São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro

São Paulo host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 24 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Why We’re Backing São Paulo

There are several reasons to back São Paulo on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -116. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Atlético Mineiro.

If you're siding with our São Paulo to win prediction, make sure to claim the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Goalless Draw in Pair’s Last Battle

São Paulo played Sport Recife on their travels in their last Série A game. It was a 2-2 draw. Tricolor Paulista enjoyed 67% possession and managed seven shots on target, while Lucas Moura and Maik Gomes scored one goal each.

On Tuesday night, São Paulo enjoyed a penalty shoot-out victory (1-1 AET) when hosting Atlético Nacional in the Copa Libertadores.

Atlético Mineiro lost when they last played in Série A, being beaten 3-1 at home to Grêmio. Cuca's team had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 63% possession and three shots on goal, with Gustavo Scarpa on the scoresheet.

Three days ago, Atlético claimed a 1-0 Copa Sudamericana victory away to Godoy Cruz.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been successive draws in the past three meetings between São Paulo and Atlético, with the last encounter finishing 0-0. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Atlético triumphs and six draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	São Paulo	27	10	8	9	31	28	3	31:28	38
14	Atlético MG	26	8	8	10	25	30	-5	25:30	32

View Full Table

São Paulo have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Hernan Crespo's team have averaged 51.9% possession and 5.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 7.3 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Luciano Neves has found the net 4 times, with Damian Bobadilla, Robert Arboleda and Andre scoring 2 each. Nahuel Ferraresi and Luciano Neves are tied for the most assists on 3.

Atlético have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 10.4 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 50.4% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Hulk is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Gustavo Scarpa, Gabriel Menino, Igor Gomes and Natanael have 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hulk, Tomas Cuello and Biel who have all made 1.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Rafael (GK), Alan Franco, Nahuel Ferraresi, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Marcos Antonio, Pablo Maia, Damian Bobadilla, Andre, Ferreira.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Gabriel Menino, Vitor Hugo, Ivan Roman, Caio Paulista, Fausto Vera, Alan Franco, Igor Gomes, Junior Santos, Rony, Reinier.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

São Paulo look a great bet for this Série A game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -116 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• São Paulo have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• São Paulo have won 11 of their last 19 games at home.
• São Paulo have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Atlético MG have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

São Paulo to Win Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 53.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then São Paulo are an option on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.

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Our Match Prediction

São Paulo To Win @ -116 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 2 - 0 Atlético

A 2-0 win in favor of São Paulo can be backed at odds of +575. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aldemir Ferreira To Score +270

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) can be wagered to score at +270. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Aldemir Ferreira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+510

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+155

Shots

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

São Paulo To Have Most Corners -139

São Paulo have had a higher corner count in six consecutive games. The Corner Match bet can be won by São Paulo and odds of -139 can be taken.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.50 5.20 4.30

Home

10.00 5.40 4.60

Away

10.60 4.20 6.40

Atlético

Total

11.00 5.30 5.70

Home

11.00 8.00 3.00

Away

12.40 6.10 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-122

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+165

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São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

São Paulo Favourites to Win According to Bookies

With the bookmakers affording them a 58% chance of winning, São Paulo might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -137 when it comes to this Série A encounter. Atlético Mineiro are the underdogs at +400 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Backing São Paulo -0.75 at -100 on the Asian Handicap line means they need to win by two goals or more against Atlético for a full payout. A one-goal success would see you get paid out on the -0.5 part and money back on the -1.0 part.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -167 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-137

X

+245

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+107

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-357

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-100

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-182

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+117

No

-167

Luciano da Rocha Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Those interested in favourite Luciano da Rocha to find the net first can get +370, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +185.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+185

Anytime

+370

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+240

Anytime

+475

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+245

Anytime

+480

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+260

Anytime

+510

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+950

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+155

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+145

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+138

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-139

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-149

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-167

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-185

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-204

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-238

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 4.5

+130

Under 4.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

The São Paulo vs Atlético team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

São Paulo Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page