São Paulo vs Ceará Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Ceará

São Paulo host Ceará in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Monday 29 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect a Close Encounter

We’ll go for the underdogs Ceará at +0.75 for their clash against São Paulo. Taking the Asian Handicap odds of +105 means that the stake is divided between +0.5 and +1 which looks like the best play.

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1-1 Draw in Most Recent H2H

São Paulo have claimed five consecutive home wins. Their last game was a 1-0 road defeat against Santos. Hernan Crespo's men had one shot on target and enjoyed 56% possession.

On Thursday night, São Paulo were beaten 1-0 at home to LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores.

Ceará played Bahia at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Fortaleza team had just 38% possession and totalled three shots on goal, with Lourenco on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo are unbeaten in the past ten matches against Ceará, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The previous 10 H2H games have featured eight draws and two São Paulo victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	24	9	8	7	27	24	3	27:24	35
13	Ceará	23	7	7	9	22	23	-1	22:23	28

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. São Paulo have had 55.0% possession and 6.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts, while being awarded 3.7 corners.

Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda each have 2. Nahuel Ferraresi is the top assists maker on 3.

Ceará have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 0.8 goals. Big Grandpa average 42.2% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Antonio Galeano has landed 3 goals, Lourenco 2, with Pedro Henrique and two others scoring 1. Antonio Galeano is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Rafael Toloi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Cedric Soares, Damián Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Rodriguinho, Enzo Díaz, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira.

Ceará predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Ferreira (GK), Fabiano, Marcos Victor, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia, Richardson, Dieguinho, Antonio Galeano, Lourenço, Pedro Henrique, Paulo Baya.

São Paulo vs Ceará Prediction & Betting Tips

Our São Paulo vs Ceará betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Ceará +0.75 could be the best way forward at odds of +105 in this Série A encounter. We feel optimistic that the underdogs can punch above their weight and be tough to beat.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Série A injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key São Paulo vs Ceará league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Ceará in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Ceará in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Ceará in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 8 of their last 10 games against Ceará.

Ceará +0.75 Probability

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell goals depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

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Our Match Prediction

Ceará Asian Hcp +0.75 @ +105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 1 Ceará

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +575 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Antonio Galeano to Score +800

Antonio Galeano (Ceará) has managed three goals in his past five Série A games on the road. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +800 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Antonio Galeano Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Shots

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -128

It has now been six consecutive Ceará games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in four straight São Paulo home matches. We advise betting on the -128 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.80 6.10 3.70

Home

9.60 5.30 4.30

Away

9.90 4.60 5.30

Ceará

Total

9.60 4.10 5.50

Home

9.80 4.90 4.90

Away

8.20 3.10 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Ceará Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-233

X

+750

2

+255

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São Paulo vs Ceará Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think São Paulo Most Likely to Win

The latest São Paulo odds are -167 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 63% prospect of securing a victory. The market implies that Ceará are the most unlikely to win at +510.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Ceará are +500 here and the draw is +108, with São Paulo on offer at +128.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at -192.

For those wagering on Série A games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-167

X

+265

2

+510

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+108

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-400

X2

+120

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+310

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-125

2 Hcp +0.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-179

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+132

No

-192

Luciano da Rocha is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Luciano da Rocha is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +390 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +200.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+200

Anytime

+390

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+240

Anytime

+475

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+270

Anytime

+500

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+270

Anytime

+525

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Lucca Sampaio Tavares (Ceará)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Paulo Baya (Ceará)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+115

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+112

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-133

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-227

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-233

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Paulo Baya (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Lucca Sampaio Tavares (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-455

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Lucca Sampaio Tavares (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Baya (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

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São Paulo vs Ceará Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the São Paulo vs Ceará team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Ceará Team Page