Porto vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Nacional

Porto host Nacional in this Portuguese Primeira Liga encounter at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Saturday 13 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Porto Primed for Convincing Win

Porto can be backed at -2 on the Asian Handicap in the knowledge that we get our stake returned if they beat Nacional by two goals. A bigger win lands a full return at attractive betting odds of -109.

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3-0 Porto Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Porto have triumphed in their last four games. The latest of these was on their travels where Sporting CP were turned over 2-1 at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Francesco Farioli's team had 41% possession and totalled seven shots on target, while Luuk de Jong and William Gomes scored one goal each.

Nacional won their previous game 2-0. This was an away victory at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior against Casa Pia. The White and Black enjoyed just 38% possession and had two shots on goal, while Paulinho Boia and Jesus Ramirez were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Estadio do Dragao, with Porto landing the home victory. Defeating Nacional by a 3-0 scoreline. In the previous 4 H2H matches, we have seen three Porto victories and one Nacional win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Porto	9	8	1	0	21	2	19	21:2	25
10	Nacional	9	3	2	4	10	13	-3	10:13	11

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Porto have had 57.9% possession, 485.9 passes and 5.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.6 corners.

Rodrigo Mora and Samuel Aghehowa lead the way with 5 goals, while William Gomes has scored 2. Alberto Costa is the top assists maker on 4, with goalie Diogo Costa managing 5 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.0 goals from 11.9 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. The Madeira club average 44.5% possession, 300.2 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while conceding 1.9 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Jesus Ramirez and Leonardo Santos have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Paulinho Boia on 1. Jose Gomes has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Lucas Franca has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Porto confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Pablo Rosario, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Rodrigo Mora, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Pablo Ruan, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.

Porto vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

The Porto vs Nacional betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, corners insight, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We think Porto are a value bet off -2 on the Asian Handicap. Take the -109 that the favourites are able to convincingly win this Primeira Liga clash with a nice potential return on the cards.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Primeira Liga stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Porto vs Nacional league stats:

• The -2 line has been covered by Porto in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The +2 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 3 of their last 5 games.

Porto -2 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Our Match Prediction

Porto Asian Hcp -2 @ -109 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Porto 4 - 0 Nacional

Porto can be backed at +700 to triumph by a 4-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Corners Prediction

Porto Under 7.5 Corners -133

In their past six games, Porto have not covered the 7.5 corners line, while the previous eight Nacional away matches have involved them conceding under 7.5 corners. The number of Porto corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -133.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

9.10 5.50 3.60

Home

9.60 5.40 4.20

Away

7.80 4.60 3.20

Nacional

Total

11.10 6.50 4.60

Home

10.50 5.60 4.90

Away

9.90 4.70 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-137

Porto Corners

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-139

Nacional Corners

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-102

Most Corners

1

-769

X

+950

2

+600

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Porto vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Porto Big Favourites on the Full-Time Result Market

With a proposed 83% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -500 odds about Porto coming out on top in this Primeira Liga encounter. Nacional are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +1100.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Porto at -147, go for Nacional at +700 or take the draw at +170.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -175 about Both Teams to Score No.

Primeira Liga games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

-500

X

+500

2

+1100

Half-Time Result

1

-147

X

+170

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-1000

X2

+255

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+650

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-122

2 Hcp +1.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-175

Samu Omorodion Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Samu Omorodion is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +180, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-156

Anytime

+180

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+115

Anytime

+300

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+143

Anytime

+350

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+163

Anytime

+430

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+190

Anytime

+475

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Pablo Rosario (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Jakub Kiwior (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Martim Fernandes (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jan Bednarek (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Porto Enjoying Strong Home Form

Porto have now managed five wins on the bounce at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Nacional have recorded five defeats, three victories and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The previous Estadio do Dragao encounter involved a 3-0 Porto win against Nacional.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Porto Home Stats		6-3-1	3.00	2.10	0.90	6	4	6	4
Nacional Away Stats		3-2-5	1.90	0.70	1.20	2	8	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Porto vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Porto vs Nacional team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

FC Porto Team Page Nacional Team Page