Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro

Fluminense host Atlético Mineiro, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Saturday 21 March.

If you agree with our verdict that Fluminense can defeat Atlético Mineiro, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -128 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Fluminense have won three home games in a row. However, their last appearance was away from home where Vasco da Gama beat them 3-2. Luis Zubeldia's side had 48% of possession and five shots on target, with Agustin Canobbio and Hercules scoring one goal each.

Atlético Mineiro have lost three straight games away from home. The previous contest saw a 1-0 home win against São Paulo. Galo had just 32% of the ball and recorded four shots on goal, with Ivan Roman scoring the winner in the 64th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two teams last met, Fluminense claimed a home win. Beating Atlético by a 3-0 scoreline. The previous 10 H2H meetings have led to four wins each and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Fluminense	14	8	2	4	23	18	5	23:18	26
11	Atlético MG	14	5	2	7	17	20	-3	17:20	17

View Full Table

Fluminense have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. The Big Flu have averaged 57.0% possession and 4.6 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.7 corners from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Agustin Canobbio is the top scorer with 5 goals, while John Kennedy and Luciano Acosta both have 3. Leading assistor is Luciano Acosta with 4.

Atlético have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 9.5 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. Eduardo Dominguez's men average 50.5% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 5.9 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

Dudu has scored 3, followed by Victor Hugo and Hulk with 2 goals apiece. Hulk has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Guga, Jemmes, Juan Freytes, Guilherme Arana, Hercules, Martinelli, Agustin Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Jefferson Savarino, Rodrigo Castillo.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Everson (GK), Ivan Roman, Ruan, Junior Alonso, Angelo Preciado, Igor Gomes, Alan Franco, Renan Lodi, Bernard, Hulk, Victor Hugo.

Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

We can back Fluminense at -128 to claim a Série A victory and this looks like a standout price. The betting sites give us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Série A form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• Fluminense have won 12 consecutive games at home.
• Fluminense have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Atlético MG have lost their last 5 games on the road.
• Atlético MG have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Atlético MG have lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you think that Fluminense are too skinny for the win but expect them to achieve a bloodless victory, then you can wager them on the Result + BTTS No market at bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Fluminense To Win @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 19, 22:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fluminense 2 - 1 Atlético

A 2-1 win in favor of Fluminense is available at odds of +600. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Agustín Canobbio to Score +240

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense) has scored in three straight Série A games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +240.

Latest Agustín Canobbio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -112

We’ve not seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered in seven straight Fluminense home matches. The Total Corners line looks too big and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -112.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fluminense

Total

9.30 4.60 4.70

Home

8.30 5.20 3.10

Away

9.90 4.50 5.40

Atlético

Total

11.90 6.00 5.90

Home

11.50 6.10 5.40

Away

10.30 4.80 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

Fluminense Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-106

Atlético Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-119

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+700

2

+230

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookies giving them a 61% probability of winning, Fluminense might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -154 when it comes to triumphing in this Série A clash. Atlético Mineiro are the +460 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

There’s -115 when it comes to Fluminense -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Atlético lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -135 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Série A games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+260

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+118

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-357

X2

+115

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-115

2 Hcp +0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-135

Rodrigo Castillo is the First Goalscorer favourite at +480. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +195.

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

First

+195

Anytime

+480

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+200

Anytime

+475

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Givanildo Hulk (Atlético MG)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima "Ganso" (Fluminense)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ganso (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Otávio Santos Passos (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Samuel Xavier (Fluminense)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Claudio Gomes "Guga" (Fluminense)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Jemmes Ribeiro da Silva (Fluminense)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Juan Pablo Freytes (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

Over 3.5

+116

Under 3.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Givanildo Hulk (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima "Ganso" (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Otávio Santos Passos (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Ganso (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Jemmes Ribeiro da Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Fluminense vs Atlético team news before betting. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Fluminense Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page

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