Palmeiras vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jul 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Palmeiras vs Grêmio

Palmeiras host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 26 July. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Our Best Asian Handicap Bet

Grêmio +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -100. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Palmeiras and that gives us a fighting chance.

About to bet on our Asian Handicap pick? Use the latest BetMGM promo code and read our trusted review of the betting platform.

Palmeiras Landed 1-0 Victory in Previous H2H

Palmeiras won their previous Série A game 2-1. This road win against Fluminense made it two league victories on the spin. Abel Ferreira's men recorded 46% possession and had five shots on target, while Mauricio and Vitor Roque scored one goal apiece.

Grêmio drew 1-1 in their previous Série A game. This took place on their travels against Vasco da Gama. The Porto Alegre outfit enjoyed just 36% possession and had four shots on goal, with Gustavo Martins on the scoresheet.

Three days ago, Grêmio drew 1-1 at home to Alianza Lima in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 1-0 home victory for Palmeiras when they last faced Grêmio. The past 10 H2H games have seen six Palmeiras triumphs, one Grêmio win and three draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Palmeiras	21	14	4	3	32	17	15	32:17	46
14	Grêmio	22	6	7	9	20	27	-7	20:27	25

View Full Table

Palmeiras have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 11.1 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. The Big Green have averaged 52.2% possession and 7.6 corners per game, conceding 1.1 goals and 4.4 corners from 6.8 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

Top scorers are Mauricio and Vitor Roque on 3 goals, while Facundo Torres has racked up 2. Estevao is the top assists maker on 3.

Grêmio have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 42.4% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 7.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Martin Braithwaite is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Cristian Olivera on 2, with Gustavo Martins and two others bagging 1. Franco Cristaldo has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez, Lucas Evangelista, Emiliano Martinez, Facundo Torres, Mauricio, Luighi, Vitor Roque.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Gustavo Martins, Wagner Leonardo, Riquelme Freitas, Marlon, Alex Santana, Dodi, Cristian Pavon, Igor Serrote, Cristian Olivera, Martin Braithwaite.

Palmeiras vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Palmeiras vs Grêmio betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick, corners analysis and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Grêmio +1.25 are likely to be a popular Asian Handicap wager at -100. A win or draw against Palmeiras can secure a full payout and we’re confident heading into the Série A game.

The first port of call is to check out the Série A injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Palmeiras vs Grêmio league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 11 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 3 consecutive games against Grêmio.

Grêmio +1.25 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 50% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re searching for a larger price and feel confident that your selection will perform well, then moving the line can secure an increased possible pay out.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Match Prediction

Grêmio Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 1 - 1 Grêmio

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +750 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -100

The past five Grêmio matches have averaged 13.20 corners, while the average corner count has been 12.00 in the previous ten Palmeiras games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -100 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

12.00 7.60 4.40

Home

9.40 6.80 2.60

Away

11.80 6.30 5.50

Grêmio

Total

11.40 3.70 7.70

Home

11.50 4.40 7.10

Away

10.90 3.80 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-132

Palmeiras Corners

Over 6.5

-138

Under 6.5

-100

Grêmio Corners

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+125

Most Corners

1

-625

X

+800

2

+460

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Palmeiras vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have Palmeiras as Heavy Favourites

Palmeiras have been chalked up as the convincing -270 favourites for this Série A encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 73% probability of winning. Grêmio are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +750.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Palmeiras at -106, Grêmio at +600 or the draw at +132.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -204 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Série A matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

-270

X

+370

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-106

X

+132

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-1667

12

-588

X2

+185

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+460

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-110

2 Hcp +1.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+143

No

-204

José López Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

José López is priced at +360 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +165 to find the net anytime.

José López (Palmeiras)

First

+165

Anytime

+360

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+170

Anytime

+390

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Aníbal Moreno (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Nathan Allan de Souza (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Mayke Rocha Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-100

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-116

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-128

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-133

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-139

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-179

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-263

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-278

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Nathan Allan de Souza (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Aníbal Moreno (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Palmeiras vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Check the Palmeiras vs Grêmio team news before you place your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Palmeiras Team Page Grêmio Team Page