San Luis vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: San Luis vs Toluca

San Luis host Toluca in this Liga MX meeting at Estadio Alfonso Lastras, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 29 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get the Best Value By Backing Toluca

If you concur with our viewpoint that Toluca can beat San Luis, there is the opportunity to land a price of -103 that this happens. We think that the odds stand out on the Full-Time Result market.

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Toluca Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Atlético San Luis have lost back-to-back league games at home. In their last Liga MX encounter, it was a 3-2 road loss against Querétaro at Estadio La Corregidora. Los Atléticos had most of the ball recording 62% possession and three shots on target, with Joao Pedro scoring both goals.

Deportivo Toluca were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Estadio Azteca. Cruz Azul claimed a 1-0 victory. Antonio Mohamed's side had 46% possession and totalled one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have five consecutive victories against San Luis. Their last clash saw Toluca leave Estadio Alfonso Lastras with a 1-0 win. The past 10 H2H meetings have included seven victories for Toluca, two wins for San Luis and a single draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Toluca	6	3	1	2	13	9	4	13:9	10
10	San Luis	6	2	0	4	9	10	-1	9:10	6

View Full Table

San Luis have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Guillermo Abascal's side have averaged 51.3% possession and 5.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Joao Pedro is the top goalscorer with 6, Roman Torres has 2, with Eduardo Aguila and two other players on 1. Sebastien Lamonge has recorded the most assists with 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 11.1 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 50.8% possession, 4.5 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 7.5 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Paulinho, Helinho and Alexis Vega are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Jesus Angulo is on 2. Alexis Vega has been top assists provider with 5 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

San Luis predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andrés Sánchez (GK), Jose Javier Suarez, Juanpe, Eduardo Águila, Aldo Cruz, Rodrigo Dourado, Sébastien Salles Lamonge, Miguel García, Mateo Klimowicz, Yan Phillipe, João Pedro Galvão.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-3-3): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Marcel Ruíz, Nicolas Castro, Franco Romero, Juan Pablo Domínguez, Paulinho, Ernesto Alexis Vega.

San Luis vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into San Luis vs Toluca with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s hard to resist the chance to wager Toluca on the basis that they’re -103 to record a Liga MX win. We’ll go for this bet confidently considering that the latest information suggest that a victory is on the cards.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Liga MX data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key San Luis vs Toluca league stats:

• Toluca have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• San Luis have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• San Luis have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• San Luis have lost their last 2 games at home.
• San Luis have lost their last 5 games against Toluca.

Toluca to Win Probability

The best betting sites make it a 50.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to boost the price for Toluca to win on the Full-Time Result market, you might contemplate the Bet Builder option and combine this selection with other possible outcomes.

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Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -103 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

San Luis 1 - 2 Toluca

Toluca are available to back at +700 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alexis Vega to Score +210

Alexis Vega (Toluca) has netted three goals in his past eight Liga MX matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +210 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

--100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

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Corners Prediction

San Luis Over 4.5 Corners -133

4 of the past 5 San Luis games have seen them cover the 4.5 corners line, with Toluca conceding over 4.5 corners in their previous three away matches. We’re going to select the Overs for San Luis Team Corners, with this line making appeal and you can secure odds of -133.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

San Luis

Total

11.00 5.80 5.20

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

11.90 5.50 6.40

Toluca

Total

8.40 4.50 3.90

Home

7.20 4.30 2.90

Away

10.40 5.00 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-154

Under 9.5

+102

San Luis Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+118

X

+650

2

-109

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San Luis vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Toluca Victory

The bookies have Deportivo Toluca at -103 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 51% likely to win this Liga MX encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Atlético San Luis are available at +235.

Toluca are -102 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on San Luis +0.5 at -123, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -179.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Liga MX games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+235

X

+275

2

-103

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+135

2

+143

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-455

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+145

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-123

2 Hcp -0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-179

No

+125

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

João Galvão (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Benjamín Galdames (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Julio Domínguez (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Daniel Guillén (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Eduardo Aguila (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Aldo Cruz (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Gabriel Martínez (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Juanpe Ramírez (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

--100

João Galvão (San Luis)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+118

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-189

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-244

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-294

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-303

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Benjamín Galdames (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-556

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Julio Domínguez (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-714

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Daniel Guillén (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Eduardo Aguila (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+420

Under 0.5

-1111

Gabriel Martínez (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+430

Under 0.5

-1250

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+480

Under 0.5

-1429

Aldo Cruz (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+500

Under 0.5

-1429

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+575

Under 0.5

-1667

Juanpe Ramírez (San Luis)

Over 0.5

+850

Under 0.5

-3333

Six of Previous Ten San Luis Home Clashes Have Ended in Defeat

San Luis have managed six losses and four victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Toluca have collected five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Toluca were 1-0 victors against San Luis last time out at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. In the previous 5 H2H meetings at Estadio Alfonso Lastras, we have seen three Toluca triumphs, one San Luis win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
San Luis Home Stats		4-0-6	2.70	1.20	1.50	7	3	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		5-2-3	2.80	1.60	1.20	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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San Luis vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the San Luis vs Toluca team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups alongside the newest injury information.

San Luis Team Page Toluca Team Page