São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Feb 2026
Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Grêmio
São Paulo square off against Grêmio, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Wednesday 11 February.
We like the odds of -120 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. São Paulo and Grêmio should be able to net at least once and the Both Teams to Score market provides a good angle.
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São Paulo played Santos on the road in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Tricolor Paulista had 49% possession and three shots on target, while Jonathan Calleri scored the goal.
Grêmio won their previous game, beating Botafogo at home. It was a 5-3 triumph. Luis Castro's side were restricted to 44% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Carlos Vinicius scored a hat-trick.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 2-0 home victory for Grêmio when they last faced São Paulo. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five São Paulo victories, one draw and four Grêmio wins.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  São Paulo |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Grêmio |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 3 |
São Paulo have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 6.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Hernan Crespo's team have averaged 46.5% possession and 3.6 corners per game, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.3 corners from 8.7 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Jonathan Calleri, Danielzinho, Sabino and Maik Gomes each have 1. Ferreira is the leading assists maker on 2.
Grêmio have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. The Porto Alegre club have averaged 48.1% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.
Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 10, while Andre and Francis Amuzu both have 2. Cristian Pavon is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 4.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Sabino, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Maik, Pablo Maia, Damián Bobadilla, Danielzinho, Enzo Díaz, Gonzalo Tapia, Jonathan Calleri.
Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), João Pedro, Fabian Balbuena, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Arthur, Tetê, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.
São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle São Paulo vs Grêmio with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
The teams both look good to find the net when it comes to this Série A showdown and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. We can land odds of -120 for this outcome and that’s an appealing price.
The latest Série A injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key São Paulo vs Grêmio league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Grêmio
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +425. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) has scored two goals in his past eight Série A games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +800 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in seven straight games, with Grêmio conceding under 5.5 corners in the past five matches. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -143 that São Paulo come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.
São Paulo
Grêmio
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is packed with these picks: both teams to score, a draw to be the outcome and Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) to find the net at any time.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
São Paulo vs Grêmio Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
São Paulo are the +108 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 48% chance of triumphing in this Série A encounter according to the latest odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about Grêmio.
If you think São Paulo can overcome Grêmio, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -128 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.
When it comes to every Série A match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
Luciano da Rocha is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +430 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +190.
- Série A: 17/10 2025 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 18/05 2025 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 1
- Série A: 01/12 2024 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 18/07 2024 São Paulo 1 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 21/10 2023 São Paulo 3 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 04/06 2023 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 03/12 2021 Grêmio 3 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 15/08 2021 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 1
- Série A: 15/02 2021 Grêmio 1 São Paulo 2
- Copa do Brasil: 31/12 2020 São Paulo 0 Grêmio 0
São Paulo League Stats
Grêmio League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 7.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Danielzinho (1), Jonathan Calleri (1), Luciano Neves (1)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Enzo Hernan Diaz (1), Lucas Moura (1)
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São Paulo vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the São Paulo vs Grêmio team news before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and all current injury news.
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Hernan Crespo
Grêmio Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragantino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Chapecoense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Bahia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 | São Paulo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Botafogo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Athletico PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Vitória | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlético MG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Internacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Remo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 19 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Grêmio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Chapecoense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vitória | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlético MG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Remo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Bahia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Flamengo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Athletico PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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