Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

FA Cup Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Manchester City

Premier League teams Newcastle and Manchester City meet at St James' Park in the FA Cup fifth round, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 7 March.

Our view is that Man City will prove too powerful across the board and we’ll therefore take the -105 that they defeat Newcastle. This Full-Time Result bet looks like the way forward.

Newcastle United were winners last time out. Landing a 2-1 Premier League home victory against Manchester United at St James' Park. Eddie Howe's team had five shots on target and 45% possession, with Anthony Gordon and William Osula scoring one goal each.

Manchester City hosted Nottingham Forest in their previous game, ending in a 2-2 Premier League draw at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens racked up five shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Antoine Semenyo and Rodri were on the scoresheet.

In their last FA Cup games, Newcastle beat Aston Villa 3-1 away, while City hosted Salford City and won 2-0.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was City who came out on top when they last played Newcastle. At Etihad Stadium, a 2-1 Premier League home win was recorded. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H meetings include seven City triumphs, two draws and one Newcastle win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	29	18	6	5	59	27	32	59:27	60
12	Newcastle	29	11	6	12	42	43	-1	42:43	39

View Full Table

Newcastle have 3 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. The Magpies have averaged 54.0% possession and 7.2 corners per match, conceding 1.9 goals and 4.2 corners from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

The three top scorers are Anthony Gordon, Jacob Ramsey and Sandro Tonali, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Kieran Trippier, Joelinton and Sandro Tonali have the most assists with 1, while goalie Nick Pope has recorded one clean sheet.

City have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 2, averaging 14.4 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Pep Guardiola's side average 63.9% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.

Antoine Semenyo has top scored with 5 goals, while Nico O'Reilly and Erling Haaland are next on 3 and 2. Erling Haaland has had 3 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma and James Trafford notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 9 games.

Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Newcastle vs Manchester City with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re bullish when it comes to our pick of Man City landing a win, with odds of -105 looking really appealing. We think the favourites have the potential to secure a victory in this FA Cup match.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest FA Cup team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Newcastle vs Manchester City FA Cup & league stats:

• City have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• City have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• City have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Newcastle have lost 7 of their last 10 games against City.

The best football betting sites make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bettors who are looking for a bigger price when backing City should take a look at the Asian Handicap. Place a bet on the favourites to cover the line that makes the most appeal.

Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.

Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 2 Man City

We’re predicting Man City to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +650. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Harvey Barnes Over 1.5 Shots -159

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has had over 1.5 shots in four straight home matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -159 are currently on offer.

Latest Harvey Barnes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+700

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Antoine Semenyo to Score +165

Antoine Semenyo (City) has been on the scoresheet in back-to-back games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +165 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Antoine Semenyo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this FA Cup clash, Manchester City are the -105 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 51% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Newcastle United, you will find +230 about this outsider.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 provides the chance to bet on City to effectively win. If you want to oppose them, there’s the alternative to back Newcastle +0.5 at -119 and that gets the draw onside.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -222 on the BTTS market.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the FA Cup coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+295

2

-105

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+148

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-125

12

-417

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+143

2

-208

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-119

2 Hcp -0.5

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-222

No

+160

Erling Haaland is available at -133 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +260 to find the net first.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-133

Anytime

+260

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+165

Anytime

+480

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+195

Anytime

+550

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Phil Foden (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+475

Anytime

+1400

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Rodri (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Newcastle Stats

Manchester City Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.22 corners awarded and 4.22 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 7.33 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 9 home matches
• An average of 11.44 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 12.33 corners awarded in the last 9 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 9 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.78 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.78 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 54.00% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 57.33% possession in the last 9 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 9 home matches

Possession

• An average of 63.89% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

Newcastle vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

The latest Newcastle vs City team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.

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