Southampton vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Watford

Southampton clash with Watford at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 07:31 on Saturday 7 February.

Southampton and Watford could be set for a low-scoring encounter. We will therefore head to the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be backed at an eye-catching price of +102.

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Southampton won their last game 2-0. This was an away victory at bet365 Stadium against Stoke City. The Saints recorded four shots on target and had 48% possession, while Finn Azaz and Flynn Downes scored one goal apiece.

Watford played Hull City away from home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at MKM Stadium. Charlie Daniels' side recorded 60% possession and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Southampton boast an unbeaten record in the past five matches against Watford, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Vicarage Road. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in five Southampton wins, four draws and one Watford victory.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Watford	31	11	11	9	39	36	3	39:36	44
14	Southampton	31	11	10	10	44	41	3	44:41	43

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. Southampton have had 58.2% possession and 5.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Leo Scienza has found the net 2 times, with Finn Azaz, Flynn Downes, Ross Stewart and Cameron Archer scoring 1 each. Leo Scienza is the top assists maker on 2.

Watford have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 12.4 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. The Hornets average 49.9% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 9.6 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Thomas Ince is top scorer on 3, with Mamadou Doumbia and Othmane Maamma next on 2. Nestory Irankunda and Imran Louza are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Southampton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, Welington, Caspar Jander, Flynn Downes, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Leo Scienza, Ross Stewart.

Watford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, James Abankwah, Stephen Mfuni, Marc Bola, Nampalys Mendy, Imran Louza, Othmane Maamma, Edo Kayembe, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Mamadou Doumbia.

Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Southampton vs Watford with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research tells us that a price of +102 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a worthwhile bet for this Championship encounter. This wager has a big prospect of landing a payout according to the stats.

The Championship injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Southampton vs Watford league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Southampton games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Southampton games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Watford games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Watford games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Watford games.

The best betting apps make it a 49.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ +102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (13:38, 05 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 0 Watford

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves Southampton winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leo Scienza to Score +230

Leo Scienza (Southampton) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +230 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Leo Scienza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+575

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Watford Over 3.5 Corners -141

Watford have had over 3.5 corners in six consecutive matches, with Southampton conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous three games. There are odds of -141 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Watford will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Southampton

Total

10.50 5.60 4.90

Home

11.10 6.40 4.70

Away

10.70 4.50 6.20

Watford

Total

11.20 5.10 6.10

Home

10.40 5.40 5.00

Away

10.90 4.70 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-143

Southampton Corners

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

-100

Watford Corners

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+750

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Southampton vs Watford Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Southampton at -116 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 54% likely to win this Championship encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +300, Watford are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

If you want to back Southampton to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -119, although Watford +0.5 is -109 and the latter puts the draw on your side.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -152.

The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Championship match before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

-116

X

+260

2

+300

Half-Time Result

1

+135

X

+130

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-385

X2

-115

Draw No Bet

1

-278

2

+180

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-119

2 Hcp +0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-152

No

+110

Adam Armstrong can be backed to find the net anytime at +165, with +420 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

First

+165

Anytime

+420

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

First

+210

Anytime

+540

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Jack Grieves (Watford)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Othmane Maamma (Watford)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Shea Charles (Southampton)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Tom Ince (Watford)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Elias Jelert (Southampton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Southampton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Jack Stephens (Southampton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Southampton have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Watford are unbeaten in the last five games on their travels. Charlie Daniels' side have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The previous St. Mary's encounter involved a 3-2 Southampton win against Watford. In the previous 4 H2H games at St. Mary's, we have seen three Southampton victories and one Watford win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Southampton Home Stats		5-3-2	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	5	5
Watford Away Stats		3-4-3	2.50	1.20	1.30	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Southampton vs Watford Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Southampton vs Watford team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.

Southampton Team Page Watford Team Page

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