Porto vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Dec 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Estrela Amadora
Porto meet Estrela Amadora at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Monday 15 December.
An Asian Handicap bet on Porto -1.75 at odds of -135 means we need a victory by more than two goals for a full payout. The stake will be split between -1.5 and -2.0 when the favourites take on Estrela and we’re expecting a big win.
Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.
Porto have triumphed in their last five games. The latest of these was away from home where Tondela were beaten 2-0 at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The Dragons had a whopping 75% of possession and recorded six shots on target, with Samuel Aghehowa and William Gomes each scoring one goal.
On Thursday night, Porto won 2-1 at home to Malmo FF in the Europa League.
Estrela Amadora won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-1 victory against Arouca at Estadio Jose Gomes. The Lisbon club enjoyed 63% possession and recorded nine shots on goal, while Kikas, Abraham Marcus and Rodrigo Pinho were all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Estrela overcame Porto at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Estadio Jose Gomes. Porto have landed victory in three of the previous 4 H2H games, with Estrela winning once.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 24 | 27:3 | 37 |
| 13 |  Estrela |
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16:19 | 14 |
9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Porto have had 53.7% possession, 449.7 passes and 5.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.3 goals from 1.8 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts, while being awarded 3.3 corners.
Top goalscorer is Samuel Aghehowa on 5 goals, while William Gomes has bagged 3 and Deniz Guel 2. Gabriel Veiga has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Diogo Costa has 7 clean sheets.
Estrela have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 10.9 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Tricolores average 52.4% possession, 385.8 passes, 3.2 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts.
Kikas and Sidny Lopes Cabral have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Paulo Moreira on 2. Ianis Stoica, Jorge Meireles and Abraham Marcus have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Renan Ribeiro has 3 clean sheets.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Martim Fernandes, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Rodrigo Mora, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.
Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (3-4-3): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Luan Patrick, Atanas Chernev, Bernardo Schappo, Jefferson Encada, Paulo Moreira, Oumar Ngom, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Abraham Marcus, Kikas, Jovane Cabral.
Porto vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Porto vs Estrela Amadora betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
To get more juice in the Porto odds, why not back the home team at -135 on the Asian Handicap -1.75. A big winning margin is definitely the desired outcome for this Primeira Liga clash.
The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Primeira Liga stats.
Key Porto vs Estrela Amadora league stats:
The best betting sites make it a 57.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you are hunting down bigger odds for Porto to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.
Get more from your bet. Explore our updated guide featuring the hottest betting offers and best welcome bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
0
Estrela
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Porto to win 3-0. The odds of +420 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
Borja Sainz (Porto) has managed three goals in his past five Primeira Liga matches on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +165 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
Porto have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in four consecutive matches, with Estrela conceding under 6.5 corners in their past nine games. There is juice when it comes to going under the Porto Team Corners line and this is priced at +105.
Porto
Estrela
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Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Porto on the Asian Handicap at -1.75, three or more goals in total as well as Porto to have under 6.5 corners.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Porto vs Estrela Amadora Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -526 for Porto winning which indicates that they have a 84% chance of triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Estrela Amadora are available at +1300.
Porto can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -161. However, Estrela are +900 and the draw is +175 if you want to take a different option.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -238 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
There is -147 available that Samu Omorodion finds the net at any stage. He is available at +190 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Porto haven’t lost any of their past ten games at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have clocked up nine wins and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.30.
Estrela have five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
Porto won 2-0 when they last played Estrela at Estadio do Dragao.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto Home Stats |
9-1-0 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 0.30 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| Estrela Amadora Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.40 | 0.70 | 1.70 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Porto League Stats
Estrela Amadora League Stats
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Porto this season are Samuel Aghehowa (7), William Gomes (4), Borja Sainz (3)
- Top Assistors for Porto this season are Alberto Costa (5), Gabriel Veiga (4), Victor Froholdt (3)
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Porto vs Estrela Amadora Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Porto vs Estrela before you bet. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Porto Lineups
Previous Estrela Amadora Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Francesco Farioli
Estrela Amadora Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38:7 | 35 |
| 3 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 30:8 | 32 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 25 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Vitória | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:22 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:28 | 10 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9:37 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Vitória | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Estoril | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Arouca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:17 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Tondela | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | 2 |
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