Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026
Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro take on Botafogo, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 10 May.
The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -133 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why Atlético Mineiro and Botafogo won’t find the net.
Atlético Mineiro triumphed in their last Série A game. It was on their travels where Cruzeiro were beaten 3-1. Galo ended up with just 31% possession and had four shots on target, with Alan Minda, Maycon Barberan and Mateo Cassierra scoring one goal apiece.
On Tuesday night, Atlético played out a 2-2 draw when facing Juventud de las Piedras away in the Copa Sudamericana.
Botafogo have achieved back-to-back Série A road wins. They were turned over by Remo in their previous league game, losing 2-1 at home. Franclim Carvalho's men had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and five shots on goal, with Nahuel Ferraresi finding the net.
Four days ago, Botafogo claimed a 2-1 victory in the Copa Sudamericana when hosting Racing Club.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Botafogo who triumphed when they last faced Atlético, a 1-0 home victory was recorded. The 10 H2H meetings most recently played have included five Botafogo victories, one draw and four triumphs for Atlético.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Botafogo |
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 25:26 | 17 |
| 11 | Atlético MG |
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17:20 | 17 |
5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Atlético have had 49.2% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.0 corners.
Tomas Cuello is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Alan Minda, Maycon Barberan, Mateo Cassierra and Victor Hugo each have 1. Hulk is the top assists maker with 2.
Botafogo have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.8 goals from 9.8 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 48.7% possession, 4.4 corners in their favour and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 10.6 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.
Danilo, Edenilson and Matheus Martins are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Arthur Cabral is on 2. Alex Telles, Danilo and Vitinho have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Everson (GK), Ruan Tressoldi, Iván Román, Júnior Alonso, Natanael, Tomas Perez, Maycon, Renan Lodi, Bernard, Alan Minda, Mateo Cassierra.
Botafogo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Neto (GK), Mateo Ponte, Nahuel Ferraresi, Bastos, Alex Telles, Cristian Medina, Danilo, Matheus Martins, Edenilson, Alvaro Montoro, Arthur Cabral.
Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
After careful consideration, we’re going to place a BTTS Yes bet on the basis that -133 looks like great value. We anticipate that the sides can both find the net in this Série A match.
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Série A stats before coming up with a verdict.
Key Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo league stats:
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 57.1% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you want more juice from your BTTS Yes price, the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market provides the chance to land bigger odds by combining this pick with Over 2.5 Goals.
Top up your wagering strategy by unlocking the top betting offers including free bets, promos, and sign-up deals.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +450 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Matheus Martins (Botafogo) has scored three goals in his past five Série A games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +430 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 5.00 corners for Botafogo in their past five matches, while Atlético Mineiro have let the opposition average 5.80 corners in the previous five home games. We recommend backing the -141 that Botafogo are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.
Atlético
Botafogo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: BTTS Yes, a draw to be the outcome and also Botafogo Over 3.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Atlético Mineiro as +112 favourites for this Série A clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 47% likely to win. Botafogo are regarded as the least likely winner at +245.
There are different betting angles when backing Atlético including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -120 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Botafogo.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -133 on the Both Teams to Score market.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Those interested in favourite Givanildo Hulk to find the net first are able to get +420. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +170.
- Série A: 20/09 2025 Botafogo 1 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 20/04 2025 Atlético MG 1 Botafogo 0
- Copa Libertadores: 30/11 2024 Atlético MG 1 Botafogo 3
- Série A: 21/11 2024 Atlético MG 0 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 08/07 2024 Botafogo 3 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 17/09 2023 Atlético MG 1 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 07/05 2023 Botafogo 2 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 08/11 2022 Atlético MG 0 Botafogo 2
- Série A: 17/07 2022 Botafogo 0 Atlético MG 1
- Série A: 26/11 2020 Atlético MG 2 Botafogo 1
Atlético Mineiro League Stats
Botafogo League Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atlético Mineiro this season are Victor Hugo (3), Dudu (2), Tomas Cuello (2)
- Top Assistors for Atlético Mineiro this season are Hulk (3), Renan Lodi (2), Alan Franco (1)
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Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Atlético vs Botafogo team news before placing your bets. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A as well as the latest injury reports.
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Botafogo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Botafogo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Previous Botafogo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Mineiro Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eduardo Dominguez
Botafogo Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 4 | São Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitória | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | 17 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Vitória | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 5 | São Paulo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 16 |
| 6 | Flamengo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 14 |
| 7 | Grêmio | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Vasco da Gama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 17 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Remo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
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