Porto vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Feb 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Sporting
It's a top-of-the-table clash as Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders Porto take on second-placed Sporting at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 16:45 on Monday 9 February.
We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Sporting +0.25 at -119 against Porto. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.
Table-topping Porto have won five consecutive Primeira Liga home games. In their last appearance, they suffered a 2-1 road defeat against Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Dragons boasted 69% possession and had six shots on target, while Pablo Rosario registered the goal.
Sporting CP have won their previous three league matches. The latest was a 2-1 home triumph at Estadio Jose Alvalade against Nacional. Rui Borges' men boasted 62% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Pedro Goncalves and Luis Suarez on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Porto and Sporting saw the former win away from home. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The past 10 H2H matches have included five draws, three Porto wins and two Sporting victories.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54 | 11 | 43 | 54:11 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68 | 15 | 53 | 68:15 | 65 |
Porto have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. Francesco Farioli's team have averaged 60.4% possession, 494.4 passes and 5.4 corners per match, conceding 0.3 goals and 2.3 corners from 2.1 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.
Samuel Aghehowa is the top scorer with 6 goals, William Gomes has 3, with Alan Varela and Borja Sainz on 2. Pepe and Francisco Moura are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Diogo Costa managing 7 clean sheets.
Sporting have 8 victories and 2 draws, averaging 16.8 attempts, 6.6 shots on goal and 2.9 goals. The Lions average 63.1% possession, 540.2 passes, 6.9 corners in their favour and 2.8 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts.
Luis Suarez has scored 11 goals, followed by Geny Catamo and Maximiliano Araujo on 4. Trincao has had 5 assists in the previous 10 games, while Rui Silva has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Porto confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Martim Fernandes, Alan Varela, Victor Froholdt, Gabriel Veiga, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.
Sporting confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Ivan Fresneda, Ousmane Diomande, Goncalo Inacio, Maximiliano Araujo, Morten Hjulmand, Hidemasa Morita, Geny Catamo, Pedro Goncalves, Trincao, Luis Suarez.
Porto vs Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve got your Porto vs Sporting bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Match Prediction
Sporting +0.25 at -119 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give the Lions a good chance of landing a victory in this Primeira Liga clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Primeira Liga form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
Key Porto vs Sporting league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.
Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
There are betting odds of +700 that Sporting land a 2-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Player Prop Picks
Geny Catamo (Sporting) has racked up four goals in his past seven Primeira Liga games. It’s worth a play on the +650 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Sporting have covered the 3.5 corners line in seven consecutive matches. We think this presents a convincing argument and we’ll bet on Sporting to cover the Team Corners line which is on offer at odds of -159.
Porto
Sporting
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: Sporting with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, at least three goals in total and also Geny Catamo (Sporting) to be on the scoresheet.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Porto vs Sporting Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Porto are regarded as having a 43% chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +130. Sporting CP are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +200.
You can back Porto at -156 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Sporting are +110 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -147 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Primeira Liga games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Favourite Luis Javier Suárez is available at +290 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Porto have managed eight consecutive victories at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have nine victories and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.50.
Sporting have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous ten matches. The Lions have racked up eight wins and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
The past meeting at Estadio do Dragao saw Porto draw 1-1 with Sporting. The previous 6 H2H games at Estadio do Dragao have seen two Porto wins and four draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Porto Home Stats |
9-1-0 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
Sporting Away Stats |
8-2-0 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 0.70 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 30/08 2025 Sporting 1 Porto 2
- Primeira Liga: 07/02 2025 Porto 1 Sporting 1
- Primeira Liga: 31/08 2024 Sporting 2 Porto 0
- Primeira Liga: 28/04 2024 Porto 2 Sporting 2
- Primeira Liga: 18/12 2023 Sporting 2 Porto 0
- Primeira Liga: 12/02 2023 Sporting 1 Porto 2
- Primeira Liga: 20/08 2022 Porto 3 Sporting 0
- Primeira Liga: 11/02 2022 Porto 2 Sporting 2
- Primeira Liga: 11/09 2021 Sporting 1 Porto 1
- Primeira Liga: 27/02 2021 Porto 0 Sporting 0
Porto League Stats
Sporting League Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 2.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 60.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 64.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Porto this season are Samuel Aghehowa (12), Borja Sainz (5), William Gomes (5)
- Top Assistors for Porto this season are Alberto Costa (6), Gabriel Veiga (4), Pepe (4)
Porto vs Sporting Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Porto vs Sporting team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.
Porto Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
Sporting Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
Sporting Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Substitutes
- 3Thiago Silva
- 13Pablo Rosario
- 14Claudio Ramos
- 27Deniz Gul
- 29Terem Moffi
- 42Seko Fofana
- 74Francisco Moura
- 77Oskar Pietuszewski
- 86Rodrigo Mora
Sporting Substitutes
- 12Joao Virginia
- 13Georgios Vagiannidis
- 15Souleymane Faye
- 23Daniel Braganca
- 31Luis Guilherme
- 52Joao Simoes
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 90Rafael Nel
- 91Ricardo Mangas
Previous Porto Lineups
Previous Sporting Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Francesco Farioli
Sporting Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | 30 |
| 11 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | 29 |
| 12 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | 29 |
| 13 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | 28 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | 20 |
| 18 | AVS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | 11 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 3 | Sporting | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:4 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicão | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:9 | 26 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28:13 | 24 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Estoril | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Vitória | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Alverca | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 13 | Arouca | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:25 | 15 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:21 | 13 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 17 | Tondela | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10:24 | 7 |
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