Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough

Portsmouth host league leaders Middlesbrough in this Championship fixture at Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Boro to Get the Job Done

We think that Middlesbrough will have the upper hand against Portsmouth and we like the price of +135 on the Full-Time Result market. The odds make plenty of appeal and we’re expecting this bet to land.

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Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 2-1 Pompey Victory

Portsmouth played Watford at home in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at Fratton Park. Pompey had the majority of the ball boasting 63% possession and five shots on target, with Min-Hyeok Yang and Adrian Segecic each scoring one goal.

Middlesbrough drew 0-0 against Stoke City in their previous game. This was on home soil at Riverside Stadium. Rob Edwards' team enjoyed 55% possession and managed four shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Portsmouth beat Middlesbrough in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 2-1 home win at Fratton Park.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Middlesbrough	8	5	3	0	12	5	7	12:5	18
17	Portsmouth	8	2	3	3	7	9	-2	7:9	9

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Pompey have had 50.9% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.2 corners.

Adrian Segecic is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Min-Hyeok Yang, Marlon Pack, Andre Dozzell and Colby Bishop each have 1. The leading assistors have been John Swift and Josh Murphy with 2.

Middlesbrough have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 50.2% possession, 5.4 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Kaly Sene and Tommy Conway have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with David Strelec on 1. Luke Ayling, Hayden Hackney and Morgan Whittaker have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Portsmouth predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Josef Bursik (GK), Zak Swanson, Josh Knight, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, John Swift, Andre Dozzell, Adrian Segecic, Conor Chaplin, Min-hyeok Yang, Colby Bishop.

Middlesbrough predicted lineup (4-3-3): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, Dael Fry, Alfie Jones, Matthew Targett, Hayden Hackney, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Sverre Nypan, David Strelec, Kaly Sene.

Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

Middlesbrough can’t be passed over when they play this Championship encounter, especially as a price of +135 is available for this selection. Head to the betting sites and back this value pick.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Championship team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough league stats:

• Middlesbrough have won 5 of their last 10 games.

Boro to Win Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 42.6% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 45-50%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re confident when it comes to Middlesbrough managing a sizeable win, you can discover options at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. Select your line and bank a larger possible return.

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Our Match Prediction

Middlesbrough To Win @ +135 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Portsmouth 1 - 2 Middlesbrough

One bet that has caught our eye is Middlesbrough to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adrian Segecic to Score +310

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) has netted two goals in his past four Championship home matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +310.

Latest Adrian Segecic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+700

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Corners Prediction

Middlesbrough Under 4.5 Corners -120

Middlesbrough have had under 4.5 corners in three consecutive away games, while Portsmouth have had an average of 3.40 corners against them in their last 10 home matches. The Middlesbrough Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -120 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Portsmouth

Total

9.50 5.30 4.20

Home

9.60 6.20 3.40

Away

9.80 4.40 5.40

Middlesbrough

Total

10.30 5.40 4.90

Home

9.80 6.00 3.80

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-132

Portsmouth Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-116

X

+600

2

+123

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Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Tight Affair

If you want to back Portsmouth to win this Championship clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +188 on the 1x2 market. Middlesbrough are available at betting odds of +135 and the draw is +240.

For those wanting some insurance backing Middlesbrough, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -102 that they manage to beat Portsmouth on this market.

If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -132.

If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+188

X

+240

2

+135

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

+116

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-192

12

-370

X2

-278

Draw No Bet

1

+102

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-135

2 Hcp -0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-105

Tommy Conway Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Those interested in favourite Tommy Conway to find the net first are able to get +400. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +170.

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+188

Anytime

+420

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Josh Murphy (Portsmouth)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Mackenzie Kirk (Portsmouth)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Florian Bianchini (Portsmouth)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

John Swift (Portsmouth)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Regan Poole (Portsmouth)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Andre Dozzell (Portsmouth)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Zak Swanson (Portsmouth)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Matt Targett (Middlesbrough)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Four of Previous Ten Portsmouth Home Clashes Have Ended in Defeat

Portsmouth have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Middlesbrough have avoided defeat in their last four away matches. Rob Edwards' team have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

The past meeting at Fratton Park saw Portsmouth defeat Middlesbrough 2-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Portsmouth Home Stats		3-3-4	2.40	1.10	1.30	5	5	6	4
Middlesbrough Away Stats		3-3-4	2.10	1.10	1.00	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough team news before you bet. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.

Portsmouth Team Page Middlesbrough Team Page