Porto vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Casa Pia

Porto host Casa Pia in this Portuguese Primeira Liga match at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 24 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Why Casa Pia Make Sense on the Asian Handicap

We expect Casa Pia to put up plenty of resistance as the outsiders and they’re available at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -105. Our money is divided between +1.5 and 2.0, meaning a safety net for this wager.

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Porto Have 5 Wins in Last 6 H2H Battles

Porto have won two league games on the spin, triumphing 2-0 in their previous Primeira Liga encounter. This was on their travels against Gil Vicente at Municipal de Barcelos. The Dragons had four shots on target and boasted 59% possession, while Victor Froholdt and Pepe scored one goal apiece.

Casa Pia won their previous game by a 2-0 scoreline. It was away from home against AVS at Estadio do CD Aves. Joao Pereira's team had 48% of possession and five shots on goal, with Korede Osundina and Duplexe Tchamba on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Porto have five consecutive wins against Casa Pia. Their last encounter saw Porto enjoy a 1-0 away victory at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The previous 6 H2H games have featured five Porto victories and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	5:0	6
7	Casa Pia	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2:2	3

View Full Table

Porto have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Francesco Farioli's side have averaged 59.5% possession, 489.7 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 3.6 corners.

Top scorer Samuel Aghehowa has found the net 7 times, Rodrigo Mora 6, with Pepe and Francisco Moura both scoring 2. Francisco Moura is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Diogo Costa keeping 4 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 45.2% possession, 334.9 passes, 3.3 corners taken and 6.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts.

Duplexe Tchamba and Cassiano have top scored with 2 goals, while Korede Osundina is next on 1. Jeremy Livolant has clocked up 3 assists, with Patrick Sequeira keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Nehuén Pérez, Jan Bednarek, Zaidu Sanusi, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepê, Luuk de Jong, Borja Sainz.

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Jose Fonte, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Yassin Oukili, Iyad Mohamed, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina.

Porto vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Porto vs Casa Pia betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, corners recommendation and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Casa Pia can punch above their weight in this Primeira Liga clash and we’ll back them at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. We can get a price of -105 which means a decent return could be on the cards.

We use the latest Primeira Liga injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Porto vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 4 of their last 6 games against Casa Pia.

Casa Pia +1.75 Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Casa Pia to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Porto 2 - 1 Casa Pia

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Porto to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +800, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Corners Prediction

Porto Under 7.5 Corners -150

In their past four games, Porto have not covered the 7.5 corners line, with Casa Pia conceding 5.50 corners on average in their previous 10 away matches. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -150 that Porto come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

8.90 5.30 3.60

Home

9.20 5.10 4.10

Away

8.00 4.90 3.10

Casa Pia

Total

9.50 3.30 6.20

Home

9.10 3.70 5.40

Away

8.60 3.10 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-114

Porto Corners

Over 6.5

-150

Under 6.5

+110

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-833

X

+1200

2

+800

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Porto vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Porto Heavy Favourites With the Betting Sites

Porto are strong -556 favourites to win this Primeira Liga encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 85% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +1100 about Casa Pia.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +188. Alternatively, Porto can be backed at -167 and Casa Pia are on offer at +800.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -179.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primeira Liga match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

-556

X

+575

2

+1100

Half-Time Result

1

-167

X

+188

2

+800

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-1111

X2

+280

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+650

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-135

2 Hcp +1.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-179

Samu Omorodion Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Samu Omorodion at +235 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-143

Anytime

+235

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+114

Anytime

+330

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+160

Anytime

+410

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+185

Anytime

+460

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+265

Anytime

+575

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Vasco Sousa (Porto)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Marko Grujic (Porto)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Porto Bidding to Continue Strong Home Form

Porto have now managed four wins on the bounce at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have recorded five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Casa Pia have five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Porto won 2-0 when they last played Casa Pia at Estadio do Dragao. In the previous 3 H2H games at Estadio do Dragao, Porto have secured a victory on every occasion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Porto Home Stats		5-4-1	2.80	1.80	1.00	5	5	7	3
Casa Pia Away Stats		2-3-5	2.50	1.10	1.40	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Porto vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Porto vs Casa Pia team news before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga together with updated injury news.

FC Porto Team Page Casa Pia Team Page