Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Sunderland

Fierce rivals Newcastle and Sunderland go head-to-head in the Tyne-Wear derby at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Sunday 22 March.

There’s lots of value when it comes to betting the -125 about Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. Newcastle and Sunderland have the potential to score three or more and we’re expecting a return.

Newcastle United have won back-to-back Premier League games. The latest was on their travels where Chelsea were beaten 1-0 at Stamford Bridge. Eddie Howe's side recorded 33% possession and had five shots on target, with Anthony Gordon scoring the winning goal in the 18th minute.

On Wednesday night, Newcastle were thrashed 7-2 away to Barcelona in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie, losing 8-3 on aggregate.

Sunderland lost when last in action. In a Premier League home game at the Stadium of Light, they were beaten 1-0 by Brighton. The Black Cats were 47% in the possession stakes and managed four shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sunderland won the most recent Tyne-Wear derby, beating Newcastle 1-0 at home at the Stadium of Light.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Newcastle	30	12	6	12	43	43	0	43:43	42
13	Sunderland	30	10	10	10	30	35	-5	30:35	40

View Full Table

Newcastle have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Eddie Howe's team have averaged 52.5% possession and 6.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal, 13.8 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Anthony Gordon is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Jacob Ramsey, Bruno Guimaraes and Harvey Barnes each have 2. Bruno Guimaraes has the most assists with 2, while goalies Nick Pope and Aaron Ramsdale collectively have 2 clean sheets.

Sunderland have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 46.6% possession, 374.9 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts.

The top scorers have been Habib Diarra, Enzo Le Fee and Brian Brobbey, with 2 goals apiece. Nordi Mukiele has been the top assist maker on 2, with Robin Roefs and Melker Ellborg collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Joseph Willock, Jacob Ramsey, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon.

Sunderland predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Melker Ellborg (GK), Lutsharel Geertruida, Dennis Cirkin, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume, Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Chris Rigg, Habib Diarra, Chemsdine Talbi, Brian Brobbey.

Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Newcastle vs Sunderland betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two Premier League sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -125 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Premier League odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.

Key Newcastle vs Sunderland league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Newcastle games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Newcastle games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Newcastle games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Sunderland games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Sunderland games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 55.6% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are lots of betting alternatives and that includes the BTTS Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market. It’s a nice simple bet where you can land a return if both teams score at least one goal before the full-time whistle.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 14:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 2 - 1 Sunderland

Newcastle are available at +600 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Harvey Barnes Over 3.5 Shots +135

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has recorded an average of 3.6 shots in his past five Premier League home matches. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the +135 available.

Latest Harvey Barnes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+475

Shots

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

---

Anthony Gordon to Score +160

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) has been on the scoresheet in back-to-back Premier League games. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +160 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Anthony Gordon Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+420

Shots

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Sunderland Under 3.5 Corners +104

Sunderland have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in four consecutive away matches, while Newcastle have yielded an average of 3.60 corners in their previous 5 home games. The Sunderland Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of +104.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

11.20 6.80 4.40

Home

12.50 7.10 5.40

Away

11.40 6.60 4.80

Sunderland

Total

8.90 3.40 5.50

Home

8.70 3.70 5.00

Away

9.20 3.50 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-128

Newcastle Corners

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

+110

Sunderland Corners

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+105

Most Corners

1

-227

X

+750

2

+215

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Sunderland Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Some will want to go ahead and back Newcastle United at -149 to win this Premier League encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 60% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Sunderland are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +410.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Newcastle -0.75 against Sunderland at -116. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

You can land odds which are similar whether you’re betting Over or Under 2.5 Goals. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -137.

If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Premier League games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+285

2

+410

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+130

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-400

X2

+114

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-116

2 Hcp +0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-100

The First Goalscorer favourite is Anthony Gordon at +420, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+160

Anytime

+420

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Eliezer Mayenda (Sunderland)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Chemsdine Talbi (Sunderland)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Habib Diarra (Sunderland)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Malick Thiaw (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Christopher Rigg (Sunderland)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Kieran Trippier (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Sven Botman (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Tino Livramento (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-227

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Eliezer Mayenda (Sunderland)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Habib Diarra (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Christopher Rigg (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Malick Thiaw (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Chemsdine Talbi (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Newcastle have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Sunderland have finished with five defeats, four draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.50 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		3-2-5	3.50	1.60	1.90	7	3	7	3
Sunderland Away Stats		1-4-5	2.10	0.50	1.60	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Sunderland Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Newcastle vs Sunderland team news before placing your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Newcastle United Team Page Sunderland Team Page

Top Football Pages