RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig square off against Borussia Dortmund at Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 21 February.

If you agree with our view that Dortmund can perform well against Leipzig, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -120. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

Following our Asian Handicap pick? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and read our honest review of the site before making your play.

RB Leipzig faced Wolfsburg at home when last in action. It was a 2-2 draw at Red Bull Arena. Ole Werner's men managed ten shots on target and enjoyed 68% possession, with Yan Diomande and Brajan Gruda each scoring one goal.

Borussia Dortmund claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-0 triumph against Mainz 05 at Signal Iduna Park made it six straight wins. BVB boasted 55% possession and recorded eight shots on goal, with Serhou Guirassy netting two, while Maximilian Beier and Ramy Bensebaini were also on the scoresheet.

Four days ago, Dortmund won 2-0 at home to Atalanta in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Dortmund were at home when the teams last met and it was a 1-1 draw versus Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park. The 10 H2H meetings most recently played have included seven Leipzig victories, one draw and two triumphs for Dortmund.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Dortmund	22	15	6	1	47	20	27	47:20	51
5	RB Leipzig	22	12	4	6	42	30	12	42:30	40

View Full Table

Leipzig have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 15.2 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. The Saxony team have averaged 58.6% possession, 561.6 passes and 4.1 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 4.1 corners from 10.3 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Yan Diomande is the top goalscorer with 5, Christoph Baumgartner has 3, with Conrad Harder and two other players on 2. Leading assistors have been Christoph Baumgartner and David Raum with 3, while goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi has 3 clean sheets.

Dortmund have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.6 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Niko Kovac's side have averaged 53.8% possession, 490.6 passes, 5.5 corners taken and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts.

Serhou Guirassy is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while Maximilian Beier and Julian Brandt both have 4. Julian Ryerson has had 8 assists in the previous 10 games, while Gregor Kobel has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Maarten Vandevoordt (GK), Benjamin Henrichs, Willi Orban, Nicolas Seiwald, Max Finkgrafe, Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Brajan Gruda, Antonio Nusa, Conrad Harder.

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (3-4-3): Gregor Kobel (GK), Luca Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

Our RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

Dortmund +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -120. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Bundesliga game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

The first port of call is to check out the Bundesliga injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by BVB in 15 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by BVB in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by BVB in 16 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 3 consecutive games at home.

The best betting sites make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of BVB.

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Our Match Prediction

Dortmund Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leipzig 1 - 2 Dortmund

There are odds of +800 available that Dortmund land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Julian Brandt to Score +270

Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has racked up four goals in his past seven Bundesliga games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +270.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Dortmund To Have Most Corners +110

Dortmund have had a corner average of 6.80 in the past 5 matches, with Leipzig averaging 3.40 corners in their previous 5 games. Dortmund can be backed at a value +110 to win the Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leipzig

Total

8.20 4.10 4.10

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

9.30 4.90 4.40

Dortmund

Total

9.60 5.50 4.10

Home

11.30 7.50 3.80

Away

9.00 3.90 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-104

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-102

Dortmund Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-116

Most Corners

1

-105

X

+650

2

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest RB Leipzig odds are +123 which leads to them being favourites in this Bundesliga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 45% prospect of securing a victory. The market implies that Borussia Dortmund are the most unlikely to win at +180.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Leipzig can be backed at -149 or alternatively Dortmund are on offer at +105.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -250.

No matter what Bundesliga game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+285

2

+180

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+150

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-400

X2

-161

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+163

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-250

No

+180

There’s the chance to back Sehrou Guirassy at +430 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

+135

Anytime

+430

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+200

Anytime

+575

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Emre Can (Dortmund)

First

+500

Anytime

+1600

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+510

Anytime

+1500

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+540

Anytime

+1600

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+540

Anytime

+1700

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Leipzig have gone without a win at Red Bull Arena in the last three games. Ole Werner's men have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Dortmund are unbeaten over their previous seven games on the road. BVB have six victories, three draws and one defeat in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

The most recent Red Bull Arena meeting saw Leipzig claim a 2-0 win over Dortmund. We’ve seen five Leipzig wins and three Dortmund victories in the past 8 H2H meetings at Red Bull Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
RB Leipzig Home Stats		6-1-3	3.80	2.30	1.50	8	2	7	3
Borussia Dortmund Away Stats		6-3-1	2.70	1.80	0.90	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Leipzig vs Dortmund without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

RB Leipzig Team Page Borussia Dortmund Team Page

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