São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro

São Paulo host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 24 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Why We’re Backing São Paulo

There are several reasons to back São Paulo on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -116. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Atlético Mineiro.

If you're siding with our São Paulo to win prediction, make sure to claim the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Goalless Draw in Pair’s Last Battle

São Paulo played Sport Recife on their travels in their last Série A game. It was a 2-2 draw. Tricolor Paulista enjoyed 67% possession and managed seven shots on target, while Lucas Moura and Maik Gomes scored one goal each.

On Tuesday night, São Paulo enjoyed a penalty shoot-out victory (1-1 AET) when hosting Atlético Nacional in the Copa Libertadores.

Atlético Mineiro lost when they last played in Série A, being beaten 3-1 at home to Grêmio. Cuca's team had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 63% possession and three shots on goal, with Gustavo Scarpa on the scoresheet.

Three days ago, Atlético claimed a 1-0 Copa Sudamericana victory away to Godoy Cruz.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been successive draws in the past three meetings between São Paulo and Atlético, with the last encounter finishing 0-0. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Atlético triumphs and six draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	20	7	8	5	24	22	2	24:22	29
11	Atlético MG	18	6	6	6	20	21	-1	20:21	24

View Full Table

São Paulo have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Hernan Crespo's team have averaged 51.9% possession and 5.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 7.3 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Luciano Neves has found the net 4 times, with Damian Bobadilla, Robert Arboleda and Andre scoring 2 each. Nahuel Ferraresi and Luciano Neves are tied for the most assists on 3.

Atlético have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 10.4 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 50.4% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Hulk is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Gustavo Scarpa, Gabriel Menino, Igor Gomes and Natanael have 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hulk, Tomas Cuello and Biel who have all made 1.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Sabino, Maik, Alisson, Pablo Maia, Luan Santos, Patryck, Lucas Moura, Aldemir Ferreira.

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Iván Román, Vitor Hugo, Guilherme Arana, Alan Franco, Igor Gomes, Gustavo Scarpa, Reinier, Júnior Santos, Gabriel Teixeira Biel.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

São Paulo look a great bet for this Série A game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -116 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• São Paulo have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• São Paulo have won 11 of their last 19 games at home.
• São Paulo have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Atlético MG have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

São Paulo to Win Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 53.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then São Paulo are an option on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.

Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

São Paulo To Win @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 2 - 0 Atlético

A 2-0 win in favor of São Paulo can be backed at odds of +600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aldemir Ferreira To Score +270

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) can be wagered to score at +270. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Aldemir Ferreira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+145

Shots

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

São Paulo To Have Most Corners -139

São Paulo have had a higher corner count in six consecutive games. The Corner Match bet can be won by São Paulo and odds of -139 can be taken.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.50 5.20 4.30

Home

10.00 5.40 4.60

Away

10.60 4.20 6.40

Atlético

Total

11.00 5.30 5.70

Home

11.00 8.00 3.00

Away

12.40 6.10 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-116

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-139

X

+700

2

+160

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

São Paulo Favourites to Win According to Bookies

With the bookmakers affording them a 54% chance of winning, São Paulo might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -116 when it comes to this Série A encounter. Atlético Mineiro are the underdogs at +340 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

You can choose São Paulo -0.5 or Atlético +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -114 and -109. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -164 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-116

X

+230

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+104

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-333

X2

-119

Draw No Bet

1

-294

2

+200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-189

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+114

No

-164

Luciano da Rocha Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Those interested in favourite Luciano da Rocha to find the net first can get +390, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +200.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+200

Anytime

+390

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+250

Anytime

+480

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+260

Anytime

+500

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+270

Anytime

+525

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+950

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+900

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+145

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+140

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+140

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-159

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-233

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-238

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

It’s great to access Série A live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

The São Paulo vs Atlético team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

São Paulo Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page