Porto vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Benfica

Porto host Benfica in this Portuguese Primeira Liga clash at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 16:15 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Porto to Get the Job Done

There’s every chance that Porto can get the upper hand over Benfica and we’ll therefore back the hosts when it comes to Full-Time Result. The odds of -115 look too good to resist.

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4-1 Win for Benfica in Pair’s Last Meeting

Porto have triumphed in their last seven games. The latest of these was away from home where Arouca were beaten 4-0 at Municipal de Arouca. The Dragons had the majority of the ball boasting 54% possession and five shots on target, with Samuel Aghehowa, Deniz Guel, Francisco Moura and Zaidu Sanusi scoring one goal apiece.

Three days ago, Porto won 2-1 when hosting Crvena zvezda in the Europa League.

Benfica have landed three straight away wins. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 2-1 home victory against Gil Vicente at Estadio da Luz. Jose Mourinho's men had 47% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Vangelis Pavlidis scoring twice.

On Tuesday night, Benfica suffered a 1-0 Champions League defeat when visiting Chelsea.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Benfica have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Porto. The most recent triumph saw them win 4-1 away at Estadio do Dragao after a 4-1 home success at Estadio da Luz. Both teams have four wins each from the past 10 H2H games, along with two draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	19	1	18	19:1	21
3	Benfica	7	5	2	0	13	4	9	13:4	17

View Full Table

Porto have won all of their past 10 games, averaging 2.7 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. Francesco Farioli's team have averaged 57.6% possession, 486.3 passes and 6.0 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.3 goals from 2.6 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Samuel Aghehowa leads the way with 8 goals, Francisco Moura has 3, with William Gomes and two others on 2. Alberto Costa is the leading assists maker with 5, while goalie Diogo Costa has 7 clean sheets.

Benfica have won 6 and drawn 4, averaging 4.7 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 1.7 goals. The Eagles average 60.9% possession, 502.3 passes, 5.1 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 10.0 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Vangelis Pavlidis has top scored with 6, while Georgiy Sudakov, Franjo Ivanovic and Fredrik Aursnes are next on 2. Vangelis Pavlidis has had 3 assists, with Anatoliy Trubin and Samuel Soares notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.

Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Amar Dedic, Tomas Araujo, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Fredrik Aursnes, Richard Rios, Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Porto vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Porto vs Benfica, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Porto record a victory and they are priced at -115 to win this Primeira Liga clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Primeira Liga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Porto vs Benfica league stats:

• Porto have won 10 consecutive games.
• Porto have won 16 of their last 20 games.
• Porto have won 14 of their last 18 games at home.

Porto to Win Probability

The best betting apps make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Porto To Win @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Porto 2 - 0 Benfica

Our correct score prediction is a 2-0 win for Porto which is available at odds of +575. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Borja Sainz to Score +220

Borja Sainz (Porto) has scored two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +220 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Borja Sainz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+475

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Corners Prediction

Benfica Under 4.5 Corners -150

In their past three away games, Benfica have not covered the 4.5 corners line, with Porto conceding 3.40 corners on average in their previous 10 matches. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back Benfica to go under the Team Corners line at a price of -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

9.40 6.00 3.40

Home

9.70 5.20 4.50

Away

8.90 5.50 3.40

Benfica

Total

9.00 5.10 3.90

Home

11.50 7.80 3.70

Away

8.30 4.40 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-139

Porto Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Benfica Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+650

2

+185

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Porto vs Benfica Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have Porto as Favourites

Porto are available at -115 to come away with a triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, meaning a 53% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. For those wanting to back Benfica, you will find +270 about this outsider.

Porto are -118 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for Benfica +0.5 at -114 instead.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -130 on the Both Teams to Score market.

For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Primeira Liga games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+260

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+125

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-417

X2

-123

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-118

2 Hcp +0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-118

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-110

Samu Omorodion Top of First Goalscorer List

Those interested in Samu Omorodion to find the net anytime can get +110, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +270.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

+110

Anytime

+270

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+175

Anytime

+400

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

+180

Anytime

+400

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+220

Anytime

+475

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+375

Anytime

+750

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Diogo Ferreira Prioste (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Porto Having a Purple Patch at Home

Porto have enjoyed seven straight wins at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have clocked up eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Benfica haven’t been beaten in ten straight games away from home. Jose Mourinho's men have nine wins and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

When the sides last met at Estadio do Dragao, Benfica beat Porto 4-1. The previous 6 H2H matches at Estadio do Dragao have seen Porto win three times, one draw and two Benfica triumphs.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Porto Home Stats		8-1-1	3.00	2.20	0.80	7	3	5	5
Benfica Away Stats		9-1-0	2.90	2.30	0.60	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Porto vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Porto vs Benfica team news before placing your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest on injuries.

FC Porto Team Page Benfica Team Page