Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Feb 2026
La Liga Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid welcome Rayo Vallecano to Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Sunday 1 February.
Real Madrid should finish well clear of Rayo and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means our stake is split between -1.5 and -2.0 at tempting betting odds of -108.
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Real Madrid have got the win in their last five league games. Most recently, a 2-0 victory occurred when playing Villarreal away at Estadio de la Ceramica. Alvaro Arbeloa's team had the majority of the ball boasting 58% possession and four shots on target, while Kylian Mbappe scored both goals.
On Wednesday night, Real lost 4-2 when visiting José Mourinho's Benfica in the Champions League.
Rayo Vallecano have lost three consecutive La Liga away games. Last time out, they lost 3-1 at home to Osasuna at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos had four shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, while Pathe Ciss was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Real are unbeaten in the past six matches against Rayo, with the last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw at Estadio de Vallecas. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Real victories, four draws and two Rayo wins.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 45:17 | 51 |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano |
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17:28 | 22 |
Real have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.9 shots on goal and 19.0 attempts. Los Merengues have averaged 57.6% possession, 563.2 passes and 6.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 3.9 corners.
Top scorer Kylian Mbappe has found the net 8 times, Gonzalo Garcia 3, with Raul Asencio and Jude Bellingham both scoring 2. Rodrygo is the leading assists maker with 3, while goalie Thibaut Courtois has 5 clean sheets.
Rayo have 1 victory, 4 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 0.5 goals from 14.4 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. Inigo Perez's side average 56.8% possession, 430.9 passes, 5.6 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.
Jorge de Frutos has scored 2, followed by Pathe Ciss, Isi Palazon and Nobel Mendy with 1 goals apiece. Isi Palazon, Alvaro Garcia and Unai Lopez have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Augusto Batalla has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-1-2-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, David Alaba, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-3-3): Augusto Batalla (GK), Alfonso Espino, Florian Lejeune, Pathe Ciss, Pep Chavarria, Isi Palazon, Oscar Valentin, Pedro Diaz, Carlos Martin, Jorge de Frutos, Alvaro Garcia.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
The Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We really like Real Madrid at odds of -108 on the Asian Handicap where they’re giving up -1.75. A big victory is anticipated in this La Liga game, with a comfortable winning margin on the cards.
The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable La Liga stats.
Key Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.
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Correct Score Prediction
3
-
0
Rayo
A 3-0 win in favor of Real Madrid can be backed at odds of +650. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Arda Guler (Real Madrid) has finished with over 1.5 shots in his past two La Liga matches. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of -152.
Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) has managed two goals in his past five La Liga home games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +230 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five games featuring Rayo Vallecano have seen 8.80 corners on average. We’re happy to back the -122 when it comes to the teams falling short of the Total Corners line which looks generous.
Real Madrid
Rayo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following bet builder: Real Madrid with an Asian Handicap of -1.75, BTTS No along with under 10.5 corners to be awarded.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Real Madrid are convincing -435 favourites to land the spoils in this La Liga encounter, which means a 81% likelihood of securing a victory according to the current betting odds. Rayo Vallecano are the +1000 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
Real can be backed at -161 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Rayo can be chanced at +700 and the draw is +190.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the La Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Kylian Mbappé is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +180. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
Real Madrid have clocked up four straight wins at Santiago Bernabéu. Alvaro Arbeloa's team have clocked up eight wins and two losses in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.60 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Rayo have suffered three consecutive away losses. Los Franjirrojos have recorded seven defeats, two victories and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Real beat Rayo 2-1 when the teams last met at Santiago Bernabéu. Aside from one draw, Real have dominated the past 4 H2H meetings at Santiago Bernabéu with three victories.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid Home Stats |
8-0-2 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 0.80 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Rayo Vallecano Away Stats |
2-1-7 | 2.40 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 09/11 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 Real Madrid 0
- La Liga: 09/03 2025 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 14/12 2024 Rayo Vallecano 3 Real Madrid 3
- La Liga: 18/02 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 Real Madrid 1
- La Liga: 05/11 2023 Real Madrid 0 Rayo Vallecano 0
- La Liga: 24/05 2023 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 07/11 2022 Rayo Vallecano 3 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 26/02 2022 Rayo Vallecano 0 Real Madrid 1
- La Liga: 06/11 2021 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 28/04 2019 Rayo Vallecano 1 Real Madrid 0
Real Madrid League Stats
Rayo Vallecano League Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Real Madrid this season are Kylian Mbappe (21), Vinicius Junior (5), Jude Bellingham (4)
- Top Assistors for Real Madrid this season are Arda Guler (7), Federico Valverde (6), Vinicius Junior (5)
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Real vs Rayo team news before placing your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-1-2-3
Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-1-2-3
Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Previous Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alvaro Arbeloa
Rayo Vallecano Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 57:22 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45:17 | 51 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38:17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37:21 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 25:25 | 34 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:23 | 32 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29:29 | 27 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24:25 | 25 |
| 10 | Girona | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Elche | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 29:29 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28:33 | 24 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 14 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22:33 | 23 |
| 15 | Alavés | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18:26 | 22 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 17 | Getafe | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16:27 | 22 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:33 | 21 |
| 19 | Levante | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24:34 | 17 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 11:34 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 31:5 | 30 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23:6 | 27 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 5 | Elche | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 6 | Osasuna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Alavés | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 10 | Valencia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 16 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 16 | Girona | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3:11 | 8 |
| 20 | Levante | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
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