Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Mar 2025

Why Over 2.5 Goals Looks Like the Best Bet

Paderborn and Hamburger SV can score a combined three goals or more, with the odds for Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market making appeal. You can get -167 that this outcome happens and we’re confident.

Last H2H Saw Game End 2-2

Paderborn played Hannover 96 away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Heinz von Heiden-Arena. Lukas Kwasniok's team recorded six shots on target and boasted 67% possession, with Adriano Grimaldi scoring the goal.

Hamburger SV claimed a 3-0 home win over Kaiserslautern at Volksparkstadion in their previous game. The Dinosaurs had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 59% possession and eight shots on goal, with Davie Selke on the scoresheet twice and Fabio Balde also finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Paderborn have gone unbeaten in their past four games against Hamburg, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Volksparkstadion. The previous 10 H2H meetings have led to four wins each and two draws.

Paderborn have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. The North Rhine-Westphalia side have averaged 51.5% possession and 6.8 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.0 corners from 9.8 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Top scorer Adriano Grimaldi has found the net 3 times, with Marvin Mehlem, Raphael Obermair and Koen Kostons getting 2 each. Filip Bilbija, Raphael Obermair and Ilyas Ansah have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Hamburg have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 2.3 goals from 12.3 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.4% possession, 5.6 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 11.0 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

The leading scorer has been Davie Selke with 10, while Jean-Luc Dompe and Ransford Koenigsdoerffer have 3. Jean-Luc Dompe has been the top assist maker with 5 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Paderborn confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Manuel Riemann (GK), Marcel Hoffmeier, Felix Goetze, Calvin Brackelmann, Raphael Obermair, Marvin Mehlem, Tjark Scheller, Aaron Zehnter, Filip Bilbija, Casper Terho, Ilyas Ansah.

Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), William Mikelbrencis, Dennis Hadzikadunic, Daniel Elfadli, Miro Muheim, Jonas Meffert, Adam Karabec, Ludovit Reis, Emir Sahiti, Davie Selke, Jean-Luc Dompe.

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips

The odds of -167 look too big to resist when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals. We are confident of a return in this 2. Bundesliga game and this provides us with a nice betting angle.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Paderborn vs Hamburger SV league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Paderborn games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Paderborn games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 HSV games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 HSV games.

Over 2.5 Probability

The betting sites are estimating that there is a 62.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds for your Total Goals pick, then why not consider Over 3.5. It’s a great alternative wager where you need four or more to be scored in order for the bet to land.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -167 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Paderborn 2 - 1 Hamburger SV

Our prediction for the correct score is Paderborn to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +750. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Corners Prediction

Hamburger SV Over 4.5 Corners -135

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Hamburger SV in four straight matches, while the previous 10 Paderborn home games have seen them concede an average of 5.30 corners. We recommend backing the -135 that Hamburger SV are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Paderborn

Total

10.80 6.80 4.00

Home

11.90 6.60 5.30

Away

10.50 5.60 4.90

Hamburger SV

Total

11.10 5.60 5.50

Home

10.40 5.20 5.20

Away

10.80 5.30 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-123

Under 10.5

-114

Paderborn Corners

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-123

Hamburger SV Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-104

Most Corners

1

-135

X

+575

2

+125

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Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Odds

You can get 2. Bundesliga betting odds of +135 for a Paderborn win and the bookies have Hamburger SV available at +170. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +255.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting match.

The leading football betting sites allow customers to place a Bet Builder when it comes to 2. Bundesliga matches. Simply pick out the selections that you fancy and then combine them together on your bet slip.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+255

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+132

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-370

X2

-189

Draw No Bet

1

-130

2

+102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+105

2 Hcp +0.25

-137

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+140

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News

Our Paderborn vs HSV team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The 2. Bundesliga squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Paderborn Team Page Hamburger SV Team Page