Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Aug 2025

MLS Betting Preview: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC

Philadelphia Union host Toronto FC in this MLS match at Subaru Park, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 9 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get the Best Bet for the Game

We’re sweet on Philadelphia against Toronto. They’re available at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take odds of -137 that the favourites win by two goals or more, with the stake back if they win by one.

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2-1 Win for Union in Last H2H Clash

Philadelphia Union last game was a 3-1 win over Colorado Rapids at Subaru Park. That means it’s now been four home victories on the bounce. The Union had most of the ball recording 61% possession and eleven shots on target, while Mikael Uhre registered two goals and Tai Baribo scored one.

Toronto FC have been defeated in back-to-back games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 2-0 loss against Charlotte FC at Bank of America Stadium. Robin Fraser's team had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 57% possession and three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Philadelphia and Toronto saw the former win away from home. It was a 2-1 scoreline at BMO Field. It’s been five Philadelphia wins, two draws and three Toronto victories in the past 10 H2H matches.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Philadelphia	34	20	6	8	57	35	22	57:35	66
25	Toronto FC	34	6	14	14	37	44	-7	37:44	32

View Full Table

Philadelphia have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Bradley Carnell's men have averaged 49.3% possession and 7.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on goal, 7.2 attempts and 2.8 corners.

Tai Baribo, Mikael Uhre and Bruno Damiani are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Kai Wagner has made the most assists with 3.

TFC have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 46.5% possession, 3.9 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.

Theodor Corbeanu has scored 2 goals, followed by Deybi Flores, Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer and Ola Brynhildsen on 1. Matthew Longstaff, Ola Brynhildsen and Sigurd Rosted have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Philadelphia Union confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andre Blake (GK), Nathan Harriel, Olwethu Makhanya, Jakob Glesnes, Kai Wagner, Jesus Bueno, Danley Jean Jacques, Indiana Vassilev, Bruno Damiani, Quinn Sullivan, Tai Baribo.

Toronto FC confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Luka Gavran (GK), Richie Laryea, Sigurd Rosted, Kevin Long, Raoul Petretta, Alonso Coello, Jonathan Osorio, Deybi Flores, Theodor Corbeanu, Ola Brynhildsen, Djordje Mihailovic.

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Backing Philadelphia -1 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward, especially as there is lots of juice in the betting odds of -137. We’re expecting this MLS game to go in their favour.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key MLS data is helpful.

Key Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by TFC in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by TFC in 3 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia -1 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Selling goals can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on a similar selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy goals.

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Our Match Prediction

Philadelphia Asian Hcp -1 @ -137 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Philadelphia 2 - 0 Toronto

Let’s take a chance on the +550 available that Philadelphia secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Indiana Vassilev Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia) is available at -147 to finish without a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Indiana Vassilev Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-139

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Tai Baribo to Score +130

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia) has scored in his past two MLS home matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +130.

Latest Tai Baribo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-110

First

+280

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-125

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -111

In six straight Philadelphia home games, the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered. We’re happy to back the -111 when it comes to the teams covering the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Philadelphia

Total

9.80 7.00 2.80

Home

11.20 7.40 3.80

Away

8.60 5.30 3.30

Toronto

Total

8.90 3.90 5.00

Home

9.40 4.20 5.20

Away

7.90 2.70 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-116

Philadelphia Corners

Over 6.5

+105

Under 6.5

-149

Toronto Corners

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+800

2

+380

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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Union Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory

The latest betting odds suggest that Philadelphia Union are convincing -303 favourites to claim a victory and that means a 75% probability of coming out on top in this MLS encounter. Toronto FC are the +700 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

For those wanting an alternative, Philadelphia are -123 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Toronto being priced up at +550 and the draw is +160.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each MLS match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

-303

X

+440

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-123

X

+160

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-625

X2

+215

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+430

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-103

2 Hcp +1.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-120

Tai Baribo Heads First Goalscorer Market

Favourite Tai Baribo is +280 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

First

-110

Anytime

+280

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

First

+150

Anytime

+390

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

First

+225

Anytime

+525

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Cassius Tumelo Mailula (TFC)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Deandre Kerr (TFC)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Jonathan Osorio (TFC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Olwethu Makhanya (Philadelphia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Francis Westfield (Philadelphia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+163

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+125

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-105

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-125

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-139

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-147

Deandre Kerr (TFC)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-167

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-192

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-200

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-192

Cassius Tumelo Mailula (TFC)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-213

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-250

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-313

Jonathan Osorio (TFC)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-333

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-333

Olwethu Makhanya (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-526

Francis Westfield (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-625

Philadelphia Bidding to Continue Unbeaten Home Run

Philadelphia are unbeaten over their previous ten games at Subaru Park. The Union have clocked up seven wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Toronto have managed six losses, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Philadelphia drew 0-0 with Toronto when they last met at Subaru Park. The past 6 H2H meetings at Subaru Park have involved four Philadelphia victories, a single draw and one Toronto win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Philadelphia Union Home Stats		7-3-0	3.30	2.30	1.00	8	2	6	4
Toronto FC Away Stats		3-1-6	2.90	1.30	1.60	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Philadelphia vs Toronto team news before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Philadelphia Union Team Page Toronto FC Team Page