Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough
Portsmouth host league leaders Middlesbrough in this Championship fixture at Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We think that Middlesbrough will have the upper hand against Portsmouth and we like the price of +135 on the Full-Time Result market. The odds make plenty of appeal and we’re expecting this bet to land.
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Portsmouth played Watford at home in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at Fratton Park. Pompey had the majority of the ball boasting 63% possession and five shots on target, with Min-Hyeok Yang and Adrian Segecic each scoring one goal.
Middlesbrough drew 0-0 against Stoke City in their previous game. This was on home soil at Riverside Stadium. Rob Edwards' team enjoyed 55% possession and managed four shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Portsmouth beat Middlesbrough in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 2-1 home win at Fratton Park.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 19:13 | 29 |
| 20 | Portsmouth |
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 12:20 | 14 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Pompey have had 50.9% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.2 corners.
Adrian Segecic is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Min-Hyeok Yang, Marlon Pack, Andre Dozzell and Colby Bishop each have 1. The leading assistors have been John Swift and Josh Murphy with 2.
Middlesbrough have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 50.2% possession, 5.4 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.
Kaly Sene and Tommy Conway have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with David Strelec on 1. Luke Ayling, Hayden Hackney and Morgan Whittaker have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Portsmouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Josef Bursik (GK), Jordan Williams, Josh Knight, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, Marlon Pack, Andre Dozzell, Conor Chaplin, John Swift, Min-Hyeok Yang, Colby Bishop.
Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, Dael Fry, Alfie Jones, Callum Brittain, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Matt Targett, Kaly Sene, Sontje Hansen, Tommy Conway.
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover the top Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Match Prediction
Middlesbrough can’t be passed over when they play this Championship encounter, especially as a price of +135 is available for this selection. Head to the betting sites and back this value pick.
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Championship team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
Key Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough league stats:
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 42.6% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 45-50%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you’re confident when it comes to Middlesbrough managing a sizeable win, you can discover options at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. Select your line and bank a larger possible return.
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Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is Middlesbrough to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Colby Bishop (Portsmouth) can be wagered to record one or more shots on goal at -164. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
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Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) has managed two goals in his past four Championship home games. There are odds of +290 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
Middlesbrough have had under 4.5 corners in three consecutive away games, while Portsmouth have had an average of 3.40 corners against them in their last 10 home matches. The Middlesbrough Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -120 is available to wager.
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a same-game multi that includes Middlesbrough to win, more than two goals in total combined with Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) to be on the scoresheet.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
If you want to back Portsmouth to win this Championship clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +190 on the 1x2 market. Middlesbrough are available at betting odds of +133 and the draw is +245.
For those wanting some insurance backing Middlesbrough, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -103 that they manage to beat Portsmouth on this market.
If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -137.
If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Those interested in favourite Tommy Conway to find the net first are able to get +400. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +170.
Portsmouth have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Middlesbrough have avoided defeat in their last four away matches. Rob Edwards' team have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
The past meeting at Fratton Park saw Portsmouth defeat Middlesbrough 2-1.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portsmouth Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
Middlesbrough Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.10 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Portsmouth League Stats
Middlesbrough League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Portsmouth this season are Adrian Segecic (3), Andre Dozzell (1), Colby Bishop (1)
- Top Assistors for Portsmouth this season are John Swift (2), Florian Bianchini (1), Josh Murphy (1)
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough team news before you bet. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.
Portsmouth Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Middlesbrough Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Portsmouth Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Middlesbrough Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Portsmouth Substitutes
- 10Adrian Segecic
- 11Florian Bianchini
- 14Hayden Matthews
- 16Luke Le Roux
- 18Mark Kosznovszky
- 22Zak Swanson
- 24Terry Devlin
- 29Harvey Blair
- 30Ben Killip
Middlesbrough Substitutes
- 10Delano Burgzorg
- 11Morgan Whittaker
- 13David Strelec
- 16Alan Browne
- 19Sverre Halseth Nypan
- 22Samuel Silvera
- 24Alex Bangura
- 33Jon McLaughlin
- 42Abdoulaye Kante
Previous Portsmouth Lineups
Previous Middlesbrough Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40:13 | 34 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Preston | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Hull | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | Millwall | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 23 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 10 | Derby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Leicester | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 14 | West Brom | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | 21 |
| 15 | Watford | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 20 |
| 16 | QPR | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 19 |
| 17 | Southampton | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 18 | Swansea | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | 13 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12:29 | -4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Watford | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Preston | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 17 |
| 5 | Hull | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ipswich | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 8 | Charlton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Stoke | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 10 | Millwall | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 13 |
| 11 | West Brom | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Derby | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 15 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 16 | Southampton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 17 | Swansea | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 18 | QPR | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 20 | Oxford | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:18 | 2 |
| 24 | Norwich | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:13 | 0 |
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