Porto vs Malmo FF Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Dec 2025

Europa League Betting Preview: Porto vs Malmo FF

Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders Porto host Swedish Allsvenskan side Malmo FF at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 11 December.

We’re expecting Porto to enjoy a big win against Malmo. Backing the favourites at -1.75 at odds of -114 means that we split our Asian Handicap stake equally between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal margin of victory lands a full payout.

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Porto won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso in the Primeira Liga. The Dragons recorded a remarkable 75% of possession and managed six shots on target, with Samuel Aghehowa and William Gomes scoring one goal apiece.

In their previous Europa League match, Porto triumphed 3-0 at home to Nice.

Malmo FF suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-0 Europa League scoreline occurred away from home at City Ground against Nottingham Forest. Anes Mravac's side were restricted to just 38% possession and one shot on goal.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	13	7	6	13:7	17
35	Malmo FF	8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	4:15	1

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Porto have had 55.0% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 1.7 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts, while being awarded 2.7 corners.

Top goalscorers Samuel Aghehowa and William Gomes have found the net 3 times, with Gabriel Veiga scoring 2. Pepe is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Diogo Costa managing 4 clean sheets.

Malmo have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 8.5 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. The Sky Blues average 47.0% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while conceding 2.0 goals from 10.1 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Hugo Bolin and Emmanuel Ekong top the team’s scoring charts on 2 goals, with Sead Haksabanovic on 1. Adrian Skogmar and Sead Haksabanovic have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Porto confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Martim Fernandes, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Pablo Rosario, Rodrigo Mora, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.

Malmo FF confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Robin Olsen (GK), Jens Stryger Larsen, Pontus Jansson, Colin Roesler, Busanello, Lasse Berg Johnsen, Kenan Busuladzic, Theodor Lundbergh, Adrian Skogmar, Salifou Soumah, Sead Haksabanovic.

Porto vs Malmo FF Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Porto vs Malmo FF betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

There’s every reason to expect a big win for Porto. If you agree, then you can get odds of -114 about the favourites at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap, with this Europa League game potentially one-sided.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Europa League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Porto vs Malmo FF Europa League & league stats:

• The +1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Malmo in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 53.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling goals. Choose how many goals to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Porto Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 09 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Porto 3 - 0 Malmo

There could be merit in backing Porto to win 3-0. Odds of +480 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Veiga Over 0.5 Shots On Target -105

We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Target and you can get -105 that he goes over the line.

Latest Gabriel Veiga Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-156

Shots

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

---

Alberto Costa To Score +600

Alberto Costa (Porto) is available to be on the scoresheet at +600. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Alberto Costa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -147

Each of the past seven Porto matches have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with the last four  Malmo FF games having the same outcome. There’s a price of -147 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

7.60 4.90 2.70

Home

8.60 4.90 3.70

Away

9.00 6.40 2.60

Malmo

Total

8.90 4.30 4.60

Home

9.80 5.80 4.00

Away

9.40 4.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Porto Corners

Over 6.5

-137

Under 6.5

-104

Malmo Corners

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-714

X

+950

2

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Porto vs Malmo FF Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers take few chances with their latest odds of -500 for Porto winning which suggests that they have a 83% chance in this Europa League encounter. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +1300 for Malmo FF.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Porto at -172, go for Malmo at +850 or take the draw at +188.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you’re looking to wager Both Teams to Score No, this is currently available at -192.

Europa League matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

-500

X

+600

2

+1300

Half-Time Result

1

-172

X

+188

2

+850

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1111

X2

+335

Draw No Bet

1

-2500

2

+800

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-127

2 Hcp +1.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+130

Over 2.5

-164

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+140

No

-192

Samu Omorodion can be backed to find the net anytime at -172. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +210.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-172

Anytime

+210

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+130

Anytime

+370

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+180

Anytime

+510

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Erik Botheim (Malmo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Sead Haksabanovic (Malmo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Hugo Bolin (Malmo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Taha Abdi Ali (Malmo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Pablo Rosario (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Emmanuel Ekong (Malmo)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jakub Kiwior (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lasse Berg Johnsen (Malmo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Anders Christiansen (Malmo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Borja Sainz (Porto)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+125

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

Over 1.5

-222

Under 1.5

+123

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+107

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

Deniz Gul (Porto)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-105

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-156

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-270

Erik Botheim (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Sead Haksabanovic (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Hugo Bolin (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Taha Abdi Ali (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Emmanuel Ekong (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Alberto Costa (Porto)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Lasse Berg Johnsen (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Alan Varela (Porto)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Anders Christiansen (Malmo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Pablo Rosario (Porto)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Francisco Moura (Porto)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

Over 4.5

-200

Under 4.5

-

Borja Sainz (Porto)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

Over 2.5

-227

Under 2.5

-

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Deniz Gul (Porto)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Erik Botheim (Malmo)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Sead Haksabanovic (Malmo)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Hugo Bolin (Malmo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Taha Abdi Ali (Malmo)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Emmanuel Ekong (Malmo)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Lasse Berg Johnsen (Malmo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Anders Christiansen (Malmo)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Porto Stats

Malmo FF Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 47.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Porto vs Malmo FF Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Porto vs Malmo before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa League along with up-to-date injury news.

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