Porto vs Moreirense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2025

Can Moreirense Avoid a Heavy Defeat?

Moreirense +1.5 look like a worthwhile selection on the basis that you can get Asian Handicap odds of -119 against Porto. It allows for a payout if the visitors win, draw or lose by a single goal which seems like value.

Porto Are 8 From 9 on the Head-to-Head

FC Porto were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio Jose Gomes. Estrela Amadora claimed a 2-0 victory. Martin Anselmi's team dominated possession with 67% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.

Moreirense drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas against Nacional. The Moreira de Cónegos outfit enjoyed 58% possession and managed three shots on goal, while Yan Lincon found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Porto have enjoyed five straight wins against Moreirense. In the last encounter, Porto banked a 3-0 victory when visiting Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The past 9 H2H matches have included eight Porto wins along with a single draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Porto	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Porto have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts. The Dragons have averaged 59.7% possession, 486.0 passes and 4.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Top goalscorer is Rodrigo Mora on 5 goals, while Samuel Aghehowa and Fabio Vieira have both bagged 3. Leading assistor is Francisco Moura with 4, while goalie Diogo Costa has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Moreirense have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 10.0 attempts, 3.1 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Cristiano Bacci's side average 48.5% possession, 382.2 passes, 2.6 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts.

Alan is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Yan Lincon on 2, with Cedric Teguia and two others bagging 1. Bernardo Martins has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Kewin has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Porto confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Claudio Ramos (GK), Ze Pedro, Nehuen Perez, Ivan Marcano, Joao Mario, Stephen Eustaquio, Fabio Vieira, Francisco Moura, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Rodrigo Mora.

Moreirense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Caio Secco (GK), Dinis Pinto, Marcelo, Maracas, Godfried Frimpong, Sidnei Tavares, Ivo Rodrigues, Cedric Teguia, Alan, Joel Jorquera, Yan Lincon.

Porto vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips

The logical play is Moreirense +1.5 at odds of -119. We’re expecting them to compete well in this Primeira Liga game and the Asian Handicap option means that we land a nice payout if this wager wins.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Porto vs Moreirense league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Moreirense in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Moreirense in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in any of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 5 consecutive games.

Moreirense +1.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Larger odds can be banked for bettors who are willing to move the line. The prices will get bigger depending on the risk you attach to the bet you are placing.

Our Match Prediction

Moreirense Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -119 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Porto 1 - 0 Moreirense

A 1-0 win in favor of Porto is available at odds of +510. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Fabio Vieira to Score +280

Fabio Vieira (Porto) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga home matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +280 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Fabio Vieira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+245

First

+575

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -120

It’s been ten consecutive Moreirense matches where 9.5 corners has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in three  straight Porto home games. There’s lots to enjoy about the Total Corners line which looks big and we’d anticipate the teams going under at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

8.90 4.50 4.40

Home

10.30 6.10 4.20

Away

8.70 5.40 3.30

Moreirense

Total

6.30 2.60 3.70

Home

7.60 3.20 4.40

Away

8.70 2.60 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-150

Porto Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

Moreirense Corners

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-163

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Porto vs Moreirense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Porto Big Favourites With the Bookies

With an estimated 75% chance of winning, the bookies are taking no chances with their -300 betting odds about Porto triumphing in this Primeira Liga match. At +650, Moreirense are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

You can get a similar price whether you’re backing Over or Under 2.5 Goals.

Should you want to back Porto to win this Primeira Liga match, then there is -901 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Moreirense chalked at +550.

Full-Time Result

1

-300

X

+450

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-125

X

+160

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-1000

12

-699

X2

+225

Draw No Bet

1

-901

2

+550

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

+103

2 Hcp +1.5

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Samu Aghehowa Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Favourite Samu Aghehowa is available at +280 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Samu Aghehowa (Porto)

First

+105

Anytime

+280

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+165

Anytime

+390

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+165

Anytime

+410

Danny Namaso (Porto)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Fabio Vieira (Porto)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Eduardo Gabriel "Pepe" Aquino Cossa (Porto)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Vasco Sousa (Porto)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

André Franco (Porto)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Alan de Souza Guimarães (Moreirense)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Guilherme Schettine (Moreirense)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Ivan Marcano (Porto)

First

+510

Anytime

+1150

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Luis Asue (Moreirense)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Zé Pedro Figueiredo (Porto)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

João Mário (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Tiago Djalò (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Otávio da Silva (Porto)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Cedric Teguia (Moreirense)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Joel Jorquera (Moreirense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Porto vs Moreirense Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Porto vs Moreirense team news.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.

FC Porto Team Page Moreirense Team Page