Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Feb 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro

Grêmio host Atlético Mineiro, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Wednesday 25 February.

We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Grêmio who are trading at odds of +118. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Atlético Mineiro.

Grêmio were beaten last game and this was away from home. São Paulo claimed a 2-0 win. The Immortal Tricolor had 42% possession and recorded one shot on target.

Atlético Mineiro played Remo at home in their previous game. It was a 3-3 draw. Jorge Sampaoli's side enjoyed 55% possession and recorded eight shots on goal, while Hulk, Ruan and Dudu found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio have claimed back-to-back wins over Atlético. The most recent win was 3-1 on the road and this came after a 2-1 home win. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five Atlético victories, one draw and four Grêmio wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Atlético MG	14	5	2	7	17	20	-3	17:20	17
15	Grêmio	14	4	5	5	15	16	-1	15:16	17

View Full Table

Grêmio have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 10.7 attempts and 6.4 shots on goal. Luis Castro's team have averaged 48.1% possession and 4.9 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 3.5 corners from 9.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius is the top scorer with 10 goals, while Andre and Francis Amuzu both have 2. Cristian Pavon has recorded the most assists with 4.

Atlético have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.3 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 1.8 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 53.2% possession, 6.3 corners taken and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Hulk and Dudu have top scored with 4 goals, while Rony is next on 2. Hulk has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.

Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Weverton (GK), Cristian Pavon, Gustavo Martins, Viery, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Jose Enamorado, Gabriel Mec, Juan Ignacio Nardoni, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan, Vitor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Alan Franco, Maycon Barberan, Victor Hugo, Gustavo Scarpa, Tomas Cuello, Hulk.

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Grêmio will have the edge in this Série A clash, then you can back the home team at +118. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Série A team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• Grêmio have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Grêmio have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Atlético MG have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Atlético MG have lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Atlético MG have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Grêmio have won the last 2 games between these teams.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 45.9% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 50-55% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the opportunity to combine Grêmio to win with other picks. For every additional selection that you make, the odds are increased until you’re happy with the bet.

Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.

Our Match Prediction

Grêmio To Win @ +118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 24, 01:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 1 - 0 Atlético

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Grêmio winning 1-0. Odds of +550 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Francis Amuzu to Score +550

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) has managed two goals in his past four Série A home games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +550 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1300

Shots

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atlético To Have Most Corners +110

Atlético Mineiro have had a corner average of 7.80 in the past 5 matches, with Grêmio averaging 4.90 corners in their previous 10 games. We think that the value can be found by backing Atlético to win the Corner Match Bet and you can get attractive odds of +110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

8.40 4.90 3.50

Home

8.10 5.20 2.90

Away

9.70 3.60 6.10

Atlético

Total

11.40 6.30 5.10

Home

11.10 6.20 4.90

Away

9.30 4.10 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Grêmio Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-149

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-125

X

+650

2

+128

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Grêmio are the shortest price to win this Série A clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 45% probability due to their +120 betting odds. Atlético Mineiro are regarded as the least likely winner at +225.

There are various ways to back Grêmio and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -111 currently available that they beat Atlético and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -137 on the BTTS market.

The best football betting sites cover Série A games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+230

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+115

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-333

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-104

The First Goalscorer favourite is Carlos Vinícius at +380, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+170

Anytime

+380

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins "Tete" (Grêmio)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Natanael Moreira Milouski (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Iván Román (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Ruan Tressoldi (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Alan Franco (Atlético MG)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins "Tete" (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Grêmio vs Atlético team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Grêmio Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page

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