Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Corinthians vs São Paulo

Fierce rivals Corinthians and São Paulo clash in the Majestic Derby at Arena Corinthians, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Sunday 10 May.

We really like Corinthians at odds of +114 with BetMGM to beat São Paulo, with this Full-Time Result bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Corinthians lost on the road in their last Série A game. Mirassol won 2-1. Fernando Diniz's team had the majority of the ball enjoying 60% possession and three shots on target, with Dieguinho getting the goal.

On Wednesday night, Corinthians played out a 1-1 draw in the Copa Libertadores when visiting Santa Fe.

São Paulo played out a 2-2 draw against Bahia in their previous Série A game, with this being at home. Tricolor Paulista were restricted to just 38% possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Artur Guimaraes and Ferreira were both on target.

Three days ago, São Paulo played out a 0-0 Copa Sudamericana draw when visiting O'Higgins.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Corinthians beat São Paulo when the teams last met. It was a 3-1 scoreline at home. São Paulo have secured four wins, Corinthians boast two wins and there have been four draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	São Paulo	18	7	4	7	23	20	3	23:20	25
10	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18	19	-1	18:19	24

View Full Table

Corinthians have 1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. Timão have averaged 53.2% possession and 5.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.0 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 8.4 attempts and 4.9 corners.

Dieguinho, Bidu, Andre Luiz, Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. The top assist makers are Zakaria Labyad, Rodrigo Garro and Bidu, all of whom have 1 on the board.

São Paulo have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.1 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 1.3 goals. Roger Machado's men average 53.0% possession, 8.0 corners taken and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Ferreira and Jonathan Calleri have scored 4 goals, followed by Luciano Neves with 3. Wendell has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Corinthians confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Souza (GK), Matheuzinho, Gabriel Paulista, Gustavo Henrique, Bidu, Andre Carrillo, Raniele, Breno Bidon, Rodrigo Garro, Jesse Lingard, Yuri Alberto.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Cedric Soares, Matheus Doria, Sabino, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Damian Bobadilla, Danielzinho, Artur Guimaraes, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Jonathan Calleri.

Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Corinthians vs São Paulo betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

Our opinion is that Corinthians will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the +114 for a Majestic Derby win. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Série A stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key Corinthians vs São Paulo league stats:

• São Paulo have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost their last 2 games on the road.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 46.7% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you expect Corinthians to claim a victory, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet where you can back this selection along with over or under a certain goal line, providing bigger odds in the process.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Match Prediction

Corinthians To Win @ +114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 8, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Corinthians 1 - 0 São Paulo

Corinthians are available at +410 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yuri Alberto to Score +220

Yuri Alberto (Corinthians) has racked up three goals in his past eight Série A home games. We’ll throw a dart at +220 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Yuri Alberto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+410

Shots

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Over 4.5 Corners +105

São Paulo have had over 4.5 corners in seven straight games, with Corinthians conceding over 4.5 corners in their past two home games. We’re happy to back the +105 when it comes to São Paulo covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Corinthians

Total

10.20 5.30 4.90

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

9.00 3.90 5.10

São Paulo

Total

12.40 8.00 4.40

Home

11.60 7.00 4.60

Away

9.40 4.80 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+105

Under 10.5

-149

Corinthians Corners

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-122

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+700

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corinthians vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Corinthians are the +105 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 49% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, São Paulo are available at +300.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 provides the chance to bet on Corinthians to effectively win. If you want to oppose them, there’s the alternative to back São Paulo +0.5 at -130 and that gets the draw onside.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at -154.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Série A match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+210

2

+300

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

-103

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-286

X2

-139

Draw No Bet

1

-238

2

+163

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+105

2 Hcp +0.5

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+160

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-154

There is +190 available that Yuri Alberto finds the net, while he is available at +410 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Yuri Alberto (Corinthians)

First

+410

Anytime

+190

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+600

Anytime

+280

Jesse Lingard (Corinthians)

First

+650

Anytime

+320

Zakaria Labyad (Corinthians)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

Guilherme William Silva Inácio (Corinthians)

First

+750

Anytime

+340

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Kaio César (Corinthians)

First

+1000

Anytime

+460

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Corinthians)

First

+950

Anytime

+480

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+500

Victor Vinícius 'Vitinho' Coelho dos Santos (Corinthians)

First

+1150

Anytime

+525

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+575

Diego da Cruz Lopes (Corinthians)

First

+1300

Anytime

+575

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Rodrigo Garro (Corinthians)

First

+1300

Anytime

+650

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Kayke Ferrari Guimarães (Corinthians)

First

+1500

Anytime

+700

Alex Santana (Corinthians)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Corinthians)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Yuri Alberto (Corinthians)

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-

Guilherme William Silva Inácio (Corinthians)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Kaio César (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Zakaria Labyad (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Jesse Lingard (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Diego da Cruz Lopes (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-313

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Garro (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Kayke Ferrari Guimarães (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Alex Santana (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Corinthians vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Corinthians vs São Paulo, check the team news first. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.

Corinthians Team Page São Paulo Team Page

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