Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026
Série A Betting Preview: Corinthians vs São Paulo
Corinthians go head-to-head with São Paulo, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Sunday 10 May.
We really like Corinthians at odds of +114 with BetMGM to beat São Paulo, with this Full-Time Result bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.
Corinthians lost on the road in their last Série A game. Mirassol won 2-1. Fernando Diniz's team had the majority of the ball enjoying 60% possession and three shots on target, with Dieguinho getting the goal.
On Wednesday night, Corinthians played out a 1-1 draw in the Copa Libertadores when visiting Santa Fe.
São Paulo played out a 2-2 draw against Bahia in their previous Série A game, with this being at home. Tricolor Paulista were restricted to just 38% possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Artur Guimaraes and Ferreira were both on target.
Three days ago, São Paulo played out a 0-0 Copa Sudamericana draw when visiting O'Higgins.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Corinthians beat São Paulo when the teams last met. It was a 3-1 scoreline at home. São Paulo have secured four wins, Corinthians boast two wins and there have been four draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | São Paulo |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 19:13 | 24 |
| 17 | Corinthians |
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10:13 | 15 |
Corinthians have 1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. Timão have averaged 53.2% possession and 5.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.0 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 8.4 attempts and 4.9 corners.
Dieguinho, Bidu, Andre Luiz, Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. The top assist makers are Zakaria Labyad, Rodrigo Garro and Bidu, all of whom have 1 on the board.
São Paulo have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.1 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 1.3 goals. Roger Machado's men average 53.0% possession, 8.0 corners taken and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
Ferreira and Jonathan Calleri have scored 4 goals, followed by Luciano Neves with 3. Wendell has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Corinthians predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Hugo Souza (GK), Matheuzinho, Gabriel Paulista, Gustavo Henrique, Matheus Bidu, Raniele, André Carrillo, Breno Bidon, Rodrigo Garro, Jesse Lingard, Yuri Alberto.
São Paulo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Cedric Soares, Matheus Dória, Sabino, Wendell, Damián Bobadilla, Danielzinho, Artur, Luciano, Cauly, Jonathan Calleri.
Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Corinthians vs São Paulo betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
Our opinion is that Corinthians will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the +114 for this Série A game. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.
When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Série A stats that can also help to shape our picks.
Key Corinthians vs São Paulo league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 46.7% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you expect Corinthians to claim a victory, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet where you can back this selection along with over or under a certain goal line, providing bigger odds in the process.
Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.
Correct Score Prediction
Corinthians are available at +410 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Yuri Alberto (Corinthians) has racked up three goals in his past eight Série A home games. We’ll throw a dart at +220 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo have had over 4.5 corners in seven straight games, with Corinthians conceding over 4.5 corners in their past two home games. We’re happy to back the +105 when it comes to São Paulo covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.
Corinthians
São Paulo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got Corinthians to claim a victory, one or both teams not scoring along with Yuri Alberto (Corinthians) to find the net at any time.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Corinthians vs São Paulo Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Corinthians are the +114 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 47% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, São Paulo are available at +270.
If you think Corinthians can overcome São Paulo, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -120 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at -161.
Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Série A match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.
There is +220 available that Yuri Alberto finds the net, while he is available at +475 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
- Série A: 20/11 2025 Corinthians 3 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 20/07 2025 São Paulo 2 Corinthians 0
- Série A: 29/09 2024 São Paulo 3 Corinthians 1
- Série A: 16/06 2024 Corinthians 2 São Paulo 2
- Série A: 30/09 2023 São Paulo 2 Corinthians 1
- Copa do Brasil: 17/08 2023 São Paulo 2 Corinthians 0
- Copa do Brasil: 26/07 2023 Corinthians 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 14/05 2023 Corinthians 1 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 11/09 2022 São Paulo 1 Corinthians 1
- Série A: 22/05 2022 Corinthians 1 São Paulo 1
Corinthians League Stats
São Paulo League Stats
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 12.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Corinthians this season are Bidu (2), Andre Luiz (1), Breno Bidon (1)
- Top Assistors for Corinthians this season are Rodrigo Garro (4), Bidu (1), Kaio (1)
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Corinthians vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Corinthians vs São Paulo, check the team news first. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.
Corinthians Predicted Lineup 4-3-1-2
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Corinthians Predicted Lineup 4-3-1-2
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Corinthians Lineups
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Corinthians Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fernando Diniz
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 4 | São Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitória | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | 17 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Vitória | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 5 | São Paulo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 16 |
| 6 | Flamengo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 14 |
| 7 | Grêmio | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Vasco da Gama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 17 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Remo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
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