Puebla vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2025

We’re Expecting Both Teams to Score

The best betting angle could be backing Puebla and Toluca to both score at least once, especially as odds of -150 are available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.

Toluca 5-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Club Puebla have lost on their last three outings. In a recent home game at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, they were turned over 3-1 by Pumas UNAM. Pablo Guede's side had 45% possession and totalled six shots on target, while Facundo Waller registered the goal.

Deportivo Toluca won their previous game which was at home. It was a 5-2 triumph at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Club Necaxa. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed 60% possession and managed ten shots on goal, while Alexis Vega was on target with a hat-trick.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Estadio Nemesio Diez, they recorded a 5-0 home victory over Puebla. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H games involve four Puebla wins. There have also been three draws and three Toluca victories.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Toluca	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3:1	3
13	Puebla	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	2:3	0

View Full Table

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. Club Puebla have had 40.8% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Ricardo Marin has found the net 4 times, with Facundo Waller and Emiliano Gomez scoring 2 each. Raul Castillo and Brayan Angulo have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Deportivo Toluca have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 2.3 goals from 7.2 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.4% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts.

Paulinho is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Alexis Vega is on 5 and Robert Morales on 3. Marcel Ruiz and Alexis Vega have managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Puebla confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Julio Gonzalez (GK), Jose Pachuca, Juan Fedorco, Efrain Orona, Gustavo Ferrareis, Franco Moyano, Emanuel Gularte, Fernando Arce, Luis Quinones, Facundo Waller, Ricardo Marin.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pau Lopez (GK), Everardo Del Villar, Antonio Briseno, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Hector Herrera, Marcel Ruiz, Juan Dominguez, Paulinho, Alexis Vega, Ivan Lopez.

Puebla vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

It’s easy to back the -150 that’s available when it comes to the BTTS Yes betting selection. Both sides look capable of finding the net in this Liga MX clash and this looks a value bet.

Football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key Puebla vs Toluca league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Puebla games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Puebla games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Toluca games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Toluca games.

BTTS Yes Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 60% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

One way of boosting your BTTS Yes pick is by going down the Bet Builder route. This involves trying to find other winning selections and getting a bigger price as a result.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Puebla 1 - 3 Toluca

We’re going for Toluca at +1050 to secure a 3-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Puebla Over 3.5 Corners -150

It’s been an average of 5.40 Puebla corners in the past 5 home matches, while 4 of the last 5 Toluca games have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Puebla Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -150 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Puebla

Total

9.40 4.30 5.10

Home

10.60 4.80 5.80

Away

9.80 3.10 6.70

Toluca

Total

9.30 5.30 4.00

Home

9.30 4.90 4.40

Away

7.70 4.00 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Puebla Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+190

X

+600

2

-204

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Puebla vs Toluca Odds

Deportivo Toluca are the -175 favourites and that means a 64% chance of winning this Liga MX match according to the betting odds at the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Club Puebla are trading at +400.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

Many customers enjoy placing a Liga MX Bet Builder where you can combine different betting selections with the football betting sites. The more picks means that the odds get bigger.

Full-Time Result

1

+400

X

+320

2

-175

Half-Time Result

1

+450

X

+137.5

2

+110

Double Chance

1X

+130

12

-450

X2

-599

Draw No Bet

1

+275

2

-400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-114

2 Hcp -1

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-105

Puebla vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Puebla vs Toluca team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ve got details of the Liga MX squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Puebla Team Page Toluca Team Page