Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Aug 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Liverpool

Newcastle host Liverpool in this highly anticipated Premier League clash at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 25 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Side With Magpies and a Goals Start

We’re going to side with Newcastle on the Asian Handicap with a +0.5 goal start. They can either win or avoid defeat against Liverpool, with this bet looking like a value proposition at -125.

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Liverpool Have 7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Alexander Isak’s explosive transfer saga dominates the buildup, with Newcastle United's star striker training alone amid Liverpool’s potential record-breaking bid, turning this encounter into more than a battle for three points.

Newcastle began their Premier League campaign with an away trip to Aston Villa. It was a 0-0 draw at Villa Park. Eddie Howe's side had most of the ball enjoying 59% possession and three shots on target.

Defending champions Liverpool opened the season with a 4–2 win over Bournemouth at Anfield. The Reds boasted 61% possession and recorded ten shots on goal, with Hugo Ekitike, Cody Gakpo, Federico Chiesa and Mohamed Salah finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle triumphed 2-1 when they last played Liverpool. This EFL Cup head-to-head was played at Wembley. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in seven Liverpool victories, two draws and a solitary win for Newcastle.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	4	2	2	4:2	3
15	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0:0	1

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 15.4 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 55.0% possession, 454.0 passes and 6.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 9.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while earning 5.2 corners.

Harvey Barnes leads the way with 4 goals, with Jacob Murphy and Alexander Isak getting 3 apiece. Jacob Murphy and Kieran Trippier are top assists makers with 3, while goalkeeper Nick Pope has kept 5 clean sheets.

Liverpool have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, averaging 5.8 shots on goal, 17.5 attempts and 2.1 goals. Arne Slot's men average 60.2% possession, 518.1 passes, 7.5 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 11.4 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Luis Diaz has top scored with 4, while Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo are next best on 3. Alexis Mac Allister and Dominik Szoboszlai are the top assist makers with 3 apiece, while Alisson Becker has notched one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schaer, Daniel Burn, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.

Liverpool predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Curtis Jones, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Newcastle vs Liverpool with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

Newcastle are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start. The home team should be able to win or draw this Premier League game, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet at -125.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Premier League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Newcastle vs Liverpool league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Newcastle in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Newcastle in 14 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Newcastle +0.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you’re in the market to boost your price for Newcastle covering the line, then think about adding this selection to a Bet Builder along with other legs that you like.

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Our Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 1 Liverpool

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +575 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Mohamed Salah Over 2.5 Shots -164

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) has fired over 2.5 shots in three consecutive Premier League games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get -164 that he goes over the line.

Latest Mohamed Salah Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+128

First

+340

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-208

Shots

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

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Harvey Barnes to Score +320

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has registered three goals in his past five Premier League games on home soil. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +320.

Latest Harvey Barnes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-127

Shots

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Newcastle Over 4.5 Corners -138

We’ve seen an average of 7.40 Newcastle corners in the past five home games. We think this presents a convincing argument and we’ll bet on Newcastle to cover the Team Corners line which is on offer at odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

11.50 6.30 5.20

Home

10.70 6.20 4.50

Away

11.30 5.40 5.90

Liverpool

Total

10.40 7.50 2.90

Home

9.70 6.60 3.10

Away

10.00 6.90 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-128

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Liverpool Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+132

X

+700

2

-123

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Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Liverpool Most Likely to Win

The latest Liverpool odds are +102 which leads to them being favourites in this Premier League clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 50% prospect of securing a victory. The market suggests that Newcastle United are least likely to win at +235.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Liverpool available at -200 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Newcastle at +140.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -204.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Premier League games.

Full-Time Result

1

+235

X

+285

2

+102

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+148

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-130

12

-385

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+140

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-125

2 Hcp -0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+145

Over 2.5

-185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+148

Mohamed Salah Favourite to Score the First Goal

Favourite Mohamed Salah is available at +340 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

First

+128

Anytime

+340

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+225

Anytime

+600

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Harvey Elliott (Liverpool)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+145

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+123

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+110

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+105

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-123

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-115

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-127

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-179

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-208

Harvey Elliott (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Elliott (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-357

Under 0.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Liverpool Undefeated Against Newcastle in Past Seven H2H St James' Park Meetings

Newcastle have seven wins and three defeats in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Liverpool have clocked up four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

The last St James' Park meeting saw Newcastle and Liverpool draw 3-3. The past 7 H2H matches at St James' Park have featured five Liverpool wins and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		7-0-3	3.30	2.40	0.90	6	4	5	5
Liverpool Away Stats		4-3-3	3.10	1.70	1.40	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News

Always review the Newcastle vs Liverpool team news before locking in your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Newcastle United Team Page Liverpool Team Page