Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Feb 2025


Victory to Triumph?
We can’t resist the chance to back Melbourne Victory on the basis that they are -125 to land a win against Newcastle. We’ll back this Full-Time Result wager with optimism based on the available information.
1-1 Draw in Pair’s Last Meeting
Newcastle Jets drew away from home in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Central Coast Mariners at Industree Group Stadium. Robert Stanton's team recorded seven shots on target and had 49% possession, while Lachlan Rose and Mark Natta each scored one goal.
Melbourne Victory have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-0 in their previous game. This was on the road against Perth Glory at HBF Park. The Boys in Blue enjoyed 57% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Nishan Velupillay and Clarismario Rodrigus were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Melbourne are unbeaten in the past three games against Newcastle, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at McDonald Jones Stadium. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved four Melbourne wins, three Newcastle victories and three draws.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | ![]() |
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 44:36 | 43 |
9 | ![]() |
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 43:44 | 30 |
Newcastle have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. The Jets have averaged 51.9% possession and 5.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 5.3 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 5.9 corners.
Top scorer is Ben Gibson on 4 goals, while Lachlan Rose has racked up 3 and Clayton Taylor 2. Thomas Aquilina is the leading assists maker with 4.
Melbourne Victory – Last 10 League GamesVictory have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, averaging 12.0 attempts, 5.9 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. Arthur Diles' side average 52.4% possession, 6.5 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.
The top scorers have been Clarismario Rodrigus and Bruno Fornaroli on 3, with Nikolaos Vergos getting 2. Zinedine Machach and Daniel Arzani are the top assists providers with 3 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle Jets confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Noah James (GK), Thomas Aquilina, Phillip Cancar, Mark Natta, Daniel Wilmering, Lachlan Bayliss, Kostandinos Grozos, Callum Timmins, Eli Adams, Ben Gibson, Clayton Taylor.
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mitchell Langerak (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Roderick Miranda, Brendan Hamill, Adama Traore, Jordi Valadon, Ryan Teague, Nishan Velupillay, Zinedine Machach, Clarismario Rodrigus, Nikolaos Vergos.
Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction is that Melbourne Victory will have too much for the opposition and we’ll therefore take the -125 when it comes to this A-League clash. This wager sticks out when it comes to landing value.
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory league stats:
Victory to Win Probability
According to the bookies, our pick has a 55.6% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you anticipate that Victory will win but also concede one goal or more, then it’s logical that the Result + BTTS Yes pick offers an attractive betting option at bigger odds.

Correct Score Prediction
We’re going for Victory at +700 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Corners Prediction
Melbourne Victory have averaged 5.30 corners in the past 10 away matches, with the corner count against Newcastle going under 6.5 in their previous seven home games. We’re happy to back the -125 when it comes to Melbourne Victory falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.






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Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Odds
The Melbourne Victory betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -125 favourites to land victory in this A-League encounter which means a 56% chance of winning. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Newcastle Jets are available at +333.3.
A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to A-League matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.







- A-League: 03/02 2024 Newcastle 1 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 29/10 2023 Melbourne Victory 5 Newcastle 3
- FFA Cup: 17/07 2023 Newcastle 6 Melbourne Victory 4
- A-League: 12/02 2023 Newcastle 2 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 04/11 2022 Melbourne Victory 4 Newcastle 0
- A-League: 16/04 2022 Newcastle 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 12/02 2022 Melbourne Victory 1 Newcastle 2
- A-League: 10/04 2021 Newcastle 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 21/02 2021 Melbourne Victory 0 Newcastle 1
- A-League: 22/02 2020 Newcastle 1 Melbourne Victory 1


- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle Jets this season are Ben Gibson (4), Eli Adams (3), Lachlan Rose (3)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle Jets this season are Ben Gibson (4), Thomas Aquilina (4), Clayton Taylor (2)
Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Newcastle vs Victory team news.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest A-League squads.
Newcastle Jets Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Jets Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Jets Substitutes
- 1Ryan Scott
- 6Matthew Scarcella
- 9Lachlan Rose
- 10Wellissol
- 18Kota Mizunuma
- 20Charles M'Mombwa
- 28Will Dobson
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 7Daniel Arzani
- 10Bruno Fornaroli
- 18Fabian Monge
- 19Jing Reec
- 25Jack Duncan
- 27Reno Piscopo
- 34Kayne Razmovski
Previous Newcastle Jets Lineups
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:27 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:25 | 48 |
3 | Western United | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55:37 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58:40 | 46 |
5 | Melb Victory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44:36 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53:46 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50:45 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43:44 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29:51 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:43 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32:51 | 21 |
13 | Perth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22:56 | 17 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 26 |
3 | Melb Victory | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 25 |
4 | Western United | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:17 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:27 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |

















