Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Aug 2026
Toluca vs Necaxa Predictions
Toluca are available to back at -1 on the Asian Handicap. The tempting odds of -111 means we need a winning margin of two or more. A one goal victory over Necaxa would mean money back.
Our Toluca vs Necaxa betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Toluca vs Necaxa Preview
Toluca host Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 21:05 on Sunday 2 August.
Deportivo Toluca were beaten 2-1 at Estadio Nemesio Diez in their last Liga MX game, being turned over at home to Pumas UNAM. Antonio Mohamed's side had four shots on target and enjoyed 66% possession, with Jorge Diaz registering the goal.
Club Necaxa made it back-to-back Liga MX wins after a 2-1 home success over Monterrey at Estadio Victoria. The Aguascalientes outfit enjoyed 65% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Julian Carranza and Juan Valencia found the net.
7 Wins for Toluca in Last 10 H2H Encounters
Toluca have enjoyed four consecutive victories against Necaxa. Their last clash saw Toluca leave Estadio Victoria with a 3-0 win. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Toluca wins along with three draws.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Necaxa |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Toluca |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
Deportivo Toluca have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Los Diablos Rojos have averaged 59.0% possession and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 4.3 corners.
Top goalscorers Jorge Diaz and Nicolas Castro have found the net 2 times, with Alexis Vega scoring 1. The top assist makers are Helinho, Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo, all of whom have 2 on the board.
Club Necaxa have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, averaging 3.7 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 1.2 goals. Martin Varini's team average 51.3% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 9.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Tomas Badaloni and Javier Ruiz have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Julian Carranza on 2. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Francisco Mendez, Mauro Zaleta and Julian Carranza who have all made 1.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Luan, Brian García, Fernando Arce, Víctor Guzmán, Helinho, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Jorge Díaz Price.
Necaxa predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Luis Jiménez (GK), Raúl Martínez, Francisco Méndez, Agustín Oliveros, Ricardo Monreal, Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Carlos Alonso Vargas, Juan Torres, Javier Ruiz, Julián Carranza.
Main Match Prediction
Toluca should be able to beat Necaxa by two goals or more. We’ll back the favourites -1 at -111 for this Liga MX encounter, with the stats suggesting there’s a good chance of a return.
The Liga MX experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you’re looking for bigger odds about Toluca covering the line, then why not combine this pick with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.
Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Necaxa
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Toluca to win 2-0. The odds of +650 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca) can be backed at -154 to finish with at least one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.
Helinho (Toluca) has netted two goals in his past five Liga MX games on home soil. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +190 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Necaxa have had over 3.5 corners in six straight away matches, while the last 5 Toluca games have seen them concede an average of 4.40 corners. We think that the value can be landed by betting on Team Corners and you can get -105 that Necaxa go over the line.
Toluca
Necaxa
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Toluca with the -1 Asian Handicap, BTTS No and Necaxa to have over 3.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Toluca vs Necaxa Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookies giving them a 65% probability of winning, Deportivo Toluca might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -182 when it comes to triumphing in this Liga MX clash. Club Necaxa are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +450.
The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Toluca are -100, while Necaxa are alternatively priced at +380 and the draw is +148.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -200.
The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Liga MX games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
João Paulo Paulinho is the First Goalscorer favourite at +270. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -125.
Stats: Liga MX matches only
Toluca have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Necaxa have not won in the past five away matches. The Aguascalientes outfit have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
When the sides last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca beat Necaxa 3-1. The past 7 H2H matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez have seen four Toluca triumphs, one Necaxa win and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
| Necaxa Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.30 | 1.40 | 1.90 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 22/02 2026 Necaxa 0 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 13/07 2025 Toluca 3 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 09/03 2025 Toluca 5 Necaxa 2
- Liga MX: 28/10 2024 Necaxa 1 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 11/02 2024 Necaxa 3 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 02/07 2023 Toluca 0 Necaxa 0
- Liga MX: 30/04 2023 Toluca 3 Necaxa 0
- Liga MX: 03/07 2022 Necaxa 1 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 05/03 2022 Necaxa 0 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 21/10 2021 Toluca 1 Necaxa 1
Toluca League Stats
Necaxa League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Toluca this season are Alexis Vega (1), Jesus Gallardo (1), Jorge Diaz (1)
- Top Assistors for Toluca this season are Helinho (2)
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Toluca vs Necaxa Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Toluca vs Rayos before making your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest on injuries.
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Necaxa Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Necaxa Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous Necaxa Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
Necaxa Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Necaxa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | América | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Querétaro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 | San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 14 | Atlante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 17 | León | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Juárez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Necaxa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 6 | Tigres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Puebla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | San Luis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | América | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | León | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Toluca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Querétaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Pumas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Juárez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
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