Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets go head-to-head with Wellington Phoenix at McDonald Jones Stadium, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Friday 23 January.

We have a strong reason to back Wellington on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given a +0.75 start at odds of -116 against Newcastle. With the stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0, we’re confident of a payout.

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Newcastle Jets triumphed in their last game 2-1, making it three on the bounce. This was an away victory at CommBank Stadium against Western Sydney. Mark Milligan's team had 43% possession and totalled six shots on target, while Joe Shaughnessy and Eli Adams scored one goal apiece.

Wellington Phoenix won their previous league game 2-0. This victory at Allianz Stadium against Sydney FC was their second A-League road win on the spin. The New Zealand outfit had just 32% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Carlo Armiento and Isaac Robert Hughes finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Newcastle who came out on top when they last played Wellington. At Sky Stadium, a 3-1 away win was recorded. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Wellington victories, four Newcastle wins and one draw.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Newcastle Jets	13	7	0	6	26	24	2	26:24	21
8	Wellington	13	5	3	5	21	22	-1	21:22	18

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Newcastle have had 51.2% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while being awarded 6.6 corners.

Lachlan Rose is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Eli Adams, Will Dobson and Xavier Bertoncello each have 3. Alexander Badolato has recorded the most assists with 3.

Wellington have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 9.2 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. Giancarlo Italiano's side average 51.1% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Ifeanyi Eze is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Carlo Armiento, Isaac Robert Hughes, Corban Piper and Ramy Najjarine have 2. Kazuki Nagasawa has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wellington +0.75 could be the best way forward at odds of -116 in this A-League encounter. We feel optimistic that the underdogs can punch above their weight and be tough to beat.

Our A-League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Wellington in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Wellington in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Wellington in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games against Wellington.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Wellington Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 1 Wellington

There are odds of +600 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lachlan Rose to Score +133

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle) has racked up three goals in his past five A-League games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +133 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Lachlan Rose Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+133

First

+390

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Corners Prediction

Wellington Under 4.5 Corners -149

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Wellington in their past four away games, while the previous 10 Newcastle home matches have seen them concede an average of 4.10 corners. The Wellington Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

11.80 5.20 6.60

Home

9.80 5.70 4.10

Away

12.80 4.80 8.00

Wellington

Total

10.10 5.10 5.00

Home

10.20 5.70 4.50

Away

9.10 3.00 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-139

Under 10.5

-102

Newcastle Corners

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-143

Wellington Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-149

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+750

2

+195

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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Newcastle Jets are regarded as having a 59% chance of winning this A-League clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -143. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +320 for Wellington Phoenix.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Wellington are +295 here and the draw is +170, with Newcastle on offer at +110.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -294 for the BTTS Yes option.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for A-League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+310

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+110

X

+170

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-526

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-122

2 Hcp +0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+200

Over 2.5

-313

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-294

No

+195

Eli Adams is the market leader at +400 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Eli Adams (Newcastle)

First

+128

Anytime

+400

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle)

First

+133

Anytime

+390

Ben Gibson (Newcastle)

First

+148

Anytime

+430

Clayton Taylor (Newcastle)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Alex Nunes (Newcastle)

First

+205

Anytime

+600

Max Burgess (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Lachlan Bayliss (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+245

Anytime

+750

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+300

Anytime

+900

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Lucas Scicluna (Newcastle)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Kosta Grozos (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Mark Natta (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Daniel Wilmering (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Ben Van Dorssen (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Newcastle have seven losses and three victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 2.30.

Wellington have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Wellington enjoyed a 2-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Newcastle at McDonald Jones Stadium. In the past 8 H2H matches at McDonald Jones Stadium, we have seen three wins for each team and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Jets Home Stats		3-0-7	4.50	2.20	2.30	7	3	6	4
Wellington Phoenix Away Stats		3-3-4	3.20	1.50	1.70	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Newcastle vs Wellington team news before placing your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Newcastle Jets Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page

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