Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Jul 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Santos Laguna vs Toluca

Santos Laguna host Toluca in this Liga MX match at Estadio Nuevo Corona, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Wednesday 16 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Toluca Stand Out as a Great Bet

Toluca are capable of delivering a nice payout when they clash with Santos Laguna and the price of -143 really stands out. We think that the Full-Time Result market is the best route to a potential return.

Following our Toluca to win prediction? Make sure you're betting smart—get the latest bet365 promo code and read our trusted review.

7 Victories for Toluca in Previous 10 H2H Games

Santos Laguna were victorious when they last played, landing a 3-0 home success against Pumas UNAM at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Fernando Ortiz's side had 50% possession and managed four shots on target, with Aldo Lopez, Ramiro Sordo and Cristian Dajome scoring one goal apiece.

Deportivo Toluca secured a 3-1 home win over Club Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Diez in their previous game. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed 65% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Marcel Ruiz, Jesus Angulo and Helinho on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with Toluca claiming the home win. Beating Santos by a 2-1 scoreline. In the previous 10 H2H games, there have been seven Toluca wins, two Santos victories and a draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Santos Laguna	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	3:0	3
3	Toluca	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3:1	3

View Full Table

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Santos have had 48.8% possession and 4.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.1 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.9 corners.

Top goalscorer is Bruno Barticciotto on 5 goals, while Ramiro Sordo has bagged 3 and Aldo Lopez 2. Fran Villalba and Javier Guemez are tied for the most assists on 3.

Deportivo Toluca have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.9% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.

Paulinho has recorded 5 goals, Alexis Vega 4, with Luan Garcia and Jesus Gallardo both managing 2. Alexis Vega and Marcel Ruiz have both managed 5 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Santos Laguna predicted lineup (5-3-2): Carlos Acevedo Lopez (GK), José Javier Abella, Óscar Haret Ortega, Kevin Balanta, Bruno Amione, Emmanuel Echeverria, Javier Güemez, Fran Villalba, Aldo López Vargas, Ramiro Sordo, Jesús Ocejo.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Luan, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruíz, Juan Pablo Domínguez, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Santos Laguna vs Toluca with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re expecting Toluca to triumph in this Liga MX match and we’re excited by the odds of -143. This prediction has plenty of appeal and we’re confident our pick will land a return.

The Liga MX tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Santos Laguna vs Toluca league stats:

• Toluca have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Toluca have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Toluca have won 2 consecutive games.
• Santos have lost 16 of their last 20 games.
• Santos have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Santos have lost 7 of their last 10 games against Toluca.

Toluca to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Toluca can be wagered in various ways and you might regard the price as more attractive when you consider the Asian Handicap or the Result & Both Teams to Score markets.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -143 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Santos 0 - 2 Toluca

There are odds of +800 available that Toluca land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -100

We’ve seen an average 8.00 corners in the past five Toluca matches, while the previous two Santos games have not seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered. We’re expecting the teams to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners wager available at -100.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Santos

Total

9.00 4.10 4.90

Home

10.10 5.30 4.80

Away

10.80 4.30 6.50

Toluca

Total

9.20 4.40 4.80

Home

8.20 4.50 3.70

Away

9.50 5.20 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Santos Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+107

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-123

Most Corners

1

+185

X

+750

2

-179

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Santos Laguna vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Toluca Most Likely to Win

With a 59% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Deportivo Toluca are favourites to prosper in this Liga MX encounter and they’re available at -143 with the bookies. Santos Laguna are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +375.

Toluca -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -114 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Santos. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -150 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Liga MX games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+375

X

+300

2

-143

Half-Time Result

1

+375

X

+140

2

+120

Double Chance

1X

+110

12

-450

X2

-549

Draw No Bet

1

+240

2

-333

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-108

2 Hcp -0.75

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-150

No

+110

Santos Struggling in Front of Their Home Fans

Santos have seven defeats and three wins in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

Toluca are winless in the last three away games. Los Diablos Rojos have secured four wins, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

When the teams previously met at Estadio Nuevo Corona, Santos defeated Toluca 2-0. The 7 past H2H games at Estadio Nuevo Corona have involved four Santos victories, one draw and two Toluca wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Santos Laguna Home Stats		3-0-7	3.00	1.10	1.90	6	4	4	6
Toluca Away Stats		4-4-2	3.10	1.80	1.30	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Santos Laguna vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Santos vs Toluca team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.

Santos Laguna Team Page Toluca Team Page