Santos vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Santos vs Grêmio

Santos host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A meeting, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Write Off Grêmio For This Clash

We’ll back Grêmio to beat Santos on the Asian Handicap, with odds of -128 on offer that they triumph with a +0.5 goal advantage. If the visitors can avoid a loss, then we enjoy a payout with this bet.

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1-0 Triumph for Grêmio in Last H2H

Santos played Red Bull Bragantino on the road in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw. The Fish enjoyed 60% possession and had eight shots on target, with Lautaro Diaz and Alvaro Barreal scoring one goal each.

Grêmio claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-1 victory occurred against Vitória. The Porto Alegre side were 53% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, while Andre, Francis Amuzu and Alexander Aravena were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio beat Santos when the teams last met. It was a 1-0 scoreline at home. Santos have four wins from the past 10 H2H games, with three draws and three Grêmio victories also happening.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Grêmio	25	8	8	9	27	31	-4	27:31	32
16	Santos	24	7	6	11	24	34	-10	24:34	27

View Full Table

Santos have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Juan Pablo Vojvoda's team have averaged 51.3% possession and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 1.7 goals and 5.1 corners from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Top scorer is Alvaro Barreal on 3 goals, while Guilherme Augusto and Neymar have both racked up 2. Souza, Lautaro Diaz and Benjamin Rollheiser are the leading assists makers with 1.

Grêmio have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, averaging 8.5 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Immortal Tricolor average 48.2% possession, 3.2 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

We’ve seen Andre, Alexander Aravena, Tiago Volpi and Martin Braithwaite score 2 goals each. Andre has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Santos predicted lineup (4-4-2): Gabriel Brazão (GK), Mayke, Alexis Duarte, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Alvaro Barreal, Zé Rafael, Joao Schmidt, Benjamín Rollheiser, Guilherme Augusto, Lautaro Diaz.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Grando (GK), Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Arthur, Alysson Edward, Edenilson, Cristian Pavón, André Henrique.

Santos vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Santos vs Grêmio with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re taking Grêmio on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Série A encounter, with this wager looking like value at -128.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Série A form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Santos vs Grêmio league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Grêmio in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Grêmio in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 6 of their last 10 games against Grêmio.

Grêmio +0.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Match Prediction

Grêmio Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -128 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Santos 0 - 1 Grêmio

There’s the option to wager on Grêmio to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +750 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Corners Prediction

Grêmio Under 4.5 Corners -137

Grêmio have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in seven consecutive away matches, with Santos conceding under 4.5 corners in their past three home games. On this basis, we can take a price of -137 that this Grêmio Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Santos

Total

9.10 4.00 5.10

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

10.30 3.20 7.10

Grêmio

Total

7.90 3.20 4.70

Home

9.00 4.00 5.00

Away

9.80 2.90 6.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-152

Under 9.5

+106

Santos Corners

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-128

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+700

2

+160

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Santos vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving Santos Plenty of Respect

The bookies have Santos as +102 favourites for this Série A clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 50% likely to win. Grêmio are the +275 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Santos and Grêmio can be backed at -222 and +160 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -147 about Both Teams to Score No.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Série A games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+230

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+106

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-333

X2

-141

Draw No Bet

1

-222

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+102

2 Hcp +0.5

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-147

'Guilherme' dos Santos Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is 'Guilherme' dos Santos at +650, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+460

Anytime

+900

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1150

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

João Victor de Souza Menezes (Santos)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

José Vivian "Zé Rafael" (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Tomás Rincón (Santos)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-120

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-161

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-164

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-172

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-204

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-270

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-476

João Victor de Souza Menezes (Santos)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

José Vivian "Zé Rafael" (Santos)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Santos vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Santos vs Grêmio team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Série A lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Santos Team Page Grêmio Team Page