Puebla vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Jan 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Puebla vs Toluca

Puebla meet Toluca at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 30 January.

We’re backing Puebla +1 on the Asian Handicap against Toluca at -112. There’s money back should the underdogs lose by one goal and we will see a nice return from this bet if they manage to win or draw.

Club Puebla were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Estadio Banorte. Cruz Azul claimed a 1-0 win. La Franja had just 27% possession and didn’t record a single shot on target.

Deportivo Toluca played Tigres UANL away from home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at El Volcán. Antonio Mohamed's team had 47% of possession and four shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have beaten Puebla on three consecutive occasions. Their last encounter was at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with Toluca claiming a 3-1 home win. The past 10 H2H matches have included five Toluca victories, three draws and two Puebla wins.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	11	7	4	0	18	6	12	18:6	25
11	Puebla	11	3	3	5	9	13	-4	9:13	12

View Full Table

Club Puebla have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 8.9 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. Hernan Cristante's men have averaged 48.5% possession and 5.4 corners per game, conceding 2.1 goals and 5.7 corners from 10.1 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Emiliano Gomez is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Luis Gabriel Rey, Ricardo Marin and Carlos Baltazar each have 2. Fernando Monarrez is the leading assists maker with 3.

Deportivo Toluca have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.2 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.8% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 6.1 attempts.

Helinho has landed 5 goals, Paulinho 4, with Marcel Ruiz and two others scoring 1. Helinho, Nicolas Castro and Diego Barbosa have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Puebla confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Daniel Gutierrez (GK), Iker Moreno, Eduardo Navarro, Juan Pablo Vargas, Nicolas Diaz, Luis Gabriel Rey, Edgar Guerra, Alejandro Organista, Carlos Baltazar, Emiliano Gomez, Esteban Lozano.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Garcia (GK), Santiago Simon, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Francisco Cordova, Jesus Angulo, Nicolas Castro, Paulinho.

Puebla vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Puebla vs Toluca with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Puebla +1 could be the order of the day in this Liga MX encounter. We can back the underdogs at -112 and feel confident that they will give a good account of themselves by keeping the scoreline close.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Liga MX odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.

Key Puebla vs Toluca league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Puebla in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 7 of their last 10 games against Puebla.

The best betting apps make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Match Prediction

Puebla Asian Hcp +1 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 29, 03:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +525. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Edgar Andres Guerra to Score +550

Edgar Andres Guerra (Puebla) has scored two goals in his past seven Liga MX home matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +550 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Edgar Andres Guerra Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1500

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Puebla Over 3.5 Corners +106

In their past four matches, Puebla have covered the 3.5 corners line, with Toluca conceding 4.20 corners on average in their last 10 away games. We’re going to select the Overs for Puebla Team Corners, with this line making appeal and you can secure odds of +106.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Puebla

Total

11.10 5.40 5.70

Home

9.00 4.40 4.60

Away

10.40 5.50 4.90

Toluca

Total

9.00 5.40 3.60

Home

9.00 5.60 3.40

Away

9.40 5.20 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-116

Puebla Corners

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-135

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

-104

Most Corners

1

+260

X

+750

2

-278

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Puebla vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 62% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Deportivo Toluca are favourites to prosper in this Liga MX encounter and they’re available at -164 with the bookies. Club Puebla are seen as the most unlikely winner at +420.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Puebla are +390 here and the draw is +135, with Toluca on offer at +108.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -139 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Liga MX game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+420

X

+285

2

-164

Half-Time Result

1

+390

X

+135

2

+108

Double Chance

1X

+112

12

-500

X2

-833

Draw No Bet

1

+260

2

-476

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-102

2 Hcp -0.75

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-102

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +280, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-105

Anytime

+280

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Ignacio Maestro Puch (Puebla)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Edgar Andres Guerra (Puebla)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Owen Gonzalez (Puebla)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Raúl Castillo (Puebla)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Puebla have finished with six losses, three victories and one draw in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

Toluca have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

Toluca beat Puebla 3-0 when they last met at Estadio Cuahutehmoc. The 6 H2H meetings most recently played at Estadio Cuahutehmoc have featured three Puebla wins, one draw and two victories for Toluca.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Puebla Home Stats		3-1-6	3.40	1.30	2.10	6	4	5	5
Toluca Away Stats		5-3-2	1.90	1.30	0.60	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Puebla vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Puebla vs Toluca team news before placing your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX along with up-to-date injury news.

Puebla Team Page Toluca Team Page

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