São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Botafogo

São Paulo host Botafogo in this Brazilian Série A clash, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Sunday 14 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Value Lies With Fogo

Botafogo have a strong chance against São Paulo and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -106 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

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2-2 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

São Paulo have won four home games in a row. However, their last appearance was away from home where Cruzeiro beat them 1-0. Tricolor Paulista had five shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession.

Botafogo have enjoyed five successive road wins. In their previous game, it was a 4-1 home triumph against Red Bull Bragantino. Davide Ancelotti's team had 52% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Danilo, Vitinho, Jefferson Savarino and Alvaro Montoro found the net.

On Thursday night, Botafogo were beaten at home in the Copa do Brasil when Vasco da Gama landed a penalty shootout win (1-1 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Botafogo haven’t lost to São Paulo in their past ten games, with their last clash ending 2-2. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured five Botafogo wins and five draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Botafogo	20	10	5	5	30	13	17	30:13	35
7	São Paulo	22	8	8	6	26	23	3	26:23	32

View Full Table

São Paulo have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 53.8% possession and 5.9 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 6.3 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Luciano Neves has found the net 3 times, with Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla, Robert Arboleda and Andre getting 2 goals each. Nahuel Ferraresi and Luciano Neves have recorded the most assists with 3 apiece.

Botafogo have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 6.4 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 1.9 goals. Davide Ancelotti's team average 56.1% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 7.3 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Arthur Cabral has top scored with 3, while Alex Telles, Christopher Ramos and Fernando Marcal are next on 2. Santiago Rodriguez, Arthur Cabral and Alex Telles have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Rafael Toloi, Alan Franco, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Alisson, Pablo Maia, Rodriguinho, Enzo Díaz, Emiliano Rigoni, Aldemir Ferreira.

Botafogo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Neto (GK), Vitinho, Kaio, Alexander Barboza, Alex Telles, Marlon Freitas, Danilo, Santiago Rodríguez, Jefferson Savarino, Alvaro Montoro, Arthur Cabral.

São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for São Paulo vs Botafogo, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Botafogo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -106 for this Série A game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Série A form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key São Paulo vs Botafogo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 14 of their last 17 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 10 consecutive games against Botafogo.

Fogo +0.25 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Fogo to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

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Our Match Prediction

Botafogo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 0 - 1 Botafogo

There are odds of +650 available that Botafogo land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Arthur Cabral to Score +300

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo) has scored two goals in his past four Série A away games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +300.

Latest Arthur Cabral Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+107

Shots

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

São Paulo To Have Most Corners -141

São Paulo have won the Corner Match Bet in eight straight games. São Paulo look value at -141 to rack up the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

10.10 5.90 4.20

Home

9.80 5.30 4.50

Away

10.50 4.70 5.80

Botafogo

Total

9.20 5.10 4.10

Home

9.30 5.30 4.00

Away

8.80 4.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-120

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Botafogo Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+155

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São Paulo vs Botafogo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think São Paulo Most Likely to Win

São Paulo are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Série A encounter. The +118 for them coming out on top suggests a 46% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +265 for Botafogo.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. São Paulo can be backed at -200 or alternatively Botafogo are on offer at +143.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -159 about Both Teams to Score No.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Série A games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+200

2

+265

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

-103

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-278

X2

-161

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-222

Over 2.5

+165

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-159

Arthur Cabral Top of First Goalscorer List

Arthur Cabral is available at +300 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +575 to find the net first.

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

First

+300

Anytime

+575

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

First

+475

Anytime

+900

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+107

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+102

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-164

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-185

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-213

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the São Paulo vs Botafogo team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Botafogo Team Page