Palmeiras vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025

Palmeiras Good Value against São Paulo

Palmeiras take on fierce rivals São Paulo in this Clash of Kings encounter at Arena Barueri.

We’ll take Palmeiras at attractive betting odds of -150 considering that they could be dominant against São Paulo. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.

Palmeiras 2-1 to the Good in Previous H2H

Palmeiras got the win in their last game. A 1-0 triumph occurred on their travels when meeting Vasco da Gama. The Big Green had two shots on target and 48% possession, with Vitor Roque getting the all-important goal in the 60th minute.

São Paulo played out a 0-0 draw against Fortaleza in their previous game, with this being at home. Luis Zubeldia's side boasted 55% possession and had four shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have not lost to São Paulo in the past three meetings. Their last clash saw Palmeiras succeed by a 2-1 scoreline. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Palmeiras wins, three draws and three São Paulo victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Palmeiras	11	7	1	3	12	8	4	12:8	22
15	São Paulo	13	2	6	5	10	16	-6	10:16	12

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Palmeiras have had 48.6% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.

The three top scorers are Facundo Torres, Jose Lopez and Joaquin Piquerez, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Richard Rios is the leading assists maker with 3.

São Paulo have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 53.6% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts.

Ferreira got 3 goals, Andre notched 2, while Ryan Francisco and two other players scored 1. Ferreira has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Weverton (GK), Agustin Giay, Bruno Fuchs, Gustavo Gomez, Allan, Richard Rios, Anibal Moreno, Joaquin Piquerez, Estevao, Paulinho, Jose Lopez.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Ruan Tressoldi, Alan Franco, Wendell, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Cedric Soares, Matheus Alves, Ferreira, Andre.

Palmeiras vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Palmeiras can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Série A match. The odds of -150 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Palmeiras vs São Paulo league stats:

• Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Palmeiras have won 13 of their last 20 games.

Palmeiras to Win Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 60% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re wanting bigger odds about Palmeiras, then there are a number of alternatives including the Asian Handicap, Double Result and the Result & Both Teams to Score markets.

Our Match Prediction

Palmeiras To Win @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 2 - 0 São Paulo

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Palmeiras to win 2-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +600 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Facundo Torres Over 0.5 Shots On Target -123

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras) can be backed at -123 to have at least one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Facundo Torres Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-133

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

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Joaquín Piquerez to Score +450

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras) has scored two goals in his past seven Serie A matches. It’s worth a play on the +450 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Joaquín Piquerez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -120

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in three straight Palmeiras games, while there has been an average of 11.30 corners in the last ten matches involving São Paulo. There are odds of -120 being served up when it comes to this Total Corners wager and we think the teams can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

10.00 5.30 4.70

Home

9.20 6.00 3.20

Away

9.90 5.20 4.70

São Paulo

Total

11.30 4.80 6.50

Home

10.30 5.70 4.60

Away

10.50 4.10 6.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Palmeiras Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

São Paulo Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-244

X

+600

2

+220

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Palmeiras vs São Paulo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Expecting Palmeiras to Triumph

Palmeiras are the -138 favourites and that means a 58% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. São Paulo are the outsiders at +450 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now.

If you fancy Palmeiras but want money back if this Série A match is a draw, then you can get -400. You can bet on São Paulo at +275 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

-138

X

+240

2

+450

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

-100

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-699

12

-333

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

+104

2 Hcp +0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+150

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-175

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves is the market leader at +540 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Palmeiras)

First

+275

Anytime

+540

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+275

Anytime

+540

José López (Palmeiras)

First

+285

Anytime

+550

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+340

Anytime

+650

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+360

Anytime

+700

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+540

Anytime

+900

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Aníbal Moreno (Palmeiras)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+105

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+102

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-133

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-133

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-141

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-149

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-294

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-303

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-667

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-769

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Palmeiras vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Palmeiras vs São Paulo team news.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Série A squads.

Palmeiras Team Page São Paulo Team Page