Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

Third-placed Newcastle Jets go head-to-head with Wellington Phoenix at McDonald Jones Stadium, with kick-off set for 04:35 on Friday 23 January.

We have a strong reason to back Wellington on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given a +0.75 start at odds of -116 against Newcastle. With the stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0, we’re confident of a payout.

Newcastle Jets triumphed in their last game 2-1, making it three on the bounce. This was an away victory at CommBank Stadium against Western Sydney. Mark Milligan's team had 43% possession and totalled six shots on target, while Joe Shaughnessy and Eli Adams scored one goal apiece.

Wellington Phoenix won their previous league game 2-0. This victory at Allianz Stadium against Sydney FC was their second A-League road win on the spin. The New Zealand outfit had just 32% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Carlo Armiento and Isaac Robert Hughes finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Newcastle who came out on top when they last played Wellington. At Sky Stadium, a 3-1 away win was recorded. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Wellington victories, four Newcastle wins and one draw.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Newcastle Jets	20	13	1	6	43	30	13	43:30	40
11	Wellington	20	5	6	9	29	40	-11	29:40	21

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Newcastle have had 51.2% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while being awarded 6.6 corners.

Lachlan Rose is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Eli Adams, Will Dobson and Xavier Bertoncello each have 3. Alexander Badolato has recorded the most assists with 3.

Wellington have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 9.2 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. Giancarlo Italiano's side average 51.1% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Ifeanyi Eze is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Carlo Armiento, Isaac Robert Hughes, Corban Piper and Ramy Najjarine have 2. Kazuki Nagasawa has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle Jets confirmed lineup (4-3-3): James Delianov (GK), Joel Bertolissio, Joe Shaughnessy, Mark Natta, Daniel Wilmering, Lachlan Bayliss, Max Burgess, Will Dobson, Eli Adams, Lachlan Rose, Clayton Taylor.

Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Eamonn McCarron (GK), Tim Payne, Manjrekar James, Isaac Robert Hughes, Matthew Sheridan, Ramy Najjarine, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Carlo Armiento, Ifeanyi Eze, Corban Piper.

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wellington +0.75 could be the best way forward at odds of -116 in this A-League encounter. We feel optimistic that the underdogs can punch above their weight and be tough to beat.

Our A-League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Wellington in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Wellington in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Wellington in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games against Wellington.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

For those bettors looking to boost their odds about Wellington covering the line, why not look to combine this selection with some of the many alternatives in a Bet Builder.

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Our Match Prediction

Wellington Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -116 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 21, 10:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 1 Wellington

There are odds of +650 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lachlan Rose to Score +133

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle) has racked up three goals in his past five A-League games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +133 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Lachlan Rose Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+102

First

+320

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Wellington Under 4.5 Corners -149

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Wellington in their past four away games, while the previous 10 Newcastle home matches have seen them concede an average of 4.10 corners. The Wellington Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

11.80 5.20 6.60

Home

9.80 5.70 4.10

Away

12.80 4.80 8.00

Wellington

Total

10.10 5.10 5.00

Home

10.20 5.70 4.50

Away

9.10 3.00 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-114

Newcastle Corners

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-147

Wellington Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+750

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Newcastle Jets are regarded as having a 62% chance of winning this A-League clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -161. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +340 for Wellington Phoenix.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Wellington are +310 here and the draw is +175, with Newcastle on offer at +104.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -278 for the BTTS Yes option.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for A-League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-161

X

+330

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+104

X

+175

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-556

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-137

2 Hcp +0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+205

Over 2.5

-313

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-278

No

+185

Lachlan Rose is the market leader at +320 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle)

First

+102

Anytime

+320

Eli Adams (Newcastle)

First

+125

Anytime

+380

Ben Gibson (Newcastle)

First

+148

Anytime

+440

Clayton Taylor (Newcastle)

First

+163

Anytime

+500

Alex Nunes (Newcastle)

First

+205

Anytime

+600

Max Burgess (Newcastle)

First

+215

Anytime

+650

Lachlan Bayliss (Newcastle)

First

+225

Anytime

+650

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Thomas Aquilina (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+950

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Lucas Scicluna (Newcastle)

First

+335

Anytime

+1050

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Kosta Grozos (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Daniel Wilmering (Newcastle)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Mark Natta (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Ben Van Dorssen (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Isaac Hughes (Wellington)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Newcastle have seven losses and three victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 2.30.

Wellington have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Wellington enjoyed a 2-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Newcastle at McDonald Jones Stadium. In the past 8 H2H matches at McDonald Jones Stadium, we have seen three wins for each team and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Jets Home Stats		3-0-7	4.50	2.20	2.30	7	3	6	4
Wellington Phoenix Away Stats		3-3-4	3.20	1.50	1.70	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Newcastle vs Wellington team news before placing your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Newcastle Jets Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page

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