Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2025

Bet on Pompey to Get the Job Done

We’re going for Portsmouth -0.25 on the Asian Handicap at odds of +101. A victory against Derby would land a full return, with the draw returning half of our stake which is a nice insurance.

4-0 Derby Triumph in Previous H2H

Portsmouth have been beaten in back-to-back games. On their travels, they recently suffered a 1-0 defeat against Coventry City at Coventry Building Society Arena. The Hampshire outfit had only 35% possession and one shot on target.

Derby County drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Pride Park ended 0-0 against Burnley. The Rams finished with just 31% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby are unbeaten when it comes to the past five meetings against Portsmouth. In their last clash, Derby came out with a 4-0 home win at Pride Park. The previous 5 H2H games have featured four draws and one Derby victory.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Derby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.1 goals from 6.8 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal. Pompey have had 47.4% possession and 5.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 6.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.3 corners.

Colby Bishop is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Andre Dozzell and Josh Murphy both have 2. Josh Murphy is the leading assists maker on 4.

Derby have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 5.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 39.8% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.

Marcus Harness has landed 3 goals, Craig Forsyth 2, with Jerry Yates and two others scoring 1. Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder have both managed 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Portsmouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid (GK), Zak Swanson, Regan Poole, Robert Atkinson, Connor Ogilvie, Matt Ritchie, Isaac Hayden, Christian Saydee, Freddie Potts, Josh Murphy, Colby Bishop.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Marcus Harness.

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Portsmouth look like a cracking bet on the Asian Handicap for this Championship game. Taking them at -0.25 at odds of +101 looks to be the way forward and there’s a healthy potential return.

The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Portsmouth vs Derby league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Portsmouth in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Portsmouth in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.

Pompey -0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 49.8% chance of winning. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell goals depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

Our Match Prediction

Portsmouth Asian Hcp -0.25 @ +101 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Portsmouth 1 - 0 Derby

There’s the option to wager on Portsmouth to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +480 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners -150

Derby have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in five consecutive away matches, while Portsmouth have yielded an average of 3.20 corners in their previous 5 home games. We expect Derby to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Portsmouth

Total

9.90 5.60 4.30

Home

9.40 6.10 3.30

Away

10.90 4.80 6.10

Derby

Total

8.20 3.70 4.50

Home

9.10 4.10 5.00

Away

9.80 5.00 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-138

Portsmouth Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+575

2

+148

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Portsmouth vs Derby Odds

Portsmouth are regarded as having a 39% chance of winning this Championship match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at +155. The market suggests that Derby County are least likely to win at +200.

For those expecting a low-scoring clash, Under 2.5 Goals is the market leader on the Total Goals market.

The leading football betting sites allow customers to place a Bet Builder when it comes to Championship matches. Simply pick out the selections that you fancy and then combine them together on your bet slip.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+200

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

-125

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-275

12

-275

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-138

2

-100

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp 0.0

-130

2 Hcp 0.0

+114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-275

Over 2.5

+220

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+137.5

No

-188

Portsmouth vs Derby Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Portsmouth vs Derby team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Championship squads.

Portsmouth Team Page Derby County Team Page