnell's side have four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

The last Sports Illustrated Stadium meeting saw Philadelphia beat Red Bulls 2-0. In the previous 7 H2H meetings at Sports Illustrated Stadium, we’ve seen four Philadelphia victories, one Red Bulls win and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
New York Red Bulls Home Stats		7-1-2	4.30	2.70	1.60	8	2	7	3
Philadelphia Union Away Stats		4-2-4	1.60	0.80	0.80	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Lineups & Team News

The latest Red Bulls vs Philadelphia team news could impact your bets — review it first. Receive the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

New York Red Bulls Team Page Philadelphia Union Team Page