Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Dec 2025

A-League Betting Preview: Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets square off against Melbourne City at McDonald Jones Stadium, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Saturday 6 December.

By backing Newcastle +0.5 at -127, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against Melbourne City, with the stats backing up our Asian Handicap prediction.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

Newcastle Jets have suffered back-to-back A-League home defeats. In their last league game, they beat Auckland 2-1 on the road at Go Media Stadium. Mark Milligan's team had 48% possession and four shots on target, while Will Dobson and Lachlan Rose each scored one goal.

Melbourne City drew on the road in their previous game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Central Coast Mariners at Industree Group Stadium. The Cranbourne East club enjoyed 58% possession and recorded five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle overcame City away when the sides last clashed. It was a 1-0 scoreline at AAMI Park. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six City wins, two draws and two Newcastle victories.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Melb City	6	2	3	1	8	5	3	8:5	9
11	Newcastle Jets	6	2	0	4	11	15	-4	11:15	6

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. Newcastle have had 54.0% possession and 4.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.0 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.

Alexander Badolato leads the way with 4 goals, Lachlan Rose has 3, with Ben Gibson and two others on 2. Clayton Taylor has made the most assists with 3.

City have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, averaging 11.0 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Aurelio Vidmar's men average 54.2% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 3.2 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.

Max Caputo has scored 5 goals, followed by Yonatan Cohen and Aziz Behich on 2. Andreas Kuen, Takeshi Kanamori and Marco Tilio have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips

This Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can feel confident with our bet on Newcastle +0.5 at odds of -127. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this A-League game and this pick has the stats to back up a positive outcome.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the A-League experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Newcastle in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by City in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by City in 11 of their last 17 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by City in 2 consecutive games.

The best betting apps make it a 55.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are larger prices available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

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Our Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 1 City

There are attractive odds of +475 when it comes to a 1-1 draw being played out. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alexander Badolato to Score +310

Alexander Badolato (Newcastle) has managed four goals in his past six A-League games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +310 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Alexander Badolato Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+750

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -120

We’ve seen the past ten Melbourne City matches feature an average 7.90 corners, while the previous five Newcastle home games have averaged 8.00. We’re happy to back the -120 when it comes to the teams falling short of the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

9.90 4.50 5.40

Home

9.20 5.10 4.10

Away

13.90 4.80 9.10

City

Total

7.90 4.70 3.20

Home

7.60 5.30 2.30

Away

8.80 5.30 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-120

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-143

City Corners

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

-104

Most Corners

1

+175

X

+700

2

-179

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Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the bookies giving them a 51% probability of winning, Melbourne City might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -105 when it comes to triumphing in this A-League clash. Newcastle Jets are the underdogs at +250 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back City at -222 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Newcastle at +150.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -189.

All of the A-League games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+250

X

+265

2

-105

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

+143

2

+140

Double Chance

1X

-135

12

-417

X2

-400

Draw No Bet

1

+150

2

-222

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-127

2 Hcp -0.5

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-189

No

+130

Favourite Max Caputo is priced at +240 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of -114.

Max Caputo (City)

First

-114

Anytime

+240

Benjamin Mazzeo (City)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Eli Adams (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Elbasan Rashani (City)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Mathew Leckie (City)

First

+255

Anytime

+650

Andrew Nabbout (City)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle)

First

+265

Anytime

+650

Ben Gibson (Newcastle)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Andreas Kuen (City)

First

+285

Anytime

+700

Alexander Badolato (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Clayton Taylor (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Lawrence Wong (City)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Oscar Fryer (Newcastle)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Alessandro Lopane (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Max Burgess (Newcastle)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Alex Nunes (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Lachlan Bayliss (Newcastle)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Emin Durakovic (City)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Zane Schreiber (City)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Thomas Aquilina (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Lucas Scicluna (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Harrison Shillington (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Nathaniel Atkinson (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Kosta Grozos (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Kai Trewin (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Newcastle have collected five defeats, four wins and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

City have five draws, four wins and one defeat in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

City beat Newcastle 1-0 when the teams last met at McDonald Jones Stadium. City have five wins in the last 8 H2H meetings at McDonald Jones Stadium, while Newcastle have secured three victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Jets Home Stats		4-1-5	4.20	2.30	1.90	8	2	7	3
Melbourne City Away Stats		4-5-1	2.60	1.50	1.10	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Newcastle vs City team news. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed A-League lineups and the latest on injuries.

Newcastle Jets Team Page Melbourne City Team Page

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