Porto vs Malmo FF Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Dec 2025
Europa League Betting Preview: Porto vs Malmo FF
Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders Porto host Swedish Allsvenskan side Malmo FF at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 11 December.
We’re expecting Porto to enjoy a big win against Malmo. Backing the favourites at -1.75 at odds of -114 means that we split our Asian Handicap stake equally between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal margin of victory lands a full payout.
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Porto won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso in the Primeira Liga. The Dragons recorded a remarkable 75% of possession and managed six shots on target, with Samuel Aghehowa and William Gomes scoring one goal apiece.
In their previous Europa League match, Porto triumphed 3-0 at home to Nice.
Malmo FF suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-0 Europa League scoreline occurred away from home at City Ground against Nottingham Forest. Anes Mravac's side were restricted to just 38% possession and one shot on goal.
| Europa League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Porto |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 34 | Malmo FF |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2:10 | 1 |
7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Porto have had 55.0% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 1.7 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts, while being awarded 2.7 corners.
Top goalscorers Samuel Aghehowa and William Gomes have found the net 3 times, with Gabriel Veiga scoring 2. Pepe is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Diogo Costa managing 4 clean sheets.
Malmo have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 8.5 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. The Sky Blues average 47.0% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while conceding 2.0 goals from 10.1 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Hugo Bolin and Emmanuel Ekong top the team’s scoring charts on 2 goals, with Sead Haksabanovic on 1. Adrian Skogmar and Sead Haksabanovic have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Pablo Rosario, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepê, Samu Omorodion Aghehowa, Deniz Gül.
Malmo FF predicted lineup (4-3-3): Melker Ellborg (GK), Jens Larsen, Pontus Jansson, Colin Rösler, Busanello, Oliver Berg, Lasse Berg Johnsen, Adrian Skogmar, Sead Haksabanovic, Daníel Gudjohnsen, Emmanuel Ekong.
Porto vs Malmo FF Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the key Porto vs Malmo FF betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
There’s every reason to expect a big win for Porto. If you agree, then you can get odds of -114 about the favourites at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap, with this Europa League game potentially one-sided.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Europa League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Porto vs Malmo FF Europa League & league stats:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 53.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling goals. Choose how many goals to sell until you are happy with the juice available.
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Correct Score Prediction
There could be merit in backing Porto to win 3-0. Odds of +510 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Target and you can get -105 that he goes over the line.
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Alberto Costa (Porto) is available to be on the scoresheet at +600. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.
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Corners Prediction
Each of the past seven Porto matches have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with the last four Malmo FF games having the same outcome. There’s a price of -147 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.
Porto
Malmo
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Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a bet builder, go for Porto on the Asian Handicap at -1.75, more than two goals together with Gabriel Veiga (Porto) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Porto vs Malmo FF Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookmakers take few chances with their latest odds of -476 for Porto winning which suggests that they have a 83% chance in this Europa League encounter. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +1050 for Malmo FF.
You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Porto at -161, go for Malmo at +750 or take the draw at +185.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you’re looking to wager Both Teams to Score No, this is currently available at -167.
Europa League matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.
Samu Omorodion can be backed to find the net anytime at -167. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +220.
Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Porto Stats
Malmo FF Stats
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Porto vs Malmo FF Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Porto vs Malmo before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa League along with up-to-date injury news.
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Malmo FF Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Malmo FF Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Porto Lineups
Previous Malmo FF Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Francesco Farioli
Malmo FF Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Porto | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Genk | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 13 | Viktoria Plzeň | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 14 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Roma | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 17 | PAOK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 19 | Brann | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 22 | Crvena Zvezda | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Basel | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 25 | Ludogorets | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 26 | Young Boys | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 27 | Go Ahead E. | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Sturm Graz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 29 | RB Salzburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 30 | Feyenoord | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 31 | FCSB | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 32 | Utrecht | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Rangers | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 34 | Malmo FF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:14 | 1 |
| 36 | Nice | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Nott’m Forest | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Basel | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 11 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 15 | Braga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 16 | PAOK | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 17 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 18 | Viktoria Plzeň | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:0 | 5 |
| 19 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 20 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 21 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 22 | RB Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 23 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 24 | Roma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 25 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Celtic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 28 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 30 | Go Ahead E. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 31 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 32 | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 33 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 34 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 35 | FCSB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Vitória | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:27 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Sporting | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Vitória | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Estoril | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 12 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Arouca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:17 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Tondela | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mjallby | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 57:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 60:29 | 62 |
| 3 | GAIS | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:30 | 52 |
| 4 | IFK Goteborg | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Djurgarden | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:32 | 49 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 46:33 | 49 |
| 7 | AIK | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 45:51 | 40 |
| 9 | Sirius | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 10 | Hacken | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 42:50 | 35 |
| 11 | Halmstad | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 24:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 40:47 | 31 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 33:52 | 30 |
| 14 | IFK Norrkoping | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 40:57 | 29 |
| 15 | Oster | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 29:48 | 26 |
| 16 | IFK Varnamo | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 36:69 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 34:10 | 37 |
| 2 | Mjallby | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 25:8 | 37 |
| 3 | GAIS | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 4 | AIK | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 5 | Djurgarden | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 30:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33:27 | 24 |
| 8 | Sirius | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 28:18 | 23 |
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Hacken | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 16 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20:28 | 16 |
| 13 | Oster | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Brommapojkarna | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 21:30 | 12 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17:31 | 11 |
| 16 | Degerfors | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 7:22 | 8 |
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