Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Mar 2025

Heavy Loss Can Be Avoided by Rayo

We expect Rayo to put up plenty of resistance as the outsiders and they’re available at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -119. Our money is divided between +1.5 and 2.0, meaning a safety net for this wager.

Last H2H Clash Ended 3-3

Real Madrid were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Estadio Benito Villamarin. Real Betis claimed a 2-1 win. Los Merengues had the majority of the ball boasting 59% possession and two shots on target, while Brahim Diaz scored the goal.

Rayo Vallecano played Sevilla at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Inigo Perez's side enjoyed 64% possession and managed eight shots on goal, with Andrei Ratiu finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been successive draws in the previous three meetings between Real and Rayo, with the last encounter ending 3-3 at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. The previous 8 H2H games have featured three Real wins, three draws and two Rayo victories.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 18.6 attempts and 6.4 shots on goal. Real have had 63.1% possession, 628.7 passes and 5.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal, while earning 3.7 corners.

Top scorer is Kylian Mbappe on 8 goals, while Brahim Diaz and Rodrygo have both racked up 3. Rodrygo has the most assists with 4, while goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has 2 clean sheets.

Rayo have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, averaging 13.9 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Los Franjirrojos average 54.6% possession, 432.7 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.

The top scorers have been Alvaro Garcia and Randy Nteka on 2, with Andrei Ratiu getting 1. Alvaro Garcia has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Augusto Batalla has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin (GK), Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asencio, David Alaba, Francisco Garcia, Rodrygo, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Rayo Vallecano confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Aridane Hernandez, Alfonso Espino, Pathe Ciss, Adrian Embarba, Pedro Diaz, Gerard Gumbau, Pep Chavarria, Alvaro Garcia.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

It could be all about backing Rayo +1.75 when it comes to this La Liga clash. The underdogs can play well and the odds of -119 are appealing for a side who should be able to serve it up.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Rayo in all of their last 10 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Rayo in all of their last 5 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Rayo in 14 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 8 consecutive games against Rayo.

Rayo +1.75 Probability

The bookies make it a 54.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

Our Match Prediction

Rayo Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -119 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 1 - 0 Rayo

Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that Real Madrid secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -120

We’ve seen an average 11.30 corners in the past 10 Rayo Vallecano away games, while the previous 10 Real Madrid home matches have averaged 10.80. There are odds of -120 being served up when it comes to this Total Corners wager and we think the teams can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

9.50 5.80 3.70

Home

10.80 7.20 3.60

Away

8.00 3.80 4.20

Rayo

Total

9.00 4.90 4.10

Home

8.60 4.80 3.80

Away

11.30 5.40 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Real Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Rayo Corners

Over 2.5

-163

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-476

X

+750

2

+380

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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

You might not get rich backing Real Madrid at -350 to win this La Liga match. However, these bookies betting odds imply a high 78% chance of winning the game. Rayo Vallecano are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +900.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite.

If you fancy Real Madrid but want money back if this La Liga match is a draw, then you can get -1000. You can bet on Rayo Vallecano at +600 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

-350

X

+450

2

+900

Half-Time Result

1

-138

X

+162.5

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-1587

12

-699

X2

+250

Draw No Bet

1

-1000

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-116

2 Hcp +1.5

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+137.5

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Our Real vs Rayo team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the La Liga squads.

Real Madrid Team Page Rayo Vallecano Team Page