São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Grêmio

São Paulo square off against Grêmio, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Wednesday 11 February.

We like the odds of -120 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. São Paulo and Grêmio should be able to net at least once and the Both Teams to Score market provides a good angle.

São Paulo played Santos on the road in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Tricolor Paulista had 49% possession and three shots on target, while Jonathan Calleri scored the goal.

Grêmio won their previous game, beating Botafogo at home. It was a 5-3 triumph. Luis Castro's side were restricted to 44% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Carlos Vinicius scored a hat-trick.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-0 home victory for Grêmio when they last faced São Paulo. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five São Paulo victories, one draw and four Grêmio wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	São Paulo	9	5	2	2	11	6	5	11:6	17
10	Grêmio	9	3	2	4	14	14	0	14:14	11

View Full Table

São Paulo have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 6.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Hernan Crespo's team have averaged 46.5% possession and 3.6 corners per game, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.3 corners from 8.7 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Jonathan Calleri, Danielzinho, Sabino and Maik Gomes each have 1. Ferreira is the leading assists maker on 2.

Grêmio have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. The Porto Alegre club have averaged 48.1% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 10, while Andre and Francis Amuzu both have 2. Cristian Pavon is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 4.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Danielzinho, Damian Bobadilla, Marcos Antonio, Lucas Moura, Luciano Neves, Jonathan Calleri.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Weverton (GK), Joao Pedro, Fabian Balbuena, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Arthur, Edenilson, Tete, Carlos Vinicius, Francis Amuzu.

São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle São Paulo vs Grêmio with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

The teams both look good to find the net when it comes to this Série A showdown and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. We can land odds of -120 for this outcome and that’s an appealing price.

The latest Série A injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key São Paulo vs Grêmio league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 São Paulo games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight São Paulo games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Grêmio games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Grêmio games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Grêmio games.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 10, 01:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 1 Grêmio

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +450. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Francis Amuzu to Score +800

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) has scored two goals in his past eight Série A games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +800 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1800

Shots

Over 1.5

+163

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Under 5.5 Corners -143

São Paulo have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in seven straight games, with Grêmio conceding under 5.5 corners in the past five matches. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -143 that São Paulo come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

8.90 3.60 5.30

Home

8.40 4.20 4.20

Away

10.30 4.70 5.60

Grêmio

Total

9.10 5.40 3.70

Home

8.10 5.20 2.90

Away

10.30 3.30 7.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-135

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-102

Most Corners

1

-182

X

+650

2

+185

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

São Paulo vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

São Paulo are the -112 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 53% chance of triumphing in this Série A encounter according to the latest odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +335 about Grêmio.

There are different ways to bet on São Paulo including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -112, although Grêmio +0.5 is a viable alternative at -110 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.

When it comes to every Série A match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

-112

X

+230

2

+335

Half-Time Result

1

+145

X

+116

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-333

X2

-119

Draw No Bet

1

-294

2

+195

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-112

2 Hcp +0.5

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-120

Luciano da Rocha is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +175.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+175

Anytime

+400

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+190

Anytime

+460

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins "Tete" (Grêmio)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Wendell (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins "Tete" (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-263

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+163

Under 1.5

-

Wendell (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the São Paulo vs Grêmio team news before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and all current injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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