Santos vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Santos vs Grêmio

Santos host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A meeting, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ll back Grêmio to beat Santos on the Asian Handicap, with odds of -128 on offer that they triumph with a +0.5 goal advantage. If the visitors can avoid a loss, then we enjoy a payout with this bet.

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Santos played Red Bull Bragantino on the road in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw. The Fish enjoyed 60% possession and had eight shots on target, with Lautaro Diaz and Alvaro Barreal scoring one goal each.

Grêmio claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-1 victory occurred against Vitória. The Porto Alegre side were 53% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, while Andre, Francis Amuzu and Alexander Aravena were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio beat Santos when the teams last met. It was a 1-0 scoreline at home. Santos have four wins from the past 10 H2H games, with three draws and three Grêmio victories also happening.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Grêmio	34	11	10	13	37	43	-6	37:43	43
16	Santos	34	9	10	15	35	49	-14	35:49	37

View Full Table

Santos have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Juan Pablo Vojvoda's team have averaged 51.3% possession and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 1.7 goals and 5.1 corners from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Top scorer is Alvaro Barreal on 3 goals, while Guilherme Augusto and Neymar have both racked up 2. Souza, Lautaro Diaz and Benjamin Rollheiser are the leading assists makers with 1.

Grêmio have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, averaging 8.5 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Immortal Tricolor average 48.2% possession, 3.2 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

We’ve seen Andre, Alexander Aravena, Tiago Volpi and Martin Braithwaite score 2 goals each. Andre has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Santos confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Brazao (GK), Mayke, Alexis Duarte, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Joao Schmidt, Ze Rafael, Alvaro Barreal, Benjamin Rollheiser, Guilherme Augusto, Lautaro Diaz.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Grando (GK), Gustavo Martins, Erick Noriega, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur, Alysson Edward, Edenilson, Cristian Pavon, Andre.

Santos vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Santos vs Grêmio with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re taking Grêmio on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Série A encounter, with this wager looking like value at -128.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Série A form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Santos vs Grêmio league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Grêmio in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Grêmio in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 6 of their last 10 games against Grêmio.

The best betting sites make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Match Prediction

Grêmio Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -128 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Santos 0 - 1 Grêmio

There’s the option to wager on Grêmio to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +800 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Álvaro Barreal Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Álvaro Barreal (Santos) can be wagered to not record a shot on goal at -164. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Álvaro Barreal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-164

Shots

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

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Cristian Pavón To Score +400

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio) is available to score at +400. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Cristian Pavón Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-189

Shots

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Grêmio Under 4.5 Corners -137

Grêmio have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in seven consecutive away matches, with Santos conceding under 4.5 corners in their past three home games. On this basis, we can take a price of -137 that this Grêmio Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Santos

Total

9.10 4.00 5.10

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

10.30 3.20 7.10

Grêmio

Total

7.90 3.20 4.70

Home

9.00 4.00 5.00

Away

9.80 2.90 6.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Santos Corners

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-128

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+650

2

+210

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Santos vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies have Santos as -115 favourites for this Série A clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 53% likely to win. Grêmio are the +325 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Santos at +155, go for Grêmio at +360 or take the draw at +108.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -149 about Both Teams to Score No.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Série A games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+240

2

+325

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+108

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-345

X2

-119

Draw No Bet

1

-278

2

+195

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+106

No

-149

The First Goalscorer favourite is 'Guilherme' dos Santos at +600, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1150

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

João Victor de Souza Menezes (Santos)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

José Vivian "Zé Rafael" (Santos)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Tomás Rincón (Santos)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-109

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-149

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-161

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-164

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-189

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-270

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

João Victor de Souza Menezes (Santos)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-588

José Vivian "Zé Rafael" (Santos)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Santos vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Santos vs Grêmio team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Série A lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Santos Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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