São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Palmeiras

São Paulo square off against Palmeiras, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 21 March.

São Paulo +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Palmeiras the desired outcome at betting odds of -143.

São Paulo have enjoyed three consecutive home victories. Their most recent game was a 1-0 away defeat to Atlético Mineiro. Tricolor Paulista dominated possession with 68% of the ball and had three shots on target.

Palmeiras have won back-to-back Série A matches, including a recent 2-1 victory against Botafogo at home. Abel Ferreira's team enjoyed 52% possession and six shots on goal, with Allan and Jhon Arias on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three consecutive victories for Palmeiras when playing São Paulo. In their last encounter, Palmeiras won 3-2 away from home. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Palmeiras wins, two São Paulo victories and three draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Palmeiras	7	5	1	1	16	8	8	16:8	16
2	São Paulo	7	5	1	1	10	4	6	10:4	16

View Full Table

São Paulo have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts. Roger Machado's side have averaged 50.7% possession and 3.9 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 8.2 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Jonathan Calleri is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Luciano Neves has 3 and Sabino 2. Marcos Antonio and Damian Bobadilla have been top assistors with 2.

Palmeiras have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, averaging 10.4 attempts, 5.5 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. The Big Green average 48.3% possession, 4.9 corners in their favour and 7.2 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 5.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

The leading goalscorers have been Jose Lopez on 5, Allan with 4 and Vitor Roque 3. Andreas Pereira has been the top assist maker with 7 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Díaz, Damián Bobadilla, Danielzinho, Marcos Antônio, Cauly, Jonathan Calleri, Luciano.

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel (GK), Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez, Allan, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Jhon Arias, Vitor Roque, José Manuel López.

São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for São Paulo vs Palmeiras with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing São Paulo +0.25 at odds of -143 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Série A encounter.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Série A verdict is reached.

Key São Paulo vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 58.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on São Paulo, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

Score better value on your wagers by checking our bonus guide filled with the best sportsbook promo codes and free bets.

Our Match Prediction

São Paulo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 02:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 0 Palmeiras

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing São Paulo to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +650 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Damián Bobadilla to Score +700

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) has scored two goals in his past ten Série A home matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +700.

Latest Damián Bobadilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1800

Shots

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -122

The past five Palmeiras away games have involved an average of 14.80 corners. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -122 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.00 3.90 5.10

Home

9.30 4.70 4.60

Away

9.20 4.10 5.10

Palmeiras

Total

12.10 4.90 7.20

Home

10.80 6.30 4.50

Away

12.30 5.10 7.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-111

Palmeiras Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-114

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+600

2

+104

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

São Paulo vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is currently trading at +210 if you think this Série A encounter will end all square, while Palmeiras have betting odds of +155 and São Paulo are +188 to land a victory of their own.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Palmeiras at -135 or instead go for São Paulo at -105.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -143.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Série A matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+188

X

+210

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+114

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-200

12

-286

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-105

2

-135

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-143

2 Hcp -0.25

+116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+102

Favourite Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is +450 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+185

Anytime

+450

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+165

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

You can watch and bet on Série A games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

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São Paulo vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for São Paulo vs Palmeiras before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

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