Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Liverpool

Brighton take on Liverpool at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 21 March.

Brighton +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Liverpool the desired outcome at betting odds of -111.

Brighton won their last game. It was on their travels where Sunderland were beaten 1-0 at Stadium of Light. The Sussex team had 53% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Yankuba Minteh getting the all-important goal in the 58th minute.

Liverpool drew 1–1 with Tottenham at Anfield in their previous Premier League outing. The Reds managed four shots on goal and enjoyed 63% possession, while Dominik Szoboszlai found the net.

Three days ago, Liverpool hosted Galatasaray in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie, securing a 4–0 victory. The result saw Liverpool progress to the quarter-finals with a 4–1 aggregate win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liverpool have claimed consecutive victories over Brighton, winning by 3-0 and 2-0 scorelines when hosting at Anfield. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Liverpool victories and three Brighton wins. There have also been two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Liverpool	35	17	7	11	59	47	12	59:47	58
8	Brighton	35	13	11	11	49	42	7	49:42	50

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Brighton have had 53.5% possession, 473.5 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, the Seagulls have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.1 corners.

Top scorers Danny Welbeck and Diego Gomez have found the net 2 times, with Yankuba Minteh getting 1. Leading assistor is Yasin Ayari with 2, while goalie Bart Verbruggen has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Liverpool have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.7 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 17.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.1% possession, 526.8 passes, 6.9 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.

Dominik Szoboszlai, Virgil van Dijk and Hugo Ekitike have top scored with 3, while Alexis Mac Allister is next on 2. Mohamed Salah has been chief assist maker on 3, with Alisson Becker recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck.

Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-2-2): Giorgi Mamardashvili (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike.

Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Brighton vs Liverpool with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Brighton +0.25 for this Premier League game, with odds of -111 available. We have a feeling that Fabian Hurzeler's team can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Premier League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Brighton vs Liverpool league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 2 consecutive games.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.6% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There are larger prices available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Brighton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -111 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 19, 13:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Brighton 1 - 0 Liverpool

The Seagulls can be backed at +1050 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jack Hinshelwood Over 1.5 Shots -116

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) has totalled over 1.5 shots in five straight Premier League matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Player Shots line at odds of -116.

Latest Jack Hinshelwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1500

Shots

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

---

Danny Welbeck to Score +175

Danny Welbeck (Brighton) has racked up two goals in his past five Premier League matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +175 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Danny Welbeck Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Brighton Under 4.5 Corners -112

Brighton have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in four straight games, while Liverpool have conceded less than 4.5 corners in 4 of the past 5 away matches. We think Brighton might fall short of the mark, with odds of -112 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brighton

Total

9.80 4.70 5.10

Home

9.90 5.60 4.30

Away

9.80 3.90 5.90

Liverpool

Total

11.20 6.90 4.30

Home

10.80 6.50 4.30

Away

10.40 6.20 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+105

Under 10.5

-149

Brighton Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-119

Liverpool Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-154

Most Corners

1

+123

X

+650

2

-120

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Brighton vs Liverpool Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Liverpool are the skinniest price to succeed in this Premier League clash, with the favourites afforded a 47% probability based on their +115 betting odds with the bookies. Brighton are the +215 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Liverpool at -175 or instead go for Brighton at +123.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -208 on the Both Teams to Score market.

The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Premier League games.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+275

2

+115

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+138

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-147

12

-370

X2

-286

Draw No Bet

1

+123

2

-175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-108

2 Hcp -0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+135

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+150

You will find Hugo Ekitike at +400 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +130 that he finds the net at anytime.

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

+130

Anytime

+400

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+190

Anytime

+575

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+900

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Harry Howell (Brighton)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Brighton have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Liverpool have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

When the teams previously met at American Express Stadium, Brighton defeated Liverpool 3-2. In the past 9 H2H games at American Express Stadium, we have seen four Liverpool wins, three Brighton victories and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Brighton Home Stats		3-4-3	2.30	1.20	1.10	3	7	6	4
Liverpool Away Stats		4-3-3	2.80	1.40	1.40	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Brighton vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News

Always review the Brighton vs Liverpool team news before locking in your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus current injury reports.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page Liverpool Team Page

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